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Trading Made Simple

  • #135,741
  • Nov 6, 2022 10:32pm Nov 6, 2022 10:32pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} wait for H4 add-on surf {image}

EU Nov07 H4

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #135,742
  • Nov 7, 2022 1:58am Nov 7, 2022 1:58am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} EU Nov07 H4 {image}
Hi Emmanuel, Your chart is so clean and beauty. Could U kindly share your tpl, please?Thank u so much for your time!
  • #135,743
  • Nov 7, 2022 2:26am Nov 7, 2022 2:26am
Starting a new week as usual ...
H1: Lower high followed by a closed down bar and TDI bounce with good angle on green for a sell.
Also, bars were growing on M30.

BONUS: Because I look at multiple TFs, I noted that EVERY TF from M1 through H2 was down at the time of entry, pointing to extremely high probability of a profitable sell.
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To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #135,744
  • Nov 7, 2022 2:44am Nov 7, 2022 2:44am
Quoting Inthebox
{image}
tdi cross with trend and resistance
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #135,745
  • Nov 7, 2022 3:02am Nov 7, 2022 3:02am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} tdi cross with trend and resistance {image}
Would you consider that a classic bearish divernce in your books?
Overall I see a bear flag that may that that pair down further
  • #135,746
  • Nov 7, 2022 3:21am Nov 7, 2022 3:21am
woke up to find my trade hit target, just a simple trade
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the cautious seldom err....C
  • #135,747
  • Nov 7, 2022 3:25am Nov 7, 2022 3:25am
Quoting DrDave
Starting a new week as usual ... H1: Lower high followed by a closed down bar and TDI bounce with good angle on green for a sell. Also, bars were growing on M30. BONUS: Because I look at multiple TFs, I noted that EVERY TF from M1 through H2 was down at the time of entry, pointing to extremely high probability of a profitable sell. {image}
just a lucky trade, you were going against H4
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #135,748
  • Nov 7, 2022 3:41am Nov 7, 2022 3:41am
Quoting pips29
{quote} just a lucky trade, you were going against H4
Incorrect!

I used Intrinsic Market Timing to determine where the TFs are in their cycling. 2H was down in an attempt to bring down 4H. For 4H to continue going up, every down TF MUST go up. So with 2H going down, it was IMPOSSIBLE at that time for any TFs above it to be moving further upward.

So 1H became the critical TF for determining if the pullback would play out or if it would fail and all the TFs turned up again.

And as I said, at the time that I sold, EVERY TF for 1M through 2H was going down, yielding an extremely high probability of a profitable sell.

Maybe it was luck, or maybe something else is at play ...
Attached Image
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #135,749
  • Nov 7, 2022 3:45am Nov 7, 2022 3:45am
can anyone share the original mt4 platform cant find it anywhere
  • #135,750
  • Nov 7, 2022 3:47am Nov 7, 2022 3:47am
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #135,751
  • Nov 7, 2022 3:49am Nov 7, 2022 3:49am
Quoting DrDave
{quote} Incorrect! I used Intrinsic Market Timing to determine where the TFs are in their cycling. 2H was down in an attempt to bring down 4H. For 4H to continue going up, every down TF MUST go up. So with 2H going down, it was IMPOSSIBLE at that time for any TFs above it to be moving further upward. So 1H became the critical TF for determining if the pullback would play out or if it would fail and all the TFs turned up again. And as I said, at the time that I sold, EVERY TF for 1M through 2H was going down, yielding an extremely high probability...
H4 was not ready for a short..why are you showing me your win rate and the other crap..it's completely useless to me to know. I don't care if your win rate is 99% cause one bad trade can easily wipe that off. It's better if you want to be serious is to show us your live trade or better still a TE since you are acting like a guru. To make it clear I'm not a guru ,I'm just a trader
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the cautious seldom err....C
  • #135,752
  • Nov 7, 2022 4:06am Nov 7, 2022 4:06am
gone short
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the cautious seldom err....C
  • #135,753
  • Nov 7, 2022 4:15am Nov 7, 2022 4:15am
taken 1/2 and stop moved to protect the win
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the cautious seldom err....C
  • #135,754
  • Nov 7, 2022 4:22am Nov 7, 2022 4:22am
re-entered long
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the cautious seldom err....C
  • #135,755
  • Nov 7, 2022 4:24am Nov 7, 2022 4:24am
Trading Style

- a page taken from the old thread

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...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #135,756
  • Nov 7, 2022 4:56am Nov 7, 2022 4:56am
Quoting DrDave
{quote} Incorrect! I used Intrinsic Market Timing to determine where the TFs are in their cycling. 2H was down in an attempt to bring down 4H. For 4H to continue going up, every down TF MUST go up. So with 2H going down, it was IMPOSSIBLE at that time for any TFs above it to be moving further upward. So 1H became the critical TF for determining if the pullback would play out or if it would fail and all the TFs turned up again. And as I said, at the time that I sold, EVERY TF for 1M through 2H was going down, yielding an extremely high probability...
thanks a lot for sharing your experience . is it possible to share your statement too ?
  • #135,757
  • Nov 7, 2022 6:04am Nov 7, 2022 6:04am
Quoting pips29
{quote} H4 was not ready for a short..why are you showing me your win rate and the other crap..it's completely useless to me to know. I don't care if your win rate is 99% cause one bad trade can easily wipe that off. It's better if you want to be serious is to show us your live trade or better still a TE since you are acting like a guru. To make it clear I'm not a guru ,I'm just a trader {image}
You can't understand English?? I never said that H4 was ready to fall. I even said the H1 was the CRITICAL TF for deciding which way to go.

I included the win rate and other crap because YOU said, "just a lucky trade", and I offer some statistics that perhaps indicate there is more than mere luck at play here. Likely that with YOUR system such a sell would be "just a lucky trade". But I rely on neither luck nor Hope&Pray, but on a system that has extremely high probability of entry in the direction that price will quickly travel to TP and extremely low probability of hitting the SL.

When buying a lotto ticket it is POSSIBLE that it is a winner, but the PROBABLILITY that it is a winner is EXTREMELY small. And likewise with my money management: it is POSSIBE that one losing trade could wipe out my account, but extremely low PROBABILITY of that happening, because I never have at risk more than 1.5% of the entire account.

I already had a TE running in 2019 that ran for a year. Every trade was there to see. 2 losses in about 330 trades. The losses were literally for less that $5 total. I am trading the same system in a live account.

As for guru or fool, I leave that for each person to decide for himself. Vincent likes to proclaim my results are all photoshopped. But I find it interesting that you consider my logical explanation for why the sell was a high probability win and/or some statistics to back it up is acting like a guru. Everyone draws his own conclusions.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #135,758
  • Nov 7, 2022 6:25am Nov 7, 2022 6:25am
Quoting DrDave
{quote} You can't understand English?? I never said that H4 was ready to fall. I even said the H1 was the CRITICAL TF for deciding which way to go. I included the win rate and other crap because YOU said, "just a lucky trade", and I offer some statistics that perhaps indicate there is more than mere luck at play here. Likely that with YOUR system such a sell would be "just a lucky trade". But I rely on neither luck nor Hope&Pray, but on a system that has extremely high probability of entry in the direction that price will quickly travel to TP and...
ha,ha, coming from someone who talk about mtf analysis, btw is IMT Imaginary Market Timing
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #135,759
  • Nov 7, 2022 6:52am Nov 7, 2022 6:52am
Let's get lucky
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the cautious seldom err....C
  • #135,760
  • Nov 7, 2022 7:05am Nov 7, 2022 7:05am
Quoting pips29
{quote} ha,ha, coming from someone who talk about mtf analysis, btw is IMT Imaginary Market Timing
Thanks for that reply; it verifies my suspicions.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
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