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  • #155,901
  • Sep 2, 2022 11:49am Sep 2, 2022 11:49am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} Putin made a hole in the NordStream 1 pipeline somewhere
Hardly, he is affraid to get his nose off bunker
  • #155,902
  • Sep 2, 2022 11:51am Sep 2, 2022 11:51am
Quoting Traderview
Bears should be cautious. Price still hasn't touched 0. 9970. It is important
There you go my bears, I hope you've enjoyed like I did. Closed all the EU SHORTS.

Good night and sweet dreams.

See you guys on Monday.
  • #155,903
  • Sep 2, 2022 12:00pm Sep 2, 2022 12:00pm
Quoting Traderview
{quote} Sell the highs fellows, Daily high is likely made. Any move above 1.0029 is likely be a SL hunt. There's a good 60 pips could be made from 1.0029 - 0.9969. Moreover, the price is still within the so called '' MANIPULATION BOX '' {image} {image}
As I mentioned in the chart, I hope you guys get that 60 pips.
I'm glad Market finished below parity and below 0.9980.
On ecb day, let's buy the shit out of it.

Until then please avoid trading EURUSD. It's just my suggestion.
  • #155,904
  • Sep 2, 2022 12:24pm Sep 2, 2022 12:24pm
Quoting nic9man
Took profits on my remaining shorts, seems to uncertain from here. Might try 1.0033 for one more shot.
I should have gone with my original intention to short 1.0033 again, it was exactly the high… What a miss!

It was a retest.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #155,905
  • Sep 2, 2022 12:28pm Sep 2, 2022 12:28pm
Quoting nic9man
{quote} I should have gone with my original intention to short 1.0033 again, it was exactly the high… What a miss!
On day trading, conviction you've gained from a strategy or a method, is everything.

Day trading 101.

Not pointing out anything but a friendly reminder.
  • #155,906
  • Sep 2, 2022 12:34pm Sep 2, 2022 12:34pm
Quoting nic9man
{quote} I should have gone with my original intention to short 1.0033 again, it was exactly the high… What a miss! It was a retest.
always go with your gut…
  • #155,907
  • Sep 2, 2022 1:08pm Sep 2, 2022 1:08pm
Quoting Erkat
{quote} It seems that a wedding is being prepared at the bear camp⁦
Apparently, they were waiting for the night to start the wedding
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #155,908
  • Sep 2, 2022 2:53pm Sep 2, 2022 2:53pm
So bull against strong bear failed at its last leg up and daily close below 9941 possible before no option bear continue next week.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #155,909
  • Sep 2, 2022 3:31pm Sep 2, 2022 3:31pm
Quoting yvestrcz
{quote} I keep mine alive as I believe the ascending broadening wedge that I can see on M15 has the potential to take it as low as perhaps 0.99615 or so.
I closed my eyes and let it alive till it closed at 0.9975. Risked a lot more than what the gain was just because my bias is still very bearish. My gut feeling is we have not seen the bottom by far. My imagination is the drop shall be very, very painful, till all buyers feel the pain intensely and further. :-D And only then up we go. Perhaps. :-)
  • #155,910
  • Sep 2, 2022 4:28pm Sep 2, 2022 4:28pm
My simplified sweet spots for next week!

As long as candles stay inside the ellipse, bulls could have a chance to correct or reverse this... BUT IF any candle closes below the ellipse (i.e. below 0.9922)--> R.i.p. Euro!

That said, ciao ciao folks... Enjoy your weekends..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #155,911
  • Sep 2, 2022 4:37pm Sep 2, 2022 4:37pm
My view for the monday:

EURUSD push down to take the last liquidity at the lows. After the liquidity grab price need to fix the imbalance @ 0.999/1.001.
Followed by a possible 600 pip rally, all the way to 1.054

DXY did take most of the liquidity today, but not all. So DXY up on monday and going down in monday's New York session/Late London session.

Monday "fakeday"..

Trade safe
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD Pre LOND 05-09-2022.PNG Size: 19 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY Pre LOND 05-09-2022.PNG Size: 17 KB
Think in number 9
  • #155,912
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:39pm Sep 2, 2022 6:39pm
Quoting sharingan9
Short term value indicating bearish signal which is related to interpretation of longerterm market developments that formed short term value. Im going to stay short and ride NFP out
Quoting sharingan9
I still feel bearish on eu tho. value still showing bearish
I didnt think bulls were going to go too far. Value was found at lower prices so I traded in the direction of value which was down. That along with bearish sentiment indicated a bearish push down was coming


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #155,913
  • Sep 2, 2022 9:18pm Sep 2, 2022 9:18pm
good weekend all
  • #155,914
  • Edited Sep 3, 2022 2:52am Sep 2, 2022 11:20pm | Edited Sep 3, 2022 2:52am
So 9940 close daily and h4 still remain as the centre of gravity, breaks and hold closewise be enough to fall smooth next.
checking usdx , ok one last leg up strong above 110+ or towards 111 before next correction below 108.91 to 107.51 possible to decide again , bull or more bear !!
for eu next nominal target goes to 9859 but not enough again to go 9605 as best next target after bear continue .
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #155,915
  • Sep 3, 2022 3:27am Sep 3, 2022 3:27am
Hi guys this is my plan up/down for the next week. In the red shadows is the range without the any extreme moves and inside the rectangle and with blue shadows is the range with the extreme range waited. Price can move plus the ranges, so watch when you are making an entry always follow the trend rules and go against the trend only when you are sure that there is not a threat in the air. Monthly chart is the king and you can follow the weekly chart too especially this time around.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Have a great rest of the weekend!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,916
  • Sep 3, 2022 4:26am Sep 3, 2022 4:26am
Quoting Traderview
{quote} As I mentioned in the chart, I hope you guys get that 60 pips. I'm glad Market finished below parity and below 0.9980. On ecb day, let's buy the shit out of it. Until then please avoid trading EURUSD. It's just my suggestion.
But the rates market already fully priced the 75 BP, why do you think that EURUSD has not priced it yet? I think there will be a spike of 1-1.5 cent at most, which will be sold quickly.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #155,917
  • Sep 3, 2022 7:43am Sep 3, 2022 7:43am
Just sharing a weekly review for EURUSD. What goes up, MUST come DOWN! There's good potential for some bearishness on the DXY [for the month], which means conversely, bullishness on the EURUSD. There were gaps on the DXY which had to be filled which caused what could be seen as unexpected price reversals on EURUSD. However, when you look at DXY, movement in price makes sense.

Not much to add for now. Enjoy weekends all
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2022-09-03_13-05-13.png Size: 121 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY_2022-09-03_13-14-05.png Size: 127 KB
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  • #155,918
  • Sep 3, 2022 9:37am Sep 3, 2022 9:37am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} But the rates market already fully priced the 75 BP, why do you think that EURUSD has not priced it yet? I think there will be a spike of 1-1.5 cent at most, which will be sold quickly.
Nic, 50 is for sure. The members of ecb, on recent occasions clearly saying it should raise 75. So it is expected from them. But how ecb, seeing consequences of this 75bps rate hike given many blah blah blah blah. Now how market is going to take this. If market believes ecb could achieve success with it, then you would see market moving above 1.02. If it does not then sinkhole to 0.98 or more lower. And everything will evaporate when the FED comes.
75bps is way too much for ecb given post covid and UKRAINE. They would worry more about the economy than inflation. ECB does not want recession unlike US.
  • #155,919
  • Sep 3, 2022 10:02am Sep 3, 2022 10:02am
Fed's QT to Hit 'Full Stride' With Central Bank Shrinking $9 Trillion Portfolio.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...lion-portfolio
CEO of the largest US bank warns: 'Get ready for a bigger hurricane in the economy'
"No pain no gain"
  • #155,920
  • Sep 3, 2022 11:33am Sep 3, 2022 11:33am
Quoting JBRolim
Fed's QT to Hit 'Full Stride' With Central Bank Shrinking $9 Trillion Portfolio. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...lion-portfolio CEO of the largest US bank warns: 'Get ready for a bigger hurricane in the economy'

People don’t understand that this guarantees that we go into a recession for those politicians that still think we’re not in a recession.
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