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  • Post #155,501
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 2:50am Aug 30, 2022 2:50am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,291 Posts
Today is a day of squeeze imho...

Bulls must break above 1.0031 (at least) but a break above 1.0040 would be better...

Bears must break below 0.9982 (at least) but a break below 0.9966 would be better...
Be a seer, not a looker!
 
3
  • Post #155,502
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 2:53am Aug 30, 2022 2:53am
  •  cchin
  • Joined Aug 2022 | Status: Member | 223 Posts
Tuesday.

London is back today. I expect some decent volatility as the day goes on.
Market sentiment is currently squeezed between rate hike hawk and recession fear.
This morning, the odds for Fed's 75 bps hike clocked in at 68.5%. ECB's 75 bps odds at 67%.
My view is the EUR likely go up after certain concerns have alleviated.

Short term, price action likely trade between the 50-SMA and 200-SMA.
I expect a surge of EURUSD above 200-SMA later this week, or early next week, regardless how the NFP number turns out to be.

Cheers,
Cat
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  • Post #155,503
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  • Aug 30, 2022 3:17am Aug 30, 2022 3:17am
  •  Kalle1
  • | Joined Feb 2022 | Status: Member | 59 Posts
The EMA200 and USD 1.0033 are ahead as hurdles. If these resistances can be cleared out of the way during the day, the upside target of USD 1.0072 will be unlocked. However, there should be no losses from now on, since losses to USD 0.9952 and USD 0.9900 – 0.9917 must be assumed if the price falls below parity and the EMA50.
carpe noctem
 
 
  • Post #155,504
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 3:30am Aug 30, 2022 3:30am
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,779 Posts
I do not see any trend. I expect a sideways market of 100 pips up and down of around Parity until the ECB meeting on Next Thursday. So it's better keep your trades very short and get out. EURUSD's ATR is +/- 65 pips.

PA is in a DOWNTREND - SIDEWAYS Market.
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  • Post #155,505
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  • Aug 30, 2022 3:54am Aug 30, 2022 3:54am
  •  sulai45
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 719 Posts
Good morning, hope you're great. I think the bulls could show up, lol;
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  • Post #155,506
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  • Aug 30, 2022 4:03am Aug 30, 2022 4:03am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
Fake here fake there. In the end it will resume the down move without marking a new high.
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Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #155,507
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  • Aug 30, 2022 4:05am Aug 30, 2022 4:05am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,291 Posts
Meanwhile, on H4...

Another retest of 1.0031 area... can bulls break it this time?

The yellow highlights on chart show that an area slightly above the balance line (channel median line) often serves as a profitable selling spot... but for how many times? For that my suggestion is to keep an eye on median line: currently at 1.00185. If that level begins to act supportive, it is best to avoid selling.

*Please notice how banks raised risk (drawdown) on one of these selling spots (highlighted in red) to scare traders, but then went for the much deeper dip as a bigger reward. Meaning: if risk is big, reward is probably big too!
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Be a seer, not a looker!
 
5
  • Post #155,508
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  • Aug 30, 2022 4:11am Aug 30, 2022 4:11am
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,779 Posts
Do you guys think Market will end the month above parity?
 
 
  • Post #155,509
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  • Aug 30, 2022 4:18am Aug 30, 2022 4:18am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,291 Posts
Quoting Traderview
Disliked
Do you guys think Market will end the month above parity?
Ignored
The answer to your question would be like guessing the result of tossing a coin.. It is really going nowhere with current picture.. Since range is narrow and close to parity, today or tomorrow we probably will be strolling around these levels and therefore anything can happen.. one pip higher we end up above parity.. one pip lower and we are below it... no need to stress it..

I don't care much about direction.. I wish to see a wider range in upcoming months.. That's what we really need..
Be a seer, not a looker!
 
2
  • Post #155,510
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 4:18am Aug 30, 2022 4:18am
  •  sulai45
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 719 Posts
I'll mark 1.0034* as resistance for today, hopefully the bears show up;
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  • Post #155,511
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  • Aug 30, 2022 4:27am Aug 30, 2022 4:27am
  •  Konichiwhaat
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Member | 630 Posts
tapping on last weeks low...
TIME is the most valuable commodity
 
 
  • Post #155,512
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 4:31am Aug 30, 2022 4:31am
  •  louisfx
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 985 Posts
Based on daily tf engulfing, possible 1.0096 possible today
Make it Green
 
 
  • Post #155,513
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  • Aug 30, 2022 4:33am Aug 30, 2022 4:33am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,742 Posts
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Disliked
Ranging below 1.0030. We may see a drop to 0.9940. Above yesterdays top 1.0051/89 are posible resistance levels. Volatility is 75 pips. {image}
Ignored
Not ready yet for lower prices. 1.0021 is the level to focus for more price action. Bulls that missed the rise from 0.9983 should be waiting for an entry there. Bears from the other want a break for at least 0.9983.
Feels right this time!
 
 
  • Post #155,514
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  • Aug 30, 2022 4:35am Aug 30, 2022 4:35am
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,779 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
{quote} The answer to your question would be like guessing the result of tossing a coin.. It is really going nowhere with current picture.. Since range is narrow and close to parity, today or tomorrow we probably will be strolling around these levels and therefore anything can happen.. one pip higher we end up above parity.. one pip lower and we are below it... no need to stress it.. I don't care much about direction.. I wish to see a wider range in upcoming months.. That's what we really need..
Ignored
I know my man. It's exactly i mentioned it on my previous post with charts.

Just wanted throw some bone to chew....

Meanwhile i went long just above the parity now @BE and i really don't know where it'll go and where to close.
 
1
  • Post #155,515
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 4:36am Aug 30, 2022 4:36am
  •  sulai45
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 719 Posts
Bears are trying lol;
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  • Post #155,516
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 4:37am Aug 30, 2022 4:37am
  •  irontrade58
  • | Joined Aug 2022 | Status: A new one in FX world | 50 Posts
Quoting irontrade58
Disliked
{quote} Seems it backs to the range. It still needs more momentum to go down further I think.
Ignored
It's also great if coming weeks or months the price moving around parity level, as long as market provides enough volatility
 
 
  • Post #155,517
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 4:47am Aug 30, 2022 4:47am
  •  sulai45
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 719 Posts
So far, doing alright on 5M, bears;
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  • Post #155,518
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  • Aug 30, 2022 5:02am Aug 30, 2022 5:02am
  •  suthmo
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 6,754 Posts
Eur/usd Resistance @ 1.01096
I'm expecting Eur/usd re testing the highs. Resistance and pullback expected from 1.01096 < 1.0160.
In the move up from 09013, that wave is in sub 7 right now. The top is projected to stop around 1.0160.
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
 
 
  • Post #155,519
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 5:02am Aug 30, 2022 5:02am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,291 Posts
Quoting Traderview
Disliked
{quote} I know my man. It's exactly i mentioned it on my previous post with charts. Just wanted throw some bone to chew.... Meanwhile i went long just above the parity now @BE and i really don't know where it'll go and where to close.
Ignored
Bulls are penetrating through 1.0031.. Wishing your long order the very best..
Be a seer, not a looker!
 
2
  • Post #155,520
  • Quote
  • Aug 30, 2022 5:03am Aug 30, 2022 5:03am
  •  sulai45
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 719 Posts
Now the bulls show up;
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