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EURUSD only

  • #154,581
  • Aug 16, 2022 7:21am Aug 16, 2022 7:21am
Risked a buy here @ 1.0127
hoping to hit 1.0147

lets see
  • #154,582
  • Aug 16, 2022 7:21am Aug 16, 2022 7:21am
Quoting JBRolim
I made an entry here at 1.01500, another limit buys 1.01400
I will hold these entries until Friday, I see the price at 1.03800/1.04320 before the dip.
"No pain no gain"
  • #154,583
  • Aug 16, 2022 8:01am Aug 16, 2022 8:01am
I am noticing good bull momentum... Let's see if bulls can soon build a supportive base around 1.0133...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #154,584
  • Aug 16, 2022 8:11am Aug 16, 2022 8:11am
Quoting GreenJ
1.5 bln options expriy at 1.015 today, don't think will be moving much today.
This is exactly why I do watch the options market. We see that EURUSD hit 1.015 in just enough time for that option to cash out. Now, we could see the drop. I added to my short here .

Still looking for at 1.0095 OR DXY to 107.25-107.90

Cheers
  • #154,585
  • Aug 16, 2022 8:18am Aug 16, 2022 8:18am
Bank of America reporting LONG USD trades are a very crowded trade. I like to take the contrarian view in that if everyone is on the same side of the boat, it's sometimes best to get on the other side. There will be more money to be made on the other side as the USD will probably get squeezed. So I only plan to be in a LONG USD trade for a short time. I think the long squeeze on the USD might come soon.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #154,586
  • Aug 16, 2022 8:30am Aug 16, 2022 8:30am
USD on Monday with its negative notifications, much lower than expected, although the EUR is the one that has fallen, now it's time for the EUR to strike back.
"No pain no gain"
  • #154,587
  • Aug 16, 2022 8:41am Aug 16, 2022 8:41am
Quoting Traderview
Risked a buy here @ 1.0127 hoping to hit 1.0147 lets see
worked very well. Thank you.

I'm also sooooo kicking in the rear of myself for closing early on an another EU pair... You effffffiiinnnnn.....
  • #154,588
  • Aug 16, 2022 9:00am Aug 16, 2022 9:00am
so morning views intact after a little turmoil likely due against very strong bear , so now after 0179 pullback breaks , target goes to 0192/98 before 0223+
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 15 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #154,589
  • Aug 16, 2022 9:00am Aug 16, 2022 9:00am
dxy.... 106.650 is the price i've been keep saying to watch out.
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  • #154,590
  • Aug 16, 2022 9:09am Aug 16, 2022 9:09am
The bottom above has not yet been taken out, this is my view, after that it will be the main fall move. I also believe it will not be below the last parity bottom.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd-h4-15-08.png Size: 11 KB
"No pain no gain"
  • #154,591
  • Aug 16, 2022 9:25am Aug 16, 2022 9:25am
Quoting Erkat
Some correction is likely(50 to 100 pip)
It worked well ⁦⁩
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #154,592
  • Aug 16, 2022 9:30am Aug 16, 2022 9:30am
Quoting fxpipper
My longs got obliterated earlier. All good though. Didn't short it because I kept thinking I'm too late to get in, which was a mistake. I do expect it to bounce up again at some point. Looking at the daily it looks like it's breaking the flag...but looks can be deceiving as it could easily be a large fake move because there's no real catalyst right now. I'm looking to enter long again at 1.0142.
Ugh I f*cked myself over. Had an entry set up at 1.0142 with a wide SL at 1.0117. Last night I was fooled by what I thought was bullishness at 1.0160 and got in, (don't ask me why I was trading this pair in the evening). Cancelled this buy limit and got stopped out on the other trade. Had I just left things the way they were I'd be up over 40 pips right now.

Time for a short break.
  • #154,593
  • Aug 16, 2022 9:35am Aug 16, 2022 9:35am
Quoting cchin
Tuesday's London session. Let's investigate this Wyckoff distribution idea for a while. We don't usually see Wyckoff plays out in the currency market, save for a few occassions when market volume was low, i.e. post-Christmas Dec-Jan season. EURUSD is certainly going down. Question is, how low can it go? We're currently trading through summer, coming to the end. Volume likely pick up again, as early as next week, if not then, by early September. Trend could reverse very quickly. If it is indeed a Wyckoff trend, I would expect price action to quickly...

Cat, I guess your negative pips are turning positive soon
Drawdown is more important than Account Size !
  • #154,594
  • Aug 16, 2022 9:39am Aug 16, 2022 9:39am
Quoting Traderview
Risked a buy here @ 1.0127 hoping to hit 1.0147 lets see
Closed it @ 1.0189
Good trade. 60 pips.
No more trades until tomorrow US data.
  • #154,595
  • Aug 16, 2022 9:45am Aug 16, 2022 9:45am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
1.0137 is the new decision point, for bulls and bears, the trend is bearish.
With this upmove now the trend changed, very rare and makes me think that the rise from 1.0123 (low of the month exactly) may have legs to rise above this week high, or at least until 1.0230. 63 pips range met for today.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #154,596
  • Aug 16, 2022 9:45am Aug 16, 2022 9:45am
A quick afternoon update before I sign off for the day.

Closed my EURUSD long trades with 74 pips profit.

It looked like the market is largely long on the USD.
Some traders took that opportunity, short into that dollar strength, and it did happen. Overnight, EURUSD may test the 1.02 handle.

If the EURUSD price action is on the Wyckoff trend like the one I posted earlier today, then we have to wait for it to run its course.
The path of least resistence is to the downside.
However, is it possible that the market can use the US Retail Sales number as a trigger or excuse to flip the trend around?
Regardless if the data is good or bad. May be?

Stay safe.
Cheers,
Cat
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #154,597
  • Edited 10:13am Aug 16, 2022 9:46am | Edited 10:13am
next hour may correct before test and breaks 2000. if so may at least 0165 , but it already started so early !!
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 14 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM5.png Size: 13 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #154,598
  • Aug 16, 2022 10:05am Aug 16, 2022 10:05am
1.02400 could be the next target, maybe even today.
"No pain no gain"
  • #154,599
  • Aug 16, 2022 10:31am Aug 16, 2022 10:31am
1.0166 is where I wait to see an action from bulls, or bears. If, it holds then we may see a new high and if, not 1.0138 may be bears next target.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #154,600
  • Aug 16, 2022 10:44am Aug 16, 2022 10:44am
1.01600 I see new buy entry if we get there. to next target 1.02400.
Until we reach 1.03800, we can trade in the ranges.
"No pain no gain"
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