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  • #154,541
  • Aug 15, 2022 11:16pm Aug 15, 2022 11:16pm
Quoting andvk74
{quote} How about this IDEA? {image}
It doesn't take anything to include the price at the far fight of your chart so we know what target you are referring to.
  • #154,542
  • Aug 15, 2022 11:16pm Aug 15, 2022 11:16pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} I am simply waiting to sell. I also want to scalp a buy but I don't trust these people to even hit daily pivot at 1.0194. London will decide. But this is no bottom at all.
I agree, the bears are strong!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #154,543
  • Aug 15, 2022 11:19pm Aug 15, 2022 11:19pm
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  • #154,544
  • Aug 15, 2022 11:21pm Aug 15, 2022 11:21pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} It doesn't take anything to include the price at the far fight of your chart so we know what target you are referring to.
IMO- the main target as of now is PARITY!
  • #154,545
  • Aug 15, 2022 11:23pm Aug 15, 2022 11:23pm
It's really struggling to hold small gains, meanwhile smaller timeframes are quickly becoming overbought one by one.
  • #154,546
  • Edited Aug 16, 2022 12:00am Aug 15, 2022 11:49pm | Edited Aug 16, 2022 12:00am
Quoting andvk74
{quote} How about this IDEA? {image}
That could work but the way I see it is price took out the lows of last week to guarantee that the highs will not be taken out once the bulls kick in. I don't think the high has been made for this week. Besides the week is still fresh and 1.015xx support is very strong.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #154,547
  • Aug 16, 2022 12:03am Aug 16, 2022 12:03am
Setup complete
Closed a SHORT for now
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  • #154,548
  • Aug 16, 2022 12:13am Aug 16, 2022 12:13am
I am interested in the close of this current 4hr candle, if it closes bullish, then my idea will play out if it doesn't, then I will accept my losses.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #154,549
  • Aug 16, 2022 12:23am Aug 16, 2022 12:23am
Nothing bullish here. Not even coming up for air
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #154,550
  • Aug 16, 2022 12:24am Aug 16, 2022 12:24am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I don't know how much this bounce from Weekly S1 will hold, but should be inside this hourly channel and below 1.0224. Edit: price can travel 63 pips today. {image}
Broke down as expected the most. Now this move can even travel below 1.0100, I will be fine with 1.0107, but I'll wait the ZEW release later to see whats going on, its early yet. The area around 1.0156 (Weekly S1) should be a sell opportunity.

Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Broke down as expected the most. Now this move can even travel below 1.0100, I will be fine with 1.0107, but I'll wait the ZEW release later to see whats going on, its early yet. The area around 1.0156 (Weekly S1) should be a sell opportunity.
1.0170 is the decision point.

A continuation of the downtrend to 1.0107, or below, or a break up!

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #154,551
  • Aug 16, 2022 12:43am Aug 16, 2022 12:43am
Tuesday's London session.

Let's investigate this Wyckoff distribution idea for a while.
We don't usually see Wyckoff plays out in the currency market, save for a few occassions when market volume was low, i.e. post-Christmas Dec-Jan season.

EURUSD is certainly going down. Question is, how low can it go?
We're currently trading through summer, coming to the end. Volume likely pick up again, as early as next week, if not then, by early September.
Trend could reverse very quickly.

If it is indeed a Wyckoff trend, I would expect price action to quickly dip to 1.01 handle.
It may subsequently make attempt to test 1.005 level as early as this week.

I'll continue to buy any dip that come along.
I'm not concern since I'm trading extremely low leverage, and my trades are also hedged.
Will it go down to 1.000 again? Let's see. That is going to be fun

Cheers,
Cat
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  • #154,552
  • Aug 16, 2022 12:48am Aug 16, 2022 12:48am
this sudden failure to correct may proof wrong/ fatal for bear , ok may further down but once for all to bull restart possible at an earliest! . watching and waiting for better pa .
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #154,553
  • Aug 16, 2022 12:59am Aug 16, 2022 12:59am
Quoting Traderview
Buy @ 1.0163 sl 40 pips tp 1.0235 This is based on 4hrs {image} {image}
Low is 1.0134 and my SL was 1.0132. Survived by 2 pips. Added some more @ 1.0140. As long as price stays above 1.0142, Bulls are fine.
  • #154,554
  • Aug 16, 2022 1:02am Aug 16, 2022 1:02am
Quick DAILY Outlook

I will quickly explain what is actually going on and where we are at...

  1. At this stage we had a normal downtrend... price was gliding nicely inside the descending channel..
  2. Then price broke out of this descending channel and a correction has started, at least that's what we believed...
  3. Later, bears tried to drop back into the descending channel, but they couldn't even reach the upper edge of it.
  4. And now we are back inside an ascending channel where bears are trying once again to break below the channel, but so far the channel is intact. However, bears are not done trying to breakout from it, and therefore we have to wait and see how that goes.

*1.0095/1.0107 area is key support for today and tomorrow.

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #154,555
  • Aug 16, 2022 1:14am Aug 16, 2022 1:14am
Quoting Traderview
{quote} Low is 1.0134 and my SL was 1.0132. Survived by 2 pips. Added some more @ 1.0140. As long as price stays above 1.0142, Bulls are fine.
Closed the trades with just little profit. I do not like the move below 1.0150 for bull case.

Market is below the RED TL. For bulls, i need to see a 4hr candle close above it. The last bull move could be a fake as well.

Patience is the key.
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  • #154,556
  • Aug 16, 2022 1:54am Aug 16, 2022 1:54am
Quoting andvk74
{quote} IMO- the main target as of now is PARITY!
Last time parity held, now tons of stops sit below parity… Think it go way below parity this time. 95 cents or so.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #154,557
  • Aug 16, 2022 2:01am Aug 16, 2022 2:01am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} Last time parity held, now tons of stops sit below parity… Think it go way below parity this time. 95 cents or so.
I have this area in mind as a 1st main target.
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  • #154,558
  • Aug 16, 2022 2:03am Aug 16, 2022 2:03am
1.5 bln options expriy at 1.015 today, don't think will be moving much today.
  • #154,559
  • Aug 16, 2022 2:05am Aug 16, 2022 2:05am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} Last time parity held, now tons of stops sit below parity… Think it go way below parity this time. 95 cents or so.
Well, maybe the ZEW gives us a hint.
Btw... I had a chat a few days ago with one of my best friends (since decades) who is overseas in the process machinery sector told me that a number of his clients cancelled their factory expansion. Some even told him that they are planing to temporarily cease operation because.... they cannot get some of their critical raw materials.
Let that sink in... and that in GERMANY! I have not heard such things since the 90th.

Of course that does not say anything about the daily EUR move... but it might give a hint about the general medium/long term trajectory.
  • #154,560
  • Aug 16, 2022 2:05am Aug 16, 2022 2:05am
Quoting GreenJ
1.5 bln options expriy at 1.015 today, don't think will be moving much today.
Hi, does it mean price will move closer to 1.015?
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