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  • #150,081
  • Edited 8:53am Jun 15, 2022 8:42am | Edited 8:53am
Thinking out loud:

I wouldn't be surprised IF this drop turns out to be a sub-wave-5 that at last completes the inner-wave 3.

If so, this drop is not the inner-wave 5 of 5 and therefore is not the expected bearish continuation.. This drop could end somewhere around 1.0340/50 to complete inner-wave-3... Only afterwards, the inner-wave 4 might begin to push price back up. Weird, but right now, with such an early drop long before FED data, it looks like that!

Time will tell...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1.png Size: 16 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #150,082
  • Edited 10:15am Jun 15, 2022 9:57am | Edited 10:15am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Thinking out loud: I wouldn't be surprised IF this drop turns out to be a sub-wave-5 that at last completes the inner-wave 3. If so, this drop is not the inner-wave 5 of 5 and therefore is not the expected bearish continuation.. This drop could end somewhere around 1.0340/50 to complete inner-wave-3... Only afterwards, the inner-wave 4 might begin to push price back up. Weird, but right now, with such an early drop long before FED data, it looks like that! Time will tell... {image}
logical ! test previous bottom to bounce to 4 to the level or just above previous leg before 0542 or now 0507 to tank further down and down 5th may goes towards 1.0110 or more !

anyway most important if 0349 breaks to even low 0302 and hold or not . that is 5th truncated or double bottom can save bull to send price over 0700 /805 and much more ! otherwise continue down below 0300 .....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 14 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #150,083
  • Jun 15, 2022 10:14am Jun 15, 2022 10:14am
Quoting fontu
{quote} logical ! test previous bottom to bounce to 4 to the level or just above previous leg before 0542 or now 0507 to tank further down and down 5th may goes towards 1.0110 or more !
The real shock would be a kiss to 1.0360 and then up and up and up forever until 1.12 when nobody expects it.. (Is well though.. In any case, we can adapt to bulls until 1.0806 anyway. IF price ever gets back there we can re-analyze!)
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #150,084
  • Jun 15, 2022 10:25am Jun 15, 2022 10:25am
1.0350, if not 1.0280. I don't like the last 2, 4hrs candles set up. It looks like a step down.
But I will try to buy near 1.0350.

For bulls the day needs to be done above 1.0450.
  • #150,085
  • Jun 15, 2022 10:28am Jun 15, 2022 10:28am
Waiting for the beeaach's speech.
  • #150,086
  • Jun 15, 2022 10:36am Jun 15, 2022 10:36am
No matter of news, I "see" only one way- UP.
  • #150,087
  • Jun 15, 2022 10:42am Jun 15, 2022 10:42am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Good morning. Today I'll share a biger timeframe analysis, because of the FOMC meeting late at US session. If, the FED raises 0.75% today then Dollar should continue its upside. If, not I don't expect much from EU given its Geographical disantvantage with US. The price may stay inside this channel - 4H graph {image}


Still inside this channel, looking down to 1.0349/39.

FED is some hours away and EURUSD can make anything, better is to stay out and watch price action if, you are not an experienced trader. Remember that every day there are pleanty opportunities, it doesn't need to hurry up you will get another signal very soon, forex market is full of traps especially days like, the FOMC meeting today will be hard for the EURUSD to respect any level.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #150,088
  • Jun 15, 2022 11:21am Jun 15, 2022 11:21am
Quoting SirMcPip
This is a trade off the monthly EUR/USD chart: If this trade materializes it will take several months to reach the target. Date: 04/26/2022 Time GMT: 7:03 am Market: EUR/USD Current Price(Dukascopy Bank SA): 1.0703 Order Type 1: Limit Direction: Long Limit Price: 1,0670 Stops: None Target: 1.1670 Position Size: 50% Order Type 2: Limit Direction: Long Limit Price: 1,0530 Stops: None Target: Open Position Size: 50%
Limit Order 2 was cancelled April 27th, 2022.

Buy Limit now @ 1,0320 for the remaining 50%. If filled that will make the average entry 1.0495 for 100% of positions. Wishing everyone a great summer vacation.
  • #150,089
  • Jun 15, 2022 11:32am Jun 15, 2022 11:32am
Bulls can only hope that there won't be a dump under 1.035 after the FOMC press conference.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2022-06-15_12-31-31.png Size: 42 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY_2022-06-15_12-33-35.png Size: 41 KB
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #150,090
  • Jun 15, 2022 12:00pm Jun 15, 2022 12:00pm
You have a great point Because in ECB conference, Miss Legard said some dovish statement towards interest rate and you know when dovish statement say that then the bull needs to go home and take rest and in meanwhile Bear can take the participation.
  • #150,091
  • Jun 15, 2022 12:11pm Jun 15, 2022 12:11pm
For stronger bulls FED should raise only 25bps, that'll take it to 1.06
For just bulls, 50bps to 1.05.

What do you think
  • #150,092
  • Jun 15, 2022 12:30pm Jun 15, 2022 12:30pm
No idea what the FED will do, but taking a tiny bet here that the do a 50 basis point rise and we have a big gap up. Popping the popcorn and getting ready for the show in 30 min.
  • #150,093
  • Jun 15, 2022 12:54pm Jun 15, 2022 12:54pm
Quoting schaos21
No idea what the FED will do, but taking a tiny bet here that the do a 50 basis point rise and we have a big gap up. Popping the popcorn and getting ready for the show in 30 min.
Waiting fireworks any direction with all closed already , may join at least after 30 min.
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #150,094
  • Jun 15, 2022 12:59pm Jun 15, 2022 12:59pm
Fed will do anything to cut energy gas / gasoline /oil prices.
It works when stocks (non financials) are dropping...interest rise will lower stocks. Just a thought.
  • #150,095
  • Jun 15, 2022 1:01pm Jun 15, 2022 1:01pm
0.75% rate increase
  • #150,096
  • Jun 15, 2022 1:01pm Jun 15, 2022 1:01pm
Let the fireworks begin
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #150,097
  • Jun 15, 2022 1:02pm Jun 15, 2022 1:02pm
According to Forexfactory: 1.75%... wow... the billionaire (Sam) couldn't convince FED then
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #150,098
  • Jun 15, 2022 1:10pm Jun 15, 2022 1:10pm
This is a cary marget dont know where to start lol I will just wait
  • #150,099
  • Jun 15, 2022 1:15pm Jun 15, 2022 1:15pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
According to Forexfactory: 1.75%... wow... the billionaire (Sam) couldn't convince FED then
Based on 3 quarter of a point news, and the conference time in 30 minute which might be hawkish, you think E/U may touch 1.03ishhhhhh????
  • #150,100
  • Jun 15, 2022 1:22pm Jun 15, 2022 1:22pm
Quoting asyed4
{quote} Based on 3 quarter of a point news, and the conference time in 30 minute which might be hawkish, you think E/U may touch 1.03ishhhhhh????
I am guessing a triangle is forming on smaller timeframes.. Let's wait for the breakout first..
Focus only on what truly matters!
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