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EURUSD only

  • #149,961
  • Jun 13, 2022 9:54am Jun 13, 2022 9:54am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Will bears ever stop? Crazy profits in selling... sell sell sell and sell and there comes more.. never stops Nobody knows where 3 ends.. {image}
There're still sellers on the road with sell orders to 1.04052 / 1.03908 and few of "BB's" to 1.03645 / 1.03525
while retailers are on the Buy side forming main SL clusters of course
  • #149,962
  • Jun 13, 2022 9:57am Jun 13, 2022 9:57am
Quoting schaos21
{quote} Ok, trying a long... in at 1.04257. Let's see if this blasts back up to 1.05
Lol.. I think you are only feeding bears... Good luck
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #149,963
  • Jun 13, 2022 9:59am Jun 13, 2022 9:59am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Lol.. I think you are only feeding bears... Good luck
Apparently the bears are still hungry. Will hang on a bit longer.
  • #149,964
  • Jun 13, 2022 10:05am Jun 13, 2022 10:05am
Quoting schaos21
{quote} Apparently the bears are still hungry. Will hang on a bit longer.
They will stay hungry as long as retail feeds them with new buy orders... Bon appetite
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #149,965
  • Jun 13, 2022 10:34am Jun 13, 2022 10:34am
An update. Downside targets - 0400 and 0389.

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #149,966
  • Jun 13, 2022 12:02pm Jun 13, 2022 12:02pm
Much much more bears than before are coming... tsunami in sight..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #149,967
  • Jun 13, 2022 12:11pm Jun 13, 2022 12:11pm
I think this my friend is ranging
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Thats my thought
  • #149,968
  • Jun 13, 2022 12:21pm Jun 13, 2022 12:21pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Much much more bears than before are coming... tsunami in sight..
I just found the "Bear Pack" in the green room, getting ready for their entrance.

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In case you're wondering yeah even the Chinese bear (Panda) are coming out with the Australian one...
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #149,969
  • Jun 13, 2022 12:25pm Jun 13, 2022 12:25pm
On a more serious note I'm flat - waiting for the 2:00 pm FED speaking. I'm waiting to see if they "pre-announce" a 0.75% rate hike for Wednesday. This has the possibility for some volatility...then again he might just say the same-ole-same-ole crap...
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #149,970
  • Jun 13, 2022 12:38pm Jun 13, 2022 12:38pm
Yield triangle EURUSD

Hello dear traders,

The yield triangle for the Dax or the S&P has existed for many years, but not for the EURUSD so far. This was probably also due to the fact that the EURUSD is a typical sideways market.

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The average monthly return short was -2.19% and the average monthly return long was 2.26%.

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On the year side things were a bit different as EURUSD has risen slightly more than fallen over a 50 year period.

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At the weekend I created a yield triangle in the EURUSD for you. The returns are approximate values, as there are different types of offsetting for interest, not all of which can be recorded here. The right side is buying at the beginning of the year and the bottom side is selling at the end of the year. You can find an example on the slide. Of course, I have also created the Yield Triangle as a PDF for download. I hope that the information will help you.

Continued success.

Greetings Michael

Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf EURUSD Yield Triangle.pdf   392 KB | 294 downloads
Forget:That does not work, amateurs build the ark, pros the Titanic!
  • #149,971
  • Jun 13, 2022 12:43pm Jun 13, 2022 12:43pm
..remember!.... back in the days when there were a lot of bulls.... oooooh it was so much fun back in those times..
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #149,972
  • Jun 13, 2022 2:02pm Jun 13, 2022 2:02pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Will bears ever stop? Crazy profits in selling... sell sell sell and sell and there comes more.. never stops Nobody knows where 3 ends.. {image}
Dear Ata ,, is it still possible for us to be in a B wave?
Like the second scenario you looked at last week
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #149,973
  • Jun 13, 2022 2:08pm Jun 13, 2022 2:08pm
Quoting Erkat
{quote} Dear Ata ,, is it still possible for us to be in a B wave? Like the second scenario you looked at last week
I can't tell.. even if I could it would be second thoughts and that can hurt.. So I stay away from getting distracted by another scenario..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #149,974
  • Jun 13, 2022 2:24pm Jun 13, 2022 2:24pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I can't tell.. even if I could it would be second thoughts and that can hurt.. So I stay away from getting distracted by another scenario..
Thanks a lot Ata
So where do you think Wave 3 will end? Now that the 1.0440 level is broken
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #149,975
  • Jun 13, 2022 2:31pm Jun 13, 2022 2:31pm
Where the heck did all that volume come from?
  • #149,976
  • Jun 13, 2022 2:36pm Jun 13, 2022 2:36pm
wave 3 should stop around 1.039xx I have stopped my short so just waiting for it to turn from there then I go long
  • #149,977
  • Jun 13, 2022 2:40pm Jun 13, 2022 2:40pm
Quoting schaos21
Where the heck did all that volume come from?

There was saying that FED could talk about an increase of 0.75%.
  • #149,978
  • Jun 13, 2022 2:42pm Jun 13, 2022 2:42pm
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  • #149,979
  • Jun 13, 2022 3:00pm Jun 13, 2022 3:00pm
Quoting Erkat
{quote} Thanks a lot Ata So where do you think Wave 3 will end? Now that the 1.0440 level is broken
Why do you want it to end? Aren't you happy making constant money from selling and selling and selling? easiest job...

Joke aside.. I don't know.. probably nobody knows.. It ends when it ends..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #149,980
  • Jun 13, 2022 3:11pm Jun 13, 2022 3:11pm
Quoting Eren10
{quote} There was saying that FED could talk about an increase of 0.75%.
It's not just talk - it was a trial balloon that the FED sent up today and well the results weren't pretty.

Let's face it folks there are some things that the FED can't control - food prices and energy prices (these 2 make up 35% of inflation) Of the other 65% the FED has some input and we've seen a preview with lower mortgage applications and drops in airline prices (however little).

So the FED has a dilema: Do they stick to the script and raise 0.5% Wednesday like they said they would and hint that 0.75% is coming in July (which is the scenario I believe will occur) OR

Does the FED shock the market and do a 0.75% rate increase NOW and July and then say after July we will become data dependent and leave the September rate increase open....

Either way the dollar will continue to strengthen until it doesn't - I'd expect any pullbacks to be nothing more than shorting opportunities.

PERSONALLY I don't think wave 3 is over - there was no capitulation YET....
...because you never know - until you do!
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