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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #84,961
  • Apr 15, 2022 3:19am Apr 15, 2022 3:19am
Quoting ScalaFX
My all 15 shorts now active will be good or not, when price come to take one more time last high I will be managing with longs but Im truly sure the proce drop hard in nearest time, trade safe All!
Still with you on shorts
  • #84,962
  • Apr 15, 2022 3:27am Apr 15, 2022 3:27am
Quoting Whale
{quote} im saying it for 2 weeks.. and yet to come
Bro! Open this fat short now and drop some to 120 Please! 🥹
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #84,963
  • Apr 15, 2022 3:28am Apr 15, 2022 3:28am
Quoting Nd10
{quote} Still with you on shorts
I know we will be in profit soon, I hope so! Cheers buddy!
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #84,964
  • Edited 4:34am Apr 15, 2022 4:16am | Edited 4:34am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} I know we will be in profit soon, I hope so! Cheers buddy!
Patience running out

Edit: I have scaled out. It may get to 128 - 130
  • #84,965
  • Apr 15, 2022 5:07am Apr 15, 2022 5:07am
until I break that wedge it will not go down, I keep waiting for shorts, I am in with little capital, I hope my analysis is correct and this goes down
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  • #84,966
  • Apr 15, 2022 5:59am Apr 15, 2022 5:59am
Quoting ScalaFX
My all 15 shorts now active will be good or not, when price come to take one more time last high I will be managing with longs but Im truly sure the proce drop hard in nearest time, trade safe All!
It is going to 130 at least and then maybe 135. Bears won’t stand a chance unless there is some black swan event like the invasion of Taiwan by China or BOJ intervention.

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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #84,967
  • Apr 15, 2022 7:04am Apr 15, 2022 7:04am
I'm new here and you may as well just ignore me, but my take is the Americans are doing all they can to keep the US relevant as the world currency because of all the red flags, war and the internal economic problems. It's actually more important to them in the long run then anything else, so they will keep pumping the USD.
I predict it will go a bit under 126 and then up again. Until the war and inflationa are solved dont short against the USD unless you're going for day trading, small dips.
  • #84,968
  • Apr 15, 2022 8:12am Apr 15, 2022 8:12am
Based on TD sequential and Elliott on 4H chart. it exhausted the impulse push, coming down on #13 at least to 61% fib.
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  • #84,969
  • Apr 15, 2022 8:25am Apr 15, 2022 8:25am
Hi

Most of the banks are in holiday, so for today and next monday market is/will range
  • #84,970
  • Apr 15, 2022 8:34am Apr 15, 2022 8:34am
On daily chart, the push last night is a fake breakout on very thin volume, the previous day's open will be re-tested, on the other hand, this perfectly make TD #9, it extended 126.468. Would it go higher, maybe, but at least won't go pass 126.60 today, heading down from 126.55 is likely for today, maybe forming a head and shoulders on 15-30M charts, again, needs trading volume to push down or up and be out of this sideway trading.
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  • #84,971
  • Apr 15, 2022 9:01am Apr 15, 2022 9:01am
On 60M chart, it is consolidating at the top, it can take hours, just like consolidation at the bottom around 125, if it won't pass 126.53 in the next hours, it will come down.
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  • #84,972
  • Apr 15, 2022 9:37am Apr 15, 2022 9:37am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} on the way to 126.8, I think bears are defeated
126.8 soon
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #84,973
  • Apr 15, 2022 10:27am Apr 15, 2022 10:27am
Moving exactly as analyzed, down 10 pips from 126.52, break this neckline will head to 126-126.20 area in the afternoon. Profit is from sound technical analysis, not from your wishful thinking.
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  • #84,974
  • Apr 15, 2022 10:41am Apr 15, 2022 10:41am
Quoting gem.stocks
Moving exactly as analyzed, down 10 pips from 126.52, break this neckline will head to 126-126.20 area in the afternoon. Profit is from sound technical analysis, not from your wishful thinking. {image}
Good job mate! I dont expect decent move today where is no volatility but could BOJ start little tightening ? Every JPY pair move down egainst USD, lets see
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #84,975
  • Apr 15, 2022 10:53am Apr 15, 2022 10:53am
When fear from bears and greed from longs are at extreme, will go opposite direction. Likely will make a small bounce to 126.38-126.42 neckline area again, then starts to drop more to 126.12 based on 15M chart.
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  • #84,976
  • Apr 15, 2022 11:04am Apr 15, 2022 11:04am
chart for next week
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #84,977
  • Apr 15, 2022 2:22pm Apr 15, 2022 2:22pm
Bounce back right to 126.417 from 126.31, back to the exact neckline price, support becomes resistance. If it cannot break 126.419, or goes below 126.30, expect this bearish wave puts into full play early next week, price targets and possible moving path is on the chart. 4H chart indicates it continues to pull back to today's opening price after this small bounce.


Quoting gem.stocks
When fear from bears and greed from longs are at extreme, will go opposite direction. Likely will make a small bounce to 126.38-126.42 neckline area again, then starts to drop more to 126.12 based on 15M chart. {image}
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  • #84,978
  • Apr 15, 2022 3:49pm Apr 15, 2022 3:49pm
Quoting jonininini
until I break that wedge it will not go down, I keep waiting for shorts, I am in with little capital, I hope my analysis is correct and this goes down {image}
Perfect analysis. 124.9 will be the support H4. And the target will be the trend line of the daily chart.

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  • #84,979
  • Apr 16, 2022 3:02am Apr 16, 2022 3:02am
Quoting palpite
{quote} Perfect analysis. 124.9 will be the support H4. And the target will be the trend line of the daily chart. {image} {image}
Exactly my thinking, and maybe when come we can go much more down, time tells, cheers!
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #84,980
  • Edited 11:41am Apr 16, 2022 11:25am | Edited 11:41am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Exactly my thinking, and maybe when come we can go much more down, time tells, cheers!
If the price re-test the last top, we can expect this drop as you are saying.

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