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  • #147,521
  • Apr 8, 2022 10:44am Apr 8, 2022 10:44am
sell stop 08713 5 pips SL 5min counter trend. If Stopped out, I buy.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,522
  • Apr 8, 2022 10:48am Apr 8, 2022 10:48am
Quoting andvk74
{quote} I don't use WTI for the prediction of the EURUSD.
Thank you for the reply andvk74, may I ask what you yourself use or find helpful for predictions?
  • #147,523
  • Apr 8, 2022 10:56am Apr 8, 2022 10:56am
Quoting mtako
{quote} I really like the sound of being DEAD encouraging to anyone! I won't be able to be around here much in the coming months, so I am trying to share a bit more. I can never really get into too many details, but throughout my posts and live shares there are surely many ideas for the strategy developer out there to test and/or adapt to their own... AND, more than often, plenty of enthusiasm and laughs! But seriously, that is wonderful NickyK! Glad that, even in my often very selfish sharing(because I get more from you guys and gals than I could...
hahaha thanks for the reply mtako, the honesty of your posting is like some weird therapy, especially when my own trades are getting spanked! Gonna trawl back through your musing for inspirations
  • #147,525
  • Apr 8, 2022 11:27am Apr 8, 2022 11:27am
Quoting fxpipper
Structure broke on the 4H so I am in short at 0867. Will add more later.
Well I screwed myself. Short position was going well but I wasn’t around to manage it, and it reversed. Got out for a small loss. No biggie. Will be back at it next week.

This whole week has been just one of those weeks.
  • #147,526
  • Apr 8, 2022 11:30am Apr 8, 2022 11:30am
Quoting NickyK
{quote} hahaha thanks for the reply mtako, the honesty of your posting is like some weird therapy, especially when my own trades are getting spanked! Gonna trawl back through your musing for inspirations
My pleasure! And that makes the two of us, as its my own weird therapy as well. I do my best to have my trading reflect my posts, hence the plenty of sell and buy stops... I usually dont trade with them that much...

I found this week, aside from Monday(my only surviving long term shorts of the week are from there!) and Tuesday, much harder than many. If we would have known, we would have taken the rest of the week off right?
So much indecisiveness...
And these last hours: micro ranging, then outburst, again and again. Like right now, again. So hard to read !

Do you have a crystal ball? Anybody? Please tell me, is the 5min flagging getting ready to continue up or getting beaten by 0870s again, top of range in this established ranging day, to finally pummel down again AGAIN ?
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,527
  • Apr 8, 2022 12:06pm Apr 8, 2022 12:06pm
Quoting NickyK
{quote} hahaha thanks for the reply mtako, the honesty of your posting is like some weird therapy, especially when my own trades are getting spanked! Gonna trawl back through your musing for inspirations
you are right..my colleague is a huge inspiration even if my trades are messed up, i feel kind of not so emotionally disturbed.
please continue your good work..
  • #147,529
  • Apr 8, 2022 12:31pm Apr 8, 2022 12:31pm
Quoting Traderview
DXY 4hrs {image}
Update: After in 4hrs and 1hr.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #147,530
  • Apr 8, 2022 12:31pm Apr 8, 2022 12:31pm
thanks so much for the info...really appreciate it. at this moment i am just placing few trades getting ready to call this just one of those weeks ..
i have a long in the EU but i a not so sure about leaving it over the weekend..
  • #147,531
  • Apr 8, 2022 1:10pm Apr 8, 2022 1:10pm
Quoting emmaelandi
{quote} you are right..my colleague is a huge inspiration even if my trades are messed up, i feel kind of not so emotionally disturbed. please continue your good work..
That is so great, thanks for sharing Emmaelandi. I know how emotions can be tough to manage, at least how it did in my own trading in my beginnings, and especially when I was without strategies where 100% of what to do no matter what happens is known and respected because a proper amount of proof has given that weight to them, and especially when I was without a different, adapted, money management plan for every strategy. But even without that, we as traders have a lot of work to do with emotions ! But fixing that has to be in our top priorities. As you may have guessed, humor and just staying lighthearted all the time does wonders. We have to be free of stress, or else we are less sharp in our analysis and our actions, objective. We have to learn to love our losses just as much as our wins, because there is never one without the other. We could go on and on about all that right? A lot!

Mate ! I am so grateful to have been a positive presence for you, even if it is just for a tiny nudge toward more emotional stability "when the going gets rough".. It took me so long to finally be free of it all, but still, from time to time, when something happens in my personal life, some remnants of my old emotional trader me wakes up, and I have to fight a bit to brush it off, or better, just skip the day...

Quoting mtako
sell stop 08713 5 pips SL 5min counter trend. If Stopped out, I buy.
SL is at 0863, TP 0891, and if not stopped, it will close automatically in 2 hours. But it was doomed the second I got in thinking it was a volatility pullback from the sudden rise. Fell in the Bloody range right away... Normal.. gotta crack some eggs to make an omelet!

I thanks everyone for hanging out here together during this amazing bear week! I should have a big update next week for my shared longer-term shorts!

On a last note, here is my favorite TF of the week, 3H. Beautiful!

Happy peaceful weekend everyone!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,532
  • Apr 8, 2022 1:19pm Apr 8, 2022 1:19pm
Quoting emmaelandi
thanks so much for the info...really appreciate it. at this moment i am just placing few trades getting ready to call this just one of those weeks .. i have a long in the EU but i a not so sure about leaving it over the weekend..
If you ask me, it is rarely worth it. I only keep the ones that I know Ill probably keep for days no matter what and I have a lot to manage. Also, gaps can be much larger than usual...
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,533
  • Apr 8, 2022 2:15pm Apr 8, 2022 2:15pm
We have French elections on Sunday, a bit dangerous to leave trade over the weekend and we are expecting a gap, which direction, I know not. Cheers.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #147,534
  • Apr 8, 2022 2:39pm Apr 8, 2022 2:39pm
Before I call it a day and week, here are my quick s/r levels for Monday...

Even with a gap I don't think the bottom is too far away, so don't stress it.. Leave your trades open or don't... For this week, it won't make a big of a difference imho...

My potential extreme bottom: 1.0798...
My nearest resistance: 1.0921...

Happy weekends to all
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #147,535
  • Apr 8, 2022 2:41pm Apr 8, 2022 2:41pm
Just check what happened for usdx, done over 100 at last, next likely very difficult further up so easily and sell at any top will apply next trading, so mirror in eu, only buy. As in smaller tf usdx failed top already, a retest 100 or even previous top possible to clear /confirm failure to breakout 99.80, pullback and continue below 99.32 to 98 again!
So retest previous low or at least 0846 eu possible to start bull next week most possible
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #147,536
  • Apr 8, 2022 3:03pm Apr 8, 2022 3:03pm
Quoting andvk74
{quote} I use EURGBP, GBPUSD, XAUUSD and few other instruments.
Thank you andvk47
  • #147,537
  • Apr 8, 2022 3:25pm Apr 8, 2022 3:25pm
Quoting fontu
Just check what happened for usdx, done over 100 at last, next likely very difficult further up so easily and sell at any top will apply next trading, so mirror in eu, only buy. As in smaller tf usdx failed top already, a retest 100 or even previous top possible to clear /confirm failure to breakout 99.80, pullback and continue below 99.32 to 98 again! So retest previous low or at least 0846 eu possible to start bull next week most possible {image} {image}
Love that 2nd chart as it is only a matter of time before DXY retests 99.3XXXish. That proved heavy resistance from March 22 until Tuesday when it broke thru and hasn't stopped.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #147,538
  • Apr 8, 2022 4:53pm Apr 8, 2022 4:53pm
Today was a huge liquidity absorption day, but good day to make money from shorts if you bothered to cash out, unlike me who gave it all back.

I see a similar set of circumstances to what we saw on March 28. Sideways channel forming liquidity, then liquidation at the bottom and strong push up through the top liquidity. I suspect we'll see another strong push up on Sunday/Monday to 0938 and maybe even as high as 0975. Great places to short from.

Have a great weekend!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #147,539
  • Edited 2:05am Apr 9, 2022 1:00am | Edited 2:05am
Quoting Sbygneus
Eurusd April 2022{file} {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 25 KB

Eurusd April 2022 sublevels indicator https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...6&d=1649483857
  • #147,540
  • Apr 9, 2022 2:23am Apr 9, 2022 2:23am
April 14, marked in calendar.
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bobrubin