Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

Apparently, the numbers 12-24-48-96-192 and 16-32-64-128-256 are connected between them...

When i use a set of CMA 192, i can find the quart of cycle same like half between 24 or 32(near) and 48 or 64(near)
When i use a set of CMA 384, i can find the quart of cycle same like half between 48 or 64(near) and 96 or 128(near)
When i use a set of CMA 768, i can find the quart of cycle same like half between 96 or 128(near) and 192 or 256(near)



When i use a set of CMA 256, i can find the quart of cycle same like 32(near) or 48 and 64 or 96(near)
When i use a set of CMA 512, i can find the quart of cycle same like 64(near) or 96 and 128 or 192(near)
When i use a set of CMA 1024, i can find the quart of cycle same like 128(near) or 192 and 256 or 384(near)



To know that the half (in average) of 1 cycle is 1/2, example cross to cross or high to low or low to high. Logical
More interesting, to know that the quart (in average) of 1 cycle is : 1/6 or 2/6 of period from full cycle (depends where is situated the quart in four stages of cycle(indicated on picture)).

Of course, more you multiply more you get half cycle + or - the same like previous full cycle.
But, it has been relooked that, cycle(or period) corresponding at cycle calendar is more sensitive... example 1 year/6months/3months/1month/weekly/daily

I looked in all example i have a little lag more compared to period average, example lag of -128 (for CMA 256) for an average of 120 bars from cross to cross.
So, if i reduce the lag of negative shift by 8 (so total of -120) and divided by 2 for the others, i get the same period average like (256 -128), means 240 high to high(or low to low) and 120 for cross to cross, etc.

i show the comparative result on picture.



Same for the others CMA (128 -60, 64 -30, 32 -15), same average, less lag
For the CMA 16 -8, its unchanged (because it should be (-7.5))

For CMAs 192/96/48/24/12

About quart of cycle from CMA 256 -120

H to C = high to cross => average of 80 bars
C to L = cross to low => average of 40 bars
L to C = low to cross => average of 80 bars
C to H = cross to high => average of 40bars

Since I've always liked diagonals but sometimes got stuck caught on the wrong side, this is something interesting in motion.
CMAs and diagonals side by side.

A side of me wishes to go short here as the diagonal is our resistance here.
However orders are consolidating behind the line. Which could mean a break to the upside.
And also CMAs below show a pullback on the middle line and maybe a push towards the upper line.

Let's see how this develops.

Systems in sync:

I have also found the crossing of the 16,32,64 to be very valid intraday as a focal point for the short term on the 5 min chart....I caught this a couple hours ago and have added 2 runners on for what i think will be more south....( as it breaks the center of gravity)

But, if we carry the focal points forward....look what happened, price hit the extention, bounce back to break even...because it did not go above break even I stiill hold with an adjusted tp.

Opened Short position

Target 1,31350 +/- 80

Intermediary Target 1,31590 +/- 32

short btc/usd

stop neutre

la prise de position courte suite au fin de mouvement haussier point focal 16 32.
canal 256 baissier



edit : stoppé

stoppé

Dernier essai : short btc/usd

US30 Daily....inside TP zone

US30 5min...potential upside