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MT4: how to change "EURUSD" to "#EURUSD"? 3 replies

Re: EurUsd short term 15 replies

did oanda just drop its spread for eurusd to 1 pip? 11 replies

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  • Post #1,212,301
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  • Mar 16, 2022 7:03am Mar 16, 2022 7:03am
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 6,927 Posts
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Disliked
I hope you don't ban me for that! Could Ukraine become neutral, like Switzerland? Five things to know. https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...rality-option/
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The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language? I M T
 
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  • Post #1,212,302
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  • Mar 16, 2022 7:09am Mar 16, 2022 7:09am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 3,842 Posts | Invisible
Quoting DrDave
Disliked
{quote} {image}
Ignored
I'll accept it
Feels right this time!
 
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  • Mar 16, 2022 7:10am Mar 16, 2022 7:10am
  •  Nordling
  • Joined Apr 2021 | Status: Mamba Mentality. | 2,881 Posts
Quoting Windstrown
Disliked
{quote} No, expect a big dollar dump today when they increase 0.25% instead of 0.5%. Honestly looking into a/u for a 300 pip move with 30 pip stop. As for eu. It will probably spike down and do up. Fundamentally everything is alligning with technicals with a bunch of ifs. The first one being the eu rates delaying, and the 2nd one happening today as i said above. I may be shifting my bias to long if fed only increases 0.25. But im waiting confirmation because if they do the 0.5 this baby will go to parity. Lmao
Ignored
Why dump dollar if they hike 0.25 bps though? That's the consensus. If the consensus was 0.50 bps, i would agree with you.
 
 
  • Post #1,212,304
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  • Mar 16, 2022 7:19am Mar 16, 2022 7:19am
  •  Windstrown
  • | Joined May 2014 | Status: Member | 1,142 Posts
Quoting Nordling
Disliked
{quote} Why dump dollar if they hike 0.25 bps though? That's the consensus. If the consensus was 0.50 bps, i would agree with you.
Ignored
Youd expect they would agressivly increase the rate to 0.5, due to even higher than expected inflation caused by both ucraine and china new lockdowns of covid blah blah. Thing is, the doing 0m25 is already taking a step back on what they said would be a very strong stance. Its them admitting they are worried their economy wont be able to handle all the hikes they promised. And all those "priced in" investments will swich bias because they were the most speculative investments in the first place.(they placed themselves on strong dollar with mere promises).

The gap that rates will create between the 2 pairs long term is not priced in yet thats important to notice. BUT in the short term and thats what im talking about here, its more than priced in. A move north by 500 -600 pips or so would be expected if they only increase the rates by 0.25. But if they actually go 0.5 thats a whole new story.
 
 
  • Post #1,212,305
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  • Mar 16, 2022 7:42am Mar 16, 2022 7:42am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 3,842 Posts | Invisible
I believe that FED should do 0.50% raise, so the CPI prices can come down, but it will raise only 0.25%. Details of timing and when it will start with Quantitative Tightening is what I will watch for more conclusions.

Some techs on 4H

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Feels right this time!
 
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  • Post #1,212,306
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  • Mar 16, 2022 7:52am Mar 16, 2022 7:52am
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 17,745 Posts
Fear breakout remain intact for usdx, below 98.72 and hold was a signal below 98.50 and specialy breaks 98.39 as breakout tl, 98.27 as next signal and can be below 97.70 leg possible if standard move. Strong try manipulate may today news around 98.39 to previous up and may not new up even. So huge range up and down possible today. Lets see
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  • Post #1,212,307
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  • Mar 16, 2022 7:57am Mar 16, 2022 7:57am
  •  Nordling
  • Joined Apr 2021 | Status: Mamba Mentality. | 2,881 Posts
Quoting Windstrown
Disliked
{quote} Youd expect they would agressivly increase the rate to 0.5, due to even higher than expected inflation caused by both ucraine and china new lockdowns of covid blah blah. Thing is, the doing 0m25 is already taking a step back on what they said would be a very strong stance. Its them admitting they are worried their economy wont be able to handle all the hikes they promised. And all those "priced in" investments will swich bias because they were the most speculative investments in the first place.(they placed themselves on strong dollar with...
Ignored
50 bps would be very bullish for dollar, but i still don't think 25 bps would be bearish though.

There's also another possibility, which is a more tighter policy but a dovish press conference, like ECB did last week.
 
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  • Mar 16, 2022 9:10am Mar 16, 2022 9:10am
  •  Windstrown
  • | Joined May 2014 | Status: Member | 1,142 Posts
Quoting Nordling
Disliked
{quote} 50 bps would be very bullish for dollar, but i still don't think 25 bps would be bearish though. There's also another possibility, which is a more tighter policy but a dovish press conference, like ECB did last week.
Ignored
If 0.25 pnts come before the press conference watch eu jump down instantly for stophunts and then move right back to its place before shooting up during the conference
 
 
  • Post #1,212,309
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  • Mar 16, 2022 10:42am Mar 16, 2022 10:42am
  •  james1254
  • | Joined Sep 2015 | Status: Member | 1,232 Posts
It's testing 1.1000. It's possible it will rally above this level, but so far I am not opening longs.
 
 
  • Post #1,212,310
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  • Mar 16, 2022 10:53am Mar 16, 2022 10:53am
  •  PatienceFx
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Enjoying Trading | 12,545 Posts
Quoting james1254
Disliked
It's testing 1.1000. It's possible it will rally above this level, but so far I am not opening longs.
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lets be friends
 
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  • Mar 16, 2022 11:16am Mar 16, 2022 11:16am
  •  suthmo
  • Joined Feb 2010 | Status: Member | 6,498 Posts
You've got to be in it, to win it.
You have to have a set of large TECHNICALS to make it in this game.
The insane clown possie still going strong i c.

If I was gonna sell would wait for break of 09861
Then I would buy @ 0970
Right now my bulls are happy as I'm adjusting my Technicals.
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
 
 
  • Post #1,212,312
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  • Mar 16, 2022 12:01pm Mar 16, 2022 12:01pm
  •  Nordling
  • Joined Apr 2021 | Status: Mamba Mentality. | 2,881 Posts
Quoting Nordling
Disliked
{quote} EURUSD and EURGBP couldn't break these supply zones so far even though price tested these zones many times. Looking at the price of oil, gold and also the VIX, looks like the market almost already priced in a possible peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. So even though Ukraine and Russia make a peace deal, EURUSD's move to the upside is limited. However, what can carry EURUSD to the north is a dovish surprise from the FED. If FED doesn't hike the rates, which is a very little possibility but still a possibility, then we can see EURUSD...
Ignored
Today's price action again confirmed that peace deals cannot help the Euro.

Now it all depends on the FED...

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  • Post #1,212,313
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  • Mar 16, 2022 12:12pm Mar 16, 2022 12:12pm
  •  here2there
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Moving on... | 5,339 Posts
Quoting Nordling
Disliked
{quote} Today's price action again confirmed that peace deals cannot help the Euro. Now it all depends on the FED... {image}
Ignored
There is a reason why there is a lot of talk about digital currency, and Bitcoin. When you dig deeper, you will see where this is going. The end of fiat is inevitable.
You don't know because you don't ask.
 
 
  • Post #1,212,314
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  • Mar 16, 2022 12:18pm Mar 16, 2022 12:18pm
  •  suthmo
  • Joined Feb 2010 | Status: Member | 6,498 Posts
Quoting here2there
Disliked
{quote} There is a reason why there is a lot of talk about digital currency, and Bitcoin. When you dig deeper, you will see where this is going. The end of fiat is inevitable.
Ignored
Beast Mark System
Your Wealth Will be Assimilated Stacking is Futile
Resistance... is futile...
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Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
 
 
  • Post #1,212,315
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  • Mar 16, 2022 12:32pm Mar 16, 2022 12:32pm
  •  Nordling
  • Joined Apr 2021 | Status: Mamba Mentality. | 2,881 Posts
Quoting here2there
Disliked
{quote} There is a reason why there is a lot of talk about digital currency, and Bitcoin. When you dig deeper, you will see where this is going. The end of fiat is inevitable.
Ignored
I love Bitcoin and other cryptos, they were a good investment during the FED's loose monetary policy, but they are crashed a week after the FED announced tapering. Back in November. Sold my cryptos when BTC was 62k.

I also used Bitcoin to quickly fund my trading account etc. They are faster and cheaper than sending money overseas. No tax as well.

But i don't think Bitcoin can be the next gold, cryptos do not have an underlying value like gold and other precious metals have. When the war affected precious metals good, cryptos are affected badly.

Crypto market actually correlates with the stock market a lot. Both very good inflation hedges but performs poorly during high interest rate eras.

So my conclusion is cryptos are risky assets, just like the stocks, but they are much more liquid than the stocks.

To give an example cryptos are like buying a car for 20 Tesla shares. So i get the car and you get your 20 shares directly into your bank account, without bothering to convert them into dollars.
 
 
  • Post #1,212,316
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  • Mar 16, 2022 12:43pm Mar 16, 2022 12:43pm
  •  here2there
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Moving on... | 5,339 Posts
Quoting Nordling
Disliked
{quote} I love Bitcoin and other cryptos, they were a good investment during the FED's loose monetary policy, but they are crashed a week after the FED announced tapering. Back in November. Sold my cryptos when BTC was 62k. I also used Bitcoin to quickly fund my trading account etc. They are faster and cheaper than sending money overseas. No tax as well. But i don't think Bitcoin can be the next gold, cryptos do not have an underlying value like gold and other precious metals have. When the war affected precious metals good, cryptos are affected...
Ignored
I think your perspective on crypto will change.
You don't know because you don't ask.
 
 
  • Post #1,212,317
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  • Mar 16, 2022 12:58pm Mar 16, 2022 12:58pm
  •  HTG
  • Joined Apr 2020 | Status: Member | 109 Posts | Online Now
Quoting here2there
Disliked
{quote} There is a reason why there is a lot of talk about digital currency, and Bitcoin. When you dig deeper, you will see where this is going. The end of fiat is inevitable.
Ignored
Certainly something that can happen and not knocking your viewpoint, huge guess though and why? Are you setup to profit from it? What are you planning in the event this happens or more importantly, you think this is going to happen so what are you doing about it? Is it changing your day to day life?

Ill take the other side:

Cash is KING.

Yes, there is talk about a US Central bank digital currency (CBDC) and then you have others that will become more acceptable once a CBDC is in place or perhaps not, I can see a case where its the CBDC from a digital perspective and thats it on a large scale, you may still have the "other digital currencies" but they may not be as widely accepted as one might think or want.

You can comment here and also read public comments on this paper.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/publi...sion-paper.htm

You also have the FAQ here - https://www.federalreserve.gov/cbdc-faqs.htm

#2 - "means to expand safe payment options, not reduce or replace them" as it relates to cash or paper currency.

Either way....as long as we have a market to trade/invest were ok. If the US adopts a digital currency so will others and we will be trading the US.CBDC/CAD.CBDC etc....

Here in the US, I go back to COVID and business that where starting to get on the train of Cashless payments (Not accepting Cash). This went on for a bit during COVID but I am certainly happy to see most of these places if not all are back to accepting cash. GOOD move in my opining. I spoke with several, they lost a-lot of business by not accepting cash and they realized that.

This also comes from the people as well, people standing up and saying NO to places that were not accepting cash. I know I certainly did. If they didn't accept cash, I was not giving them my business (In most cases to be fair).

So I am happy to see places getting back to cash (for awhile now), its a wonderful thing. I dont think its going anywhere, anytime soon.
 
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  • Post #1,212,318
  • Quote
  • Mar 16, 2022 12:58pm Mar 16, 2022 12:58pm
  •  Nordling
  • Joined Apr 2021 | Status: Mamba Mentality. | 2,881 Posts
Quoting here2there
Disliked
{quote} I think your perspective on crypto will change.
Ignored
Let's see what the time brings buddy! Greenest pips and yellowest bitcoins to all of us
 
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  • Post #1,212,319
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  • Mar 16, 2022 1:11pm Mar 16, 2022 1:11pm
  •  F.g
  • Joined Aug 2016 | Status: Member | 5,402 Posts | Online Now
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JY .... Took 50% of prfts here at 58 and SL for the rest at 52

 
 
  • Post #1,212,320
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  • Edited at 1:36pm Mar 16, 2022 1:14pm | Edited at 1:36pm
  •  Nordling
  • Joined Apr 2021 | Status: Mamba Mentality. | 2,881 Posts
Quoting HTG
Disliked
{quote} Certainly something that can happen and not knocking your viewpoint, huge guess though and why? Are you setup to profit from it? What are you planning in the event this happens or more importantly, you think this is going to happen so what are you doing about it? Is it changing your day to day life? Ill take the other side: Cash is KING. Yes, there is talk about a US Central bank digital currency (CBDC) and then you have others that will become more acceptable once a CBDC is in place or perhaps not, I can see a case where its the CBDC from...
Ignored
That reminded me of the festival i went back in 2019. Me and my friends went there to camp, set our tents, we also didn't bring too much cash because they could get stolen easily, we thought our bank and credit cards will be enough.

Guess what, the festival site were too far away from the city center and place was like it did not change since the 70s, cafes and restaurants were not accepting credit cards. We were totally messed up

Had to walk for 10 kms in the summer of Mediterranean, where the summers are around 40-45 celsius degrees. Even truckers didn’t pick us up since we were a crowded pack of teenagers. We had to steal water bottles to survive during that walk in the afternoon

That day i understand the meaning of "cash is king" and since that day i carry unnecessary amount of cash in my wallet, just in case

Unless i am guaranteed that my phone's battery will never die and every single business will accept digital payments, i am not giving up on cash ever again
 
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