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  • #1,212,281
  • Mar 15, 2022 6:22pm Mar 15, 2022 6:22pm
Quoting PatienceFx
I am sorry guys for sharing my live trades in public, it will never happen again

I appreciate you sharing your live trades, even if it is just demo.
Trying my best.
  • #1,212,282
  • Mar 15, 2022 7:08pm Mar 15, 2022 7:08pm
Quoting Winston Reed
Technical analysis tells all. It doesn't lie. Execute trades based on your technical expertise based on criteria you determine. No predictions. {image}
Well said. Don't predict. Read instead!
How to succeed in zero sum game?
  • #1,212,283
  • Mar 15, 2022 10:52pm Mar 15, 2022 10:52pm
Quoting moondoggie
{quote} I appreciate you sharing your live trades, even if it is just demo.
trading demo at zero risk helps when you know how to convert it into cash in.bank
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  • #1,212,284
  • Mar 15, 2022 10:56pm Mar 15, 2022 10:56pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} Simple reason {image}
even if daily macd has its say, eu may not go beyond week R1
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  • #1,212,285
  • Mar 15, 2022 11:11pm Mar 15, 2022 11:11pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} trading demo at zero risk helps when you know how to convert it into cash in.bank {image}
How is this honest?
Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #1,212,286
  • Mar 15, 2022 11:15pm Mar 15, 2022 11:15pm
Quoting here2there
{quote} are you saying you are a scammer?
worse than that, i work for Joe Biden himself
  • #1,212,287
  • Mar 15, 2022 11:23pm Mar 15, 2022 11:23pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} worse than that, i work for Joe Biden himself
Seriously, where is the honesty in providing a signal service using a demo account? Is that what you are doing?
Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #1,212,288
  • Mar 15, 2022 11:25pm Mar 15, 2022 11:25pm
market is expecting a 25 bps rate hike, but if it comes 10 bps ; expect a very strong usd longs unwinding
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  • #1,212,289
  • Mar 16, 2022 3:17am Mar 16, 2022 3:17am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
You can compare, measure and use logic to come to a conclusion for where price will travel and for how many pips in a day, but not always with the same accuracy. Highs and lows are the most easy examples to take. Volatility also can help predict a range. Lets see if, EU travels to 0918 where I predict it will go today if, volatility helps. I am not always right!
I was wrong -8 pips from the price I predicted, I hope you read all of my posts and not just words from one line here and one line there.

I guess the traders was in a hurry to take out profits fom their bearish positions predicting a FED rate raise and now the price left to the markets fate, so we may have the scenario that says "buy the rumor and sell the fact" like JauntyLoon is writing in his posts, so be careful with your shorts.

Its early yet to make a conclusion, but the war in Ukraine isn't a good omen for the EU pair, better is to sell any spikes in price yet.
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  • #1,212,290
  • Mar 16, 2022 4:57am Mar 16, 2022 4:57am
Quoting Nordling
Looks like the illogical jumps in EUR/USD and EUR/GBP are stopped by these supply zones. Risk off news affecting Euro bullish was not reasonable in any way. I am open to any opposing info though. {image}
EURUSD and EURGBP couldn't break these supply zones so far even though price tested these zones many times.

Looking at the price of oil, gold and also the VIX, looks like the market almost already priced in a possible peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. So even though Ukraine and Russia make a peace deal, EURUSD's move to the upside is limited.

However, what can carry EURUSD to the north is a dovish surprise from the FED. If FED doesn't hike the rates, which is a very little possibility but still a possibility, then we can see EURUSD going up very strongly.

The base case scenario is a 0.25% rate hike, i don't expect much surprise, so i will keep my EU shorts open.
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #1,212,291
  • Mar 16, 2022 4:58am Mar 16, 2022 4:58am
Quoting Winston Reed
{quote} I can't argue with this. It's against daily but H4 logic holds water IMHO. I have live and demo with Oanda. I use both. I'll never put down anyone showing their trades live or demo.{image}
I can't argue with this. It's against daily ...

For day traders, D1 is a rather large TF. When D1 is clearly going in one direction, then eventually, it will reverse. Isn't it obvious that this reversal can be monitored on the smaller TFs as they go into trends AGAINST the current D1 direction? And the ONLY way the D1 will get reversed is if EVERY TF below it is reversed. So clearly, it is absolutely normal for these smaller TFs to go against D1. This is one of the edges that multi-TF analysis provides.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #1,212,292
  • Mar 16, 2022 5:13am Mar 16, 2022 5:13am
Quoting Nordling
{quote} EURUSD and EURGBP couldn't break these supply zones so far even though price tested these zones many times. Looking at the price of oil, gold and also the VIX, looks like the market almost already priced in a possible peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. So even though Ukraine and Russia make a peace deal, EURUSD's move to the upside is limited. However, what can carry EURUSD to the north is a dovish surprise from the FED. If FED doesn't hike the rates, which is a very little possibility but still a possibility, then we can see EURUSD...
No, expect a big dollar dump today when they increase 0.25% instead of 0.5%. Honestly looking into a/u for a 300 pip move with 30 pip stop. As for eu. It will probably spike down and do up. Fundamentally everything is alligning with technicals with a bunch of ifs. The first one being the eu rates delaying, and the 2nd one happening today as i said above. I may be shifting my bias to long if fed only increases 0.25.

But im waiting confirmation because if they do the 0.5 this baby will go to parity. Lmao
  • #1,212,293
  • Mar 16, 2022 5:17am Mar 16, 2022 5:17am
Quoting Windstrown
{quote} No, expect a big dollar dump today when they increase 0.25% instead of 0.5%. Honestly looking into a/u for a 300 pip move with 30 pip stop. As for eu. It will probably spike down and do up. Fundamentally everything is alligning with technicals with a bunch of ifs. The first one being the eu rates delaying, and the 2nd one happening today as i said above. I may be shifting my bias to long if fed only increases 0.25. But im waiting confirmation because if they do the 0.5 this baby will go to parity. Lmao
More than 50bp is priced in...7-8 hikes this year, but fed might do 2-3 tops. Even if they do 50bp today, EU will go towards 1.20 eventually, forget about parity. USD will soon lose its reserve currency status and becomes the next Ruble.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #1,212,294
  • Mar 16, 2022 5:34am Mar 16, 2022 5:34am
Broken 1103 was enough for bounce back further up and at the same time enough correction to down continue as medium strong bear at this good support zone but the allegedly no good bottom at hand, a slop of 45 degrees not indicating flat support rather born to break type. So no chances hold long around this level! Just taking better higher position to absorb news shock today night. Likely sell off daily, even above immediate previous high ! So ready for short at any high and only one way play for me. Take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,212,295
  • Mar 16, 2022 5:46am Mar 16, 2022 5:46am
I hope you don't ban me for that!

Could Ukraine become neutral, like Switzerland? Five things to know.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...rality-option/
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  • #1,212,296
  • Mar 16, 2022 6:03am Mar 16, 2022 6:03am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
I hope you don't ban me for that! Could Ukraine become neutral, like Switzerland? Five things to know. https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...rality-option/
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To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #1,212,297
  • Mar 16, 2022 6:09am Mar 16, 2022 6:09am
Quoting DrDave
{quote} {image}
I'll accept it
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  • #1,212,298
  • Mar 16, 2022 6:10am Mar 16, 2022 6:10am
Quoting Windstrown
{quote} No, expect a big dollar dump today when they increase 0.25% instead of 0.5%. Honestly looking into a/u for a 300 pip move with 30 pip stop. As for eu. It will probably spike down and do up. Fundamentally everything is alligning with technicals with a bunch of ifs. The first one being the eu rates delaying, and the 2nd one happening today as i said above. I may be shifting my bias to long if fed only increases 0.25. But im waiting confirmation because if they do the 0.5 this baby will go to parity. Lmao
Why dump dollar if they hike 0.25 bps though? That's the consensus. If the consensus was 0.50 bps, i would agree with you.
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #1,212,299
  • Mar 16, 2022 6:19am Mar 16, 2022 6:19am
Quoting Nordling
{quote} Why dump dollar if they hike 0.25 bps though? That's the consensus. If the consensus was 0.50 bps, i would agree with you.
Youd expect they would agressivly increase the rate to 0.5, due to even higher than expected inflation caused by both ucraine and china new lockdowns of covid blah blah. Thing is, the doing 0m25 is already taking a step back on what they said would be a very strong stance. Its them admitting they are worried their economy wont be able to handle all the hikes they promised. And all those "priced in" investments will swich bias because they were the most speculative investments in the first place.(they placed themselves on strong dollar with mere promises).

The gap that rates will create between the 2 pairs long term is not priced in yet thats important to notice. BUT in the short term and thats what im talking about here, its more than priced in. A move north by 500 -600 pips or so would be expected if they only increase the rates by 0.25. But if they actually go 0.5 thats a whole new story.
  • #1,212,300
  • Mar 16, 2022 6:42am Mar 16, 2022 6:42am
I believe that FED should do 0.50% raise, so the CPI prices can come down, but it will raise only 0.25%. Details of timing and when it will start with Quantitative Tightening is what I will watch for more conclusions.

Some techs on 4H

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