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  • #1,211,261
  • Feb 25, 2022 10:33pm Feb 25, 2022 10:33pm
Quoting Dutchy3
{quote} Hmmm, not so sure Dr Dave. EUR seems resilient against the USD even with the Russian aggression. Thursday and Friday the MM's accumulated LONG. There will be a shed load of liquidity (SHORT stops) at 114.800 - ish that will need to be taken out for a subsequent drive further south and this may be taken in the next week or two, for sure. If Ukraine declares neutrality and states it will de-militarizes (like Switzerland) in the coming week or two the EUR may well bounce. {image}
this the best post i have seen in a while well done and i hope they do that will stop the warmonger's in nato
people leave, but this thread will go on for ever
  • #1,211,262
  • Feb 26, 2022 12:35am Feb 26, 2022 12:35am
Quoting gatorinla
Kazakhstan refuses to send troops requested by Putin. Even Putin's allies are turning their back on him. Ukraine is fighting back. Russia sent enough troops for an invasion. But will need 2x + more, for a sustained Gorilla War. I suspect more Russian anti war protest to follow. Repeat of 1980s Afghanistan. More NATO troops are now on his border. OOPS! https://kyivindependent.com/uncatego...st-for-troops/ https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/25/russ...continues.html...
Oh, come on "kyivindependent", are you seriously!
  • #1,211,263
  • Feb 26, 2022 1:13am Feb 26, 2022 1:13am
I wouldn't read too much into this rally at the moment.
Technically and otherwise, everything is against it.
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Compulsions can be hard to resist
  • #1,211,264
  • Feb 26, 2022 1:28am Feb 26, 2022 1:28am
USD really would have to break a key support zone to help the Euro up
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Compulsions can be hard to resist
  • #1,211,265
  • Feb 26, 2022 1:52am Feb 26, 2022 1:52am
Quoting DmShka
{quote} Oh, come on "kyivindependent", are you seriously!
This is Gator we're talking about. When even corporate media weren't furnishing Trump/Russia Collusion conspiracy theories wild enough for his imagination he visited blogs that did and actually posted about it on this site, IIRC.
  • #1,211,266
  • Feb 26, 2022 2:32am Feb 26, 2022 2:32am
Quoting ClinicalEx
{quote} This is Gator we're talking about. When even corporate media weren't furnishing Trump/Russia Collusion conspiracy theories wild enough for his imagination he visited blogs that did and actually posted about it on this site, IIRC.
I see, I just saw my homeland in thread and was curious.
P.S. Gator speacially for you, it could be possible if someone attack Russia, then it's will be reasonable share such news, but now it's looks, sorry, stupid and emotional.
  • #1,211,267
  • Edited 5:16am Feb 26, 2022 3:05am | Edited 5:16am
Quoting trumps
USD really would have to break a key support zone to help the Euro up {image} {image}
too near and possible but at the cost of tanking , apparently war comes up anywhere when there risk dollar crush ! unwillingly it to bull and doing greatly too as all investors in fear specially possible affected zones eu get refuge for safety damaging their own safety. they will not think about any when in trouble ! just my idea.
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,211,268
  • Feb 26, 2022 3:11am Feb 26, 2022 3:11am
Quoting trumps
I wouldn't read too much into this rally at the moment. Technically and otherwise, everything is against it. {image} {image} {image}
I disagree. A rally has a lot of valuable information: what % did it retrace? How many TFs are included? How long did it last compared to the swing that it is retracing?, etc.

There is nothing "against" a rally. A "good" one is normally a repositioning by big traders to get to a higher entry price for making a sell-off into the down trend. The smaller ones are normally either just some profit taking by smaller traders or buys by traders that see a break out.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #1,211,269
  • Feb 26, 2022 3:34am Feb 26, 2022 3:34am
Quoting DrDave
{quote} I disagree. A rally has a lot of valuable information: what % did it retrace? How many TFs are included? How long did it last compared to the swing that it is retracing?, etc. There is nothing "against" a rally. A "good" one is normally a repositioning by big traders to get to a higher entry price for making a sell-off into the down trend. The smaller ones are normally either just some profit taking by smaller traders or buys by traders that see a break out.
I think you have misunderstood me.
I simply meant, I don't think this rally will go up too far.
Compulsions can be hard to resist
  • #1,211,270
  • Feb 26, 2022 3:43am Feb 26, 2022 3:43am
Quoting Dutchy3
{quote} Hmmm, not so sure Dr Dave. EUR seems resilient against the USD even with the Russian aggression. Thursday and Friday the MM's accumulated LONG. There will be a shed load of liquidity (SHORT stops) at 114.800 - ish that will need to be taken out for a subsequent drive further south and this may be taken in the next week or two, for sure. If Ukraine declares neutrality and states it will de-militarizes (like Switzerland) in the coming week or two the EUR may well bounce. {image}
I think that you are looking at smaller TFs than those that I mentioned in that post. It shows the Y3 in a down swing and MN8 in position to swing down. MN8 is far away from W1/W2 ("may be taken out in the next week or two"), so of course there must be swings in both directions on smaller TFs before the MN8 is confirmed to be turned down. In fact, I mentioned nothing smaller than the MN2 TF. So, it is absolutely expected that "the EUR may well bounce": On some TFs, this will play out as a multi-swing up trend while on others, it will be nothing more than an up swing, and on large enough TFs, hardly register at all.

So, when you speak of events playing out over a weekly (or more) period compared to the Y3 and MN8 that I presented, of course there will be swings both up and down on those smaller TFs. But for me, it is not so important when on the clock/calendar that they occur because I follow the leader with lagging indicators and make entries only after a turn is confirmed. In addition, as I mentioned in another post, it takes an extreme world event to have a visible effect on TFs of MN1 and higher. Look at the EURUSD chart W1 and MN1. Does Feb 24 look like it had any significant effect on these TFs? Look at W1 on Jan 30 and Feb 24: Both are wide range bars but in opposite directions. Then check MN1: Any singe bar that stands out over the period Jan 2021 until today? I don't see one.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #1,211,271
  • Feb 26, 2022 4:07am Feb 26, 2022 4:07am
Quoting trumps
{quote} I think you have misunderstood me. I simply meant, I don't think this rally will go up too far.
I simply meant, I don't think this rally will go up too far.

Then yes, I did misunderstand you.

Also, you need to include the TF that you are referencing in order for "go up too far" to make any sense. I think the chart you posted is D1. For example, D1 through W1 are all actually in down swings, not rallies. But I do see a rally that has reached the H8 TF, and considering the time that it has lasted and the fact that it has already retraced about 75%, together with M2 in a confirmed down trend now, I have an expectation that the rally has ended. But an expectation does not equate to an opportunity to start selling. It will be more convincing if it can continue through the M8.

The zone 1.13-1.14 could also be harboring sufficient liquidity to make a drop from there attractive without needing to push to 1.1480.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #1,211,272
  • Feb 26, 2022 4:45am Feb 26, 2022 4:45am
Quoting DrDave
{quote} I think that you are looking at smaller TFs than those that I mentioned in that post. It shows the Y3 in a down swing and MN8 in position to swing down. MN8 is far away from W1/W2 ("may be taken out in the next week or two"), so of course there must be swings in both directions on smaller TFs before the MN8 is confirmed to be turned down. In fact, I mentioned nothing smaller than the MN2 TF. So, it is absolutely expected that "the EUR may well bounce": On some TFs,...
Slowest TF I can run is MN. Yep nothing on NM looks to be supportive of LONG
  • #1,211,273
  • Feb 26, 2022 6:25am Feb 26, 2022 6:25am
Quoting DmShka
{quote} Oh, come on "kyivindependent", are you seriously!
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Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,211,274
  • Feb 26, 2022 6:28am Feb 26, 2022 6:28am
Quoting DmShka
{quote} Oh, come on "kyivindependent", are you seriously!
I guess all the other news outlets (not in Russia) are lying too.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,211,275
  • Feb 26, 2022 6:32am Feb 26, 2022 6:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah, I'm one of the lizard people your buddies warned you about.
get a life, you know nothing about history
  • #1,211,276
  • Feb 26, 2022 6:32am Feb 26, 2022 6:32am
Quoting ClinicalEx
{quote} This is Gator we're talking about. When even corporate media weren't furnishing Trump/Russia Collusion conspiracy theories wild enough for his imagination he visited blogs that did and actually posted about it on this site, IIRC.
Yeah, I'm one of the lizard people your buddies warned you about. Forks are sticking to my head. People cant be so stupid w/o practice.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,211,277
  • Feb 26, 2022 7:02am Feb 26, 2022 7:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I put pending one at 1308 with a small stop (donation). I think 1300 will attract it. If it drops between 1300 and 1308, I will kick myself. 1300/1308.6 may be a sweet spot. My s/l can be tight here. Plus the EU loves 100 pips. 1208 is 100 pips below. After that i could do 1331. But 1368/69 has a double reason.
Disclaimer. Sunday and Monday often retraces. I hope to see 1300/08 first. But "hope" is detrimental in trading. 133x and 1368 are second and third choices. With 1208 as a pivot. 1308/10 may reached. I would of rathered it had happened Friday.

NATO did activate its response time for the first time. I dont know how it will affect the market. And neither does any of the genius out there. See what your eyes show.
Be nimble enough to know you dont know it all. https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/25/polit...sia/index.html

Month support 1208 and 116x helped the late week rise. The month ends Monday. Price has a chance either side to close. 1088 and 1123 helped the bounce also,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,211,278
  • Feb 26, 2022 9:50am Feb 26, 2022 9:50am
The price is moving inside this weekly wedge looking down.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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On the 4H chart price is consolidating first stop should be around 1.1300 at the half of this range.

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Except the war in Ukraine, US NFP is the main event of next week.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #1,211,279
  • Feb 26, 2022 10:20am Feb 26, 2022 10:20am
just checking possibilities Monday prices , must compete for monthly close 1.1232 , test retest again and again possible this level . so will target it from up and down to see what happen , likely it not able close there too so easily as very big ranges in the making in bottom formation , enough spaces there to play with great changes yet , anything can happen with war though ! take care
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,211,280
  • Feb 26, 2022 10:29am Feb 26, 2022 10:29am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The price is moving inside this weekly wedge looking down. {image} On the 4H chart price is consolidating first stop should be around 1.1300 at the half of this range. {image} Except the war in Ukraine, US NFP is the main event of next week.
Check the MN2 TF and you will see that price is simply running in the MN2 down swing.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
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