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  • #1,209,561
  • Feb 3, 2022 2:53pm Feb 3, 2022 2:53pm
Quoting trumps
{quote} I most certainly won't argue with any of that. Have great day mate. Enjoy.
You too buddy, greenest pips to you!
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #1,209,562
  • Feb 3, 2022 2:56pm Feb 3, 2022 2:56pm
Added to my EURGBP shorts:

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You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #1,209,563
  • Feb 3, 2022 3:19pm Feb 3, 2022 3:19pm
I'm getting a strong feeling this isn't gonna come down and I need to get long right now and close my sell. Somethings not rite for selling that is I can see the wave up is not complete. This move up today does not seem to be complete.
Strong feeling we're just gonna steam on through to 1550 1600. I closed sell and buy again at 14333
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #1,209,564
  • Feb 3, 2022 3:29pm Feb 3, 2022 3:29pm
Quoting here2there
My concern is there wasn't a strong rejection from the supply zone on the Daily. So far, today's daily candle has a range more than 180 pips. One would think a strong pullback would occur following such a candle. But it is looking like bears are exhausted. This is leading me to believe we could see higher prices, as high as the gray rectangle you see on the image below, which is also an area of supply. I would like to see at least a 50% retracement on the weekly candle before bulls take it higher. But you never know with a move like we have seen...
We'll know more tomorrow. Is this just a liquidity grab or a real move? Is it an accumulation or redistribution on the daily? Our questions will (hopefully) be answered. I posted a couple of forecasts using Wyckoff, as I favored the idea of it being a redistribution after seeing what looked like the UTAD, and then the SOW after. But that UTAD could easily be an SOS, and the SOW could be the Spring, and this whole thing could be an accumulation. Even this late into the schematic it's still hard to tell for sure. Been looking for the LPSY to be made all week, but as it goes higher and higher, the idea holds less and less water.

If it does drop after NFP then some of us will just shrug, "yep I was right", and if it goes up even further then the line drawing artists and retail devotees will jump for joy and let everyone know about it. In that case I'll be like, "whoops, my bad", and start buying with them. Haha.

We're allowed to change our minds as new evidence emerges.

Quote
Note: If I get a thumbs down on this post, then I likely won't share anymore ideas here. All it takes is one person to ruin things for everyone. I don't have to share my analyses. I do this out of kindness.
You gotta let that go now. Why does it even bother you so much? Making this statement is just inviting people to dislike your posts even more. Clearly it's someone you've had beef with just messing with you. Eventually they'll stop when you stop caring, and posting more good information. I would keep doing that. In the interim, let anyone dislike however they wish. Hell, anyone is free to dislike my posts at any time they want. It won't affect me in the slightest. I won't even notice.
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  • #1,209,565
  • Feb 3, 2022 3:58pm Feb 3, 2022 3:58pm
Quoting suthmo
I'm getting a strong feeling this isn't gonna come down...
I also think it may go higher. But it would be nice to at least get a decent pullback first.
Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #1,209,566
  • Feb 3, 2022 4:04pm Feb 3, 2022 4:04pm
Quoting fxpipper
...You gotta let that go now. Why does it even bother you so much? Making this statement is just inviting people to dislike your posts even more. Clearly it's someone you've had beef with just messing with you. Eventually they'll stop when you stop caring, and posting more good information. I would keep doing that. In the interim, let anyone dislike however they wish. Hell, anyone is free to dislike my posts at any time they want. It won't affect me in the slightest. I won't even notice. {image}
It's a matter of respect for fellow traders. If I post nonsense that has nothing to do with trading, then I would expect people to thumbs down such content. But if I am going out of my way to share charts with useful commentary, then such posts should not get a thumbs down. As for who is doing this to me, I think I know who it is, and if I am right about who I think it is, then I have no doubt it is being done out of malice.
Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #1,209,567
  • Feb 3, 2022 4:17pm Feb 3, 2022 4:17pm
Bears are extremely weak!

The image below was taken from H4. At the moment, a bullish trend continuation pattern appears to be forming, which isn't surprising considering how strongly EURUSD has moved up. Fortunately for bulls, bears have responded poorly to a key area of supply. Is this going to turn out to be a bull trap? Will bears muster up enough strength to do something about this? Time will tell.
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Sentiment has changed.
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Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #1,209,568
  • Feb 3, 2022 4:50pm Feb 3, 2022 4:50pm
theres a lesson in here somewhere ,as thats not a false weekly
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,569
  • Feb 3, 2022 5:08pm Feb 3, 2022 5:08pm
Quoting Bones
theres a lesson in here somewhere ,as thats not a false weekly {image}
So you expect an apology, why though, are you the only one that expected dollar to depreciate and euro & pound to appreciate?

If you were to beat me i would definitely apologise from you. However, you can see that i have GU, GA and EA long positions.

So tell me Bones, did your system win or mine? I think this is unfortunately a draw. So no apologies yet, you really need to beat my trades for that.
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #1,209,570
  • Feb 3, 2022 9:51pm Feb 3, 2022 9:51pm
DAILY
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  • #1,209,571
  • Feb 3, 2022 11:52pm Feb 3, 2022 11:52pm
Quoting Nordling
{quote} You too buddy, greenest pips to you!
I think EU could climb to 1530 area
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Compulsions can be hard to resist
  • #1,209,572
  • Feb 4, 2022 1:25am Feb 4, 2022 1:25am
https://www.cmegroup.com/insights/ec...d-reality.html

With investors expectations actually underestimating the Fed rate hikes during their past 4 tightening cycles, who knows where the USD will go.

What's most interesting, is that the dips and rises in investor expectations throughout the years, is very accurately copied by the actual USD price chart in the same years.

Large bearish candles appearing soon after resistance was broken (and from higher up than we are now), were also shown to have no continuation as they were bearish into support (trap).
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Compulsions can be hard to resist
  • #1,209,573
  • Feb 4, 2022 2:57am Feb 4, 2022 2:57am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Still unwoond from this rise up (gross) because I had the idea to exit with minor pips from my small selling position which I added yesterday (at 1290) thinking about inflation should add a hawkish tone to Lagarde and so did that happen! There is a reason to be happy here, (big miss, if I think I made only some pips) because I didn't lost, so no gain, but no pain - Neutral. NFP tomorrow, i don't see good either for the Dollar, but Friday, profit taking may consolidate this huge, corection below 1.1500 which currently is where I think...
We are still below 1.1500, I will wait for the dust to settle at the market and also watch the NFP numbers which may come below the forecast of 110.000 here at the forexfactory calendar. Next week will be interesting to see how much the FED hawks pricing the rate hikes at March and later on.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #1,209,574
  • Feb 4, 2022 3:05am Feb 4, 2022 3:05am
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I still see potential for higher. Long at 58 . However...if E. is very strong today ,it might reach areas where a reversal is to develop.... 1.15 20-60...??? We ll see. I don't forecast anything.

  • #1,209,575
  • Feb 4, 2022 4:13am Feb 4, 2022 4:13am
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2 shorts in DOW with SL at BE. Safe trade now.

  • #1,209,576
  • Edited 4:45am Feb 4, 2022 4:29am | Edited 4:45am
let's see if it can reach around 1400 before another higher

NFP is often a trigger for profit taking

Else its going to 1,17+ within time
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #1,209,577
  • Feb 4, 2022 5:12am Feb 4, 2022 5:12am
Quoting here2there
If you are wondering why EURUSD moved up so strongly, it is because USD hit a major supply zone. {image}
Yes, partially I agree. However, this seems to be much more of a EUR move than USD. EUR is up huge against GBP, NZD, CHF, and AUD as well.
  • #1,209,578
  • Feb 4, 2022 7:21am Feb 4, 2022 7:21am
EUR will end up at 1.13 after a surprise NFP.

I sold from 1.146 and put a stop above 1.152.
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #1,209,579
  • Feb 4, 2022 7:38am Feb 4, 2022 7:38am
The supply zone on the Daily has been breached. Even if by a pip, it is enough to invalidate it. This means it is more likely we will see higher prices on EURUSD in the coming days, or weeks. Now it is a question of how deep the pullback will be. On the other hand, it could all fall apart, and bears could regain control, sending EURUSD back down to the basement. Though this seems unlikely, I don't rule out the possibility. Time will tell.
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Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #1,209,580
  • Feb 4, 2022 7:40am Feb 4, 2022 7:40am
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My longs were stoped at 59 for BE before NFP #s . Now watching , while they digest the figures.

I have pendings to go long as shown IF they decide to reverse to UP. . . . .

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