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  • #144,641
  • Feb 1, 2022 7:42am Feb 1, 2022 7:42am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Ummm.. May I pass? lol My thoughts about the general flow: Based on the morning star which I mentioned on my daily chart post, I would anticipate some mild down move before bulls push it up again.. Let's say the middle of those large bottom candles: 1.1188 would be okay to expect a retest.. Let's see..
I'm out at 1.1260. Somewhat vexed I didn't bank at 1.1256. That would have been 4 more pips. Mcheewwwww... that's the way we hiss/sign in my country when we are angry.
  • #144,642
  • Feb 1, 2022 7:55am Feb 1, 2022 7:55am
putting a short scalp at 1.1266 with SL at 1.1274, aiming to reach 1.1240 atleast. Just my idea for the short term still holding long for 1.13
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  • #144,643
  • Feb 1, 2022 8:03am Feb 1, 2022 8:03am
Reaching momentum one more time, see if can ride to above last high, one hour I think
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,644
  • Edited 9:27am Feb 1, 2022 8:47am | Edited 9:27am
Quoting Lyn101
putting a short scalp at 1.1266 with SL at 1.1274, aiming to reach 1.1240 atleast. Just my idea for the short term still holding long for 1.13{image}
Well I committed a sin today (broke my rule of moving SL), after pulling fib out and seeing that my SL will get hit for sure adjusted my SL at the previous high, Hope I will not get punished by it. Sorry for the crowded chart, but this is what I am seeing and why I moved it. Seeing I already changed the plan, will most probably close it early or reduce size when I get a good chance.

Update: Closed 3/5 of the position in profit, moved SL to BE. target still 1.1240 if it reaches there or I am stopped out.
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  • #144,645
  • Edited 9:15am Feb 1, 2022 9:02am | Edited 9:15am
Good data for dollar, is enought? lets see..

edit: nice pin at m15
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,646
  • Feb 1, 2022 9:03am Feb 1, 2022 9:03am
Quoting Kyuu
{quote} Again so far so good just as predicted, taking my profit long here at 1.1215 for 80 pips (410 pips total now). Going short for a lower low before going long again! Mental stop at 25 pips above. Kind of a greedy trade, but my gut tells me that if I hold my long I'm going to get stopped somehow before it actually goes up again. Expecting a W on the daily or something like this so I will long again around 1.085 ish and TP my short there.
I cut my short at 1.1245 yesterday (30 pip loss), and re-entered short today at 1.127. I'm hoping for this situation, one more lower low on the daily, and the real up move (W on the daily).

Will try to TP my short at 1.085 and long there.
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  • #144,647
  • Feb 1, 2022 9:05am Feb 1, 2022 9:05am
Quoting Kyuu
{quote} I cut my short at 1.1245 yesterday (30 pip loss), and re-entered short today at 1.127. I'm hoping for this situation, one more lower low on the daily, and the real up move (W on the daily). Will try to TP my short at 1.085 and long there. {image}
mate i realy hope this happens because i missed my buy limit from 1,111
  • #144,648
  • Feb 1, 2022 9:26am Feb 1, 2022 9:26am
Quoting shay14
{quote} mate i realy hope this happens because i missed my buy limit from 1,111
I think so. On the daily, I think it's obvious that once the black line broke, we have some new buyers come from under the black line. I think there's 3 types of traders: 1: The over traders who bought and sold in the massive range before. 2: People who think they're big brain and patient who waited for the lower low to FINALLY buy (what happened recently), and 3: The people who screw the 2nd group lol.

In my opinion, arrow 1 shows where lots of big money/group 2 bought. Arrow 2 shows where I think many retail traders bought after the lower low bounced ("confirmation").

This "pattern" of making a new low beneath a range and bouncing back up is a very basic one, and where most of group 2 traders finally buy after being "patient". But my gut tells me that big money will take a small profit on their longs and crash the price one final time, take out all the longs of the over traders + the "patient" traders that are long now, and then scoop it all the way back up (W pattern).

~

My recent strategy has been less technical/numerical and more theory. I could be completely wrong, and the same thing doesn't happen every time ever. Even though I'm biased and think the markets are manipulated, the markets are probably not as easily controlled and these days I enjoy trading based off of mind games more so than technicals. I'm ready to be 100% wrong
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  • #144,649
  • Feb 1, 2022 9:39am Feb 1, 2022 9:39am
Quoting Lyn101
{quote} Well I committed a sin today (broke my rule of moving SL), after pulling fib out and seeing that my SL will get hit for sure adjusted my SL at the previous high, Hope I will not get punished by it. Sorry for the crowded chart, but this is what I am seeing and why I moved it. Seeing I already changed the plan, will most probably close it early or reduce size when I get a good chance. Update: Closed 3/5 of the position in profit, moved SL to BE. target still 1.1240 if it reaches there or I am stopped out. {image}
Nice chart. And I am here waiting for 1.1225 area. Nothing special with the number but that if it hits I get $600. Please push it down. Who knows it might move down after London close.
  • #144,650
  • Feb 1, 2022 9:52am Feb 1, 2022 9:52am
Loaded some more I think this is one missing 1,1300 and then go to new low, lets see..
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,651
  • Edited 10:02am Feb 1, 2022 9:52am | Edited 10:02am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Nice chart. And I am here waiting for 1.1225 area. Nothing special with the number but that if it hits I get $600. Please push it down. Who knows it might move down after London close.
you know what today is? lol
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  • #144,652
  • Feb 1, 2022 10:02am Feb 1, 2022 10:02am
Quoting q_import
{quote} you know what today is? lol
Yes. Oh yes! I cannot forget. I am not committed to any trade. Out now at 1.1250. Just nibbling profits here and there. Tomorrow we swoop in.
  • #144,653
  • Feb 1, 2022 10:16am Feb 1, 2022 10:16am
Quoting ScalaFX
Good data for dollar, is enought? lets see.. edit: nice pin at m15
Was bricks at one moment but closed my short with some profit. Idk if the price will go down to 1.123 but the area around 1.1275 is resisting very well.
  • #144,654
  • Edited 11:10am Feb 1, 2022 10:18am | Edited 11:10am
Quoting TT.bullish
{quote} Was bricks at one moment but closed my short with some profit. Idk if the price will go down to 1.123 but the area around 1.1275 is resisting very well.
Yeah, all stoplosses activeted, in total small profit, I will be watching for next Opportunity, I think still thats not over with bulls preasure, see ya

edit: Im risking one more time for scalp buy now SL 1.1215 TP 1.1260, already BE
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,655
  • Feb 1, 2022 11:28am Feb 1, 2022 11:28am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote}I think still thats not over with bulls preasure, see ya edit: Im risking one more time for scalp buy now SL 1.1215 TP 1.1260, already BE
Locked +5 pips
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,656
  • Feb 1, 2022 11:40am Feb 1, 2022 11:40am
I think we are going back to the 1.19 area within this week.
Drawdown is more important than Account Size !
  • #144,657
  • Feb 1, 2022 11:45am Feb 1, 2022 11:45am
NFP is going to be SUPER interesting.
  • #144,658
  • Feb 1, 2022 11:50am Feb 1, 2022 11:50am
Quoting procrude
I think we are going back to the 1.19 area within this week.
Thats will be marvelous
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,659
  • Feb 1, 2022 11:53am Feb 1, 2022 11:53am
Based on M15, I am marking 1.1248/58 as nearest resistance zone.. While below, bears have the upper hand!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,660
  • Feb 1, 2022 11:57am Feb 1, 2022 11:57am
Im buying one more time, to 3 Times trick SL 1.1230, I dont wont miss the train
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
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