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EURUSD

  • #1,209,341
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:03am Jan 28, 2022 8:03am
and we can go down
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #1,209,342
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:45am Jan 28, 2022 8:45am
Sell limit from 1.129, 1.135, and 1.142. Stop loss for all three is above 1.15. Target profit is 1.104, 1.10, and then 1.065. Bearish trend will continue.
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #1,209,343
  • Jan 28, 2022 10:36am Jan 28, 2022 10:36am
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DOW 5' - My long was stoped with this sharp pullback. . . .but reentered long immediately... Now SL at BE.

  • #1,209,344
  • Jan 28, 2022 10:48am Jan 28, 2022 10:48am
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I don't have a pos. in E. Just watching fttb...

Exited my shorts wisely and timely and looking to reshort on time . . . . .

  • #1,209,345
  • Jan 28, 2022 10:51am Jan 28, 2022 10:51am
It dropped to 1.1120 as I thought it would. I think soon we may see a further drop below 1.1100.
  • #1,209,346
  • Jan 28, 2022 3:53pm Jan 28, 2022 3:53pm
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DOW 5' - I am taking my prfts here , 856 pips . Good for few hours patience. It might go higher on Monday...

BUT I ll be safe flat on everything . Have a happy weekend all , crew.

  • #1,209,347
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:48pm Jan 28, 2022 8:48pm
Quoting ShahbazSyed
Below is my EUR/USD analysis on weekly chart. I use Relative Volume and zones as support and resistance. {image}
Yayyyyy!!!! it finally hit the target after so 6 months.
  • #1,209,348
  • Jan 29, 2022 5:52am Jan 29, 2022 5:52am
Quoting Techanalyst
{image}
I think many have already given up and many already know that they will never be profitable in the long run.
as long as the trendy, traditional approach is certainly used.
who has been trading for a long time knows.
  • #1,209,349
  • Jan 29, 2022 8:04am Jan 29, 2022 8:04am
Dealers going crazy....80%+ short dollars

Attached Image
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #1,209,350
  • Edited 10:54am Jan 29, 2022 10:28am | Edited 10:54am
Quoting ShahbazSyed
{quote} Yayyyyy!!!! it finally hit the target after so 6 months.
Did you trade it or was this just an analysis? The next weekly candle closed above your B zone which means you would have been targeting A, that next weekly closed @ 1.193x

I could be looking at it wrong, either way, hopefully you did trade it and made some.
Swing the AXE..HARD w/ Effort, Consistency and Patience
  • #1,209,351
  • Jan 30, 2022 12:29am Jan 30, 2022 12:29am
strong breakout down with big candle weekly but arounds very strong supports now , ok may down for 1.084 or 1.078 but monthly close may fight for 1.1161 approximately . if hold at market open next day the the counts of reversal strong possibly start!. last limit of pullback 1.1300 watching at market open day! take care as is very risky market still!

usdx too likely top effects last before tanking !! counting days
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...3#post13876053
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,209,352
  • Jan 30, 2022 3:19am Jan 30, 2022 3:19am
I am waiting to see EURUSD testing 1.1200/25, but it may first fall below 1.1100 to 1.1040/1.1000. For now it is standing below 1.1168 and it should break up if, it wants to reach at the higher levels.

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #1,209,353
  • Jan 30, 2022 5:08am Jan 30, 2022 5:08am
Quoting kuroro001
Dealers going crazy....80%+ short dollars {image}
Thanks
What of NZD, CAD ?
Without despair & distraught, focus on Patience to FRESH MOTiVES.
  • #1,209,354
  • Jan 30, 2022 8:24am Jan 30, 2022 8:24am
I think there will be a pullback on EUR/USD this week, especially if the NFP report is bad on Friday.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/28/whit...jobs-data.html

New bears can try to short from 1.118 or wait for higher levels.
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #1,209,355
  • Jan 30, 2022 8:49am Jan 30, 2022 8:49am
From the hour line, I also think will be a pullback this week
  • #1,209,356
  • Jan 30, 2022 9:05am Jan 30, 2022 9:05am
Quoting Techanalyst
https://www.myfxbook.com/community/outlook
hello everyone, especially Techanalyst and everyone who examines the cot.
sorry for my English.
I noticed that since the beginning of January non-commercial longs are up compared to shorts:
4 gennaio: long + 456; short -4.624
11 gennaio: long +5.288; short -2.271
18 gennaio: long +7.540; short -11.039
25 gennaio: long +1.507; short -5.469
other element:
https://www.myfxbook.com/community/outlook/EURUSD
EURUSD Forex Sentiment: 87% long e 13% short
last element:
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divergence on weekly
all these elements could indicate a nice restart up. what do you think?
  • #1,209,357
  • Jan 30, 2022 9:14am Jan 30, 2022 9:14am
Quoting skyf
{quote} Thanks What of NZD, CAD ?
Posted on my thread, not to spam here
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #1,209,358
  • Jan 30, 2022 11:06am Jan 30, 2022 11:06am
Quoting gienne73
{quote} hello everyone, especially Techanalyst and everyone who examines the cot. sorry for my English. I noticed that since the beginning of January non-commercial longs are up compared to shorts: 4 gennaio: long + 456; short -4.624 11 gennaio: long +5.288; short -2.271 18 gennaio: long +7.540; short -11.039 25 gennaio: long +1.507; short -5.469 other element: https://www.myfxbook.com/community/outlook/EURUSD EURUSD Forex Sentiment: 87% long e 13% short last element: {image}divergence on weekly all these elements could indicate a nice...
Hmmm this divergence is interesting.
  • #1,209,359
  • Edited 11:58am Jan 30, 2022 11:44am | Edited 11:58am
Quoting momo3HC
{quote} Hmmm this divergence is interesting.
Not much divergence yet between large speculators and commercials, as shown in the attachment in late January.

Large speculators tend to lose a lot of money.

https://www.reuters.com/business/fin...er-2021-11-10/

Quote
Some of the world's most renowned macro hedge funds reportedly suffered huge losses in the recent blow up, stung by a burst of central bank 'miscommunication' and the dramatic re-pricing of rate expectations that followed.

Because they short the US dollar.

Here is another article that explains hedge funds were wrong.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/14/fore...ate-hikes.html

Quote
“Investors appear to be taking the view that the USD has peaked and that Fed tightening moves are priced in and the likes of the euro offer better potential returns down the road,” Scotiabank foreign exchange strategists said in a note.

They sold the dollar and it went against them in late January.

Quote
“We do not concur but have to acknowledge that the USD has suffered a setback — psychologically, at least — by breaking with supportive yield spreads versus its peers and by breaking below the base of its recent consolidation range,” they said.

The dollar didn't suffer a setback. The EUR did instead.

Quote
Hedge fund dollar positioning close to the highest levels since early 2020 has added to the selling pressure on the dollar this week, analysts said.

The hedge funds build long positions on the EUR and get stopped out.
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #1,209,360
  • Jan 30, 2022 1:41pm Jan 30, 2022 1:41pm
Quoting gienne73
{quote} hello everyone, especially Techanalyst and everyone who examines the cot. sorry for my English. I noticed that since the beginning of January non-commercial longs are up compared to shorts: 4 gennaio: long + 456; short -4.624 11 gennaio: long +5.288; short -2.271 18 gennaio: long +7.540; short -11.039 25 gennaio: long +1.507; short -5.469 other element: https://www.myfxbook.com/community/outlook/EURUSD EURUSD Forex Sentiment: 87% long e 13% short last element: {image}divergence on weekly all these elements could indicate a nice...
Hi... https://www.mufgresearch.com/MUFGFXHome.aspx click the Jan.28.2022 and read, these are all bank analysis. Strictly technical chart looks good, but think about it, why would EUR go up when they are lagging behind especially behind USA? Fundamentally there is no reason for EUR to go up. We could see some pullback, but EUR is so weak that I do not think that big pullback will happen. I am no longer using COT reports as they are not as reliable as they use to be, at least from my experience for now. The world economy is not stable right now so it is very difficult to analyze COT at least from my own experience. So I strictly stick to macroeconomics analysis, bank analysis and looking at the charts medium to long term. Trade safe.
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