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  • #144,101
  • Jan 19, 2022 3:56pm Jan 19, 2022 3:56pm
Good evening for All,

after today small bounce up ( frankly i thought that would be little stroneg, at least to 1.1380 ) i now again swith to play shorts, beacuse:
- on H4 we bounced up from 200SMA and today ideal bounce down from 100SMA, so should be 2nd attack for 200SMA and i suppose now will pass it,
- i think tmr will be bounce up at WallStreet so again dollar will be in "buying mode",
- now market estimate taht on March will be first interest rate rising and totally four interest rate rising in this year, so iaccording to old rule buy gossips sell facts, dollar should be buying now and first correction on March.

My SL is at 1.1387, TP open, but i will observe what will be play in zone 1.1280-90.

Green pips for All.
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #144,102
  • Jan 19, 2022 4:20pm Jan 19, 2022 4:20pm
Slightly Updated Weekly Chart

  1. I revised 1.1313 to 1.1305... That fits better I believe.. And we can see that bears are still in retest mode.. Sooner or later a decision is to be made.. Bounce or break?
  2. Imho: If bears can crack below 1.1305 we could witness a bearish continuation..
  3. Bulls however have to deal with several resistance areas: Nearest resistance sits at 1.1360... Followed by 1.1421.. Then comes 1.1500 and finally 1.1565 area which is the most crucial one.. Until then we could say that bears have the upper hand since we are still below my GREEN ma line and the environment on this timeframe is bearish..
  4. Long story short: Bears are currently trying for continuation.. But while price is between 1.1305 and 1.1360 we must trade careful until a clear decision shows itself! My personal tendency is: to look for bullish signals whenever dips towards 1.1305 occur...

I hope it helps..

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Weekly-Outlook.png Size: 38 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,103
  • Edited 2:57am Jan 20, 2022 2:21am | Edited 2:57am
Meanwhile on H1...

Price flows inside a very straight and clean channel.. 1.1366/72 is nearest resistance on this timeframe..

Bulls climbed above my GREEN line: 1.1352 and now we must check if they can keep candles above it..

Bears will probably try to break below the channel and GREEN line..

Let's see which side will win this round..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H1-Status.png Size: 40 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,104
  • Jan 20, 2022 3:09am Jan 20, 2022 3:09am
I think it is not a bulls is a range
  • #144,105
  • Jan 20, 2022 3:10am Jan 20, 2022 3:10am
Now isstill a good time to sell
Executing trades with precision!!
  • #144,106
  • Jan 20, 2022 4:42am Jan 20, 2022 4:42am
Bears showed that they have not given up.. sideways move could turn 1.1355 into a pivot...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,107
  • Jan 20, 2022 5:21am Jan 20, 2022 5:21am
Hello all, I’m short TP 1.1320 and below .. cheers
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...7-d181f0f43d0d
Over 1500+ confirmed sniped pips... and counting...
  • #144,108
  • Jan 20, 2022 5:29am Jan 20, 2022 5:29am
selling Pressure seen on 1.13350 area
  • #144,109
  • Jan 20, 2022 5:31am Jan 20, 2022 5:31am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
Good evening for All, after today small bounce up ( frankly i thought that would be little stroneg, at least to 1.1380 ) i now again swith to play shorts, beacuse: - on H4 we bounced up from 200SMA and today ideal bounce down from 100SMA, so should be 2nd attack for 200SMA and i suppose now will pass it, - i think tmr will be bounce up at WallStreet so again dollar will be in "buying mode", - now market estimate taht on March will be first interest rate rising and totally four interest rate rising in this year, so iaccording to old rule buy gossips...
Hi everyone today!

I'm waiting to 15min candle will close under yesterday low and then I will add shorts to yesterday short.

I will carefully look how price react for level 1.1280-90, and then decide that close trades or keep for lower levels.

Best regards for All
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #144,110
  • Jan 20, 2022 5:56am Jan 20, 2022 5:56am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Meanwhile on H1... Price flows inside a very straight and clean channel.. 1.1366/72 is nearest resistance on this timeframe.. Bulls climbed above my GREEN line: 1.1352 and now we must check if they can keep candles above it.. Bears will probably try to break below the channel and GREEN line.. Let's see which side will win this round.. {image}

now can we see 1.1305 support or another?
  • #144,111
  • Jan 20, 2022 6:07am Jan 20, 2022 6:07am
Quoting tauhidur
{quote} now can we see 1.1305 support or another?
We can clearly see the bear pressure but imho, everything still depends on 1.1333 support.. Based on M15, bears have to keep it below 1.1348... Let's see..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: M15_Status.png Size: 34 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,112
  • Jan 20, 2022 6:21am Jan 20, 2022 6:21am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} We can clearly see the bear pressure but imho, everything still depends on 1.1333 support.. Based on M15, bears have to keep it below 1.1348... Let's see.. {image}
Thank you so much sir
  • #144,113
  • Jan 20, 2022 7:40am Jan 20, 2022 7:40am
Looks like yesterday's touch to 1.1333 really was the last kiss.. I would say: Don't hold your breath for 1.1313 anymore..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,114
  • Jan 20, 2022 7:49am Jan 20, 2022 7:49am
It might be liquidity hunting by false breakout... Only to then proceed South massively.
I see Beasts. I drop my scalpel and beckon to theatre nurse: "Charts!&
RubiconFund Return Today: -15.1%
  • #144,115
  • Jan 20, 2022 8:00am Jan 20, 2022 8:00am
Quoting surgeon
It might be liquidity hunting by false breakout... Only to then proceed South massively.
I will rely on 1.1344/48 area support... If this zone holds well, then it is probably not a false bullish breakout.. Let's see..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,116
  • Jan 20, 2022 8:14am Jan 20, 2022 8:14am
Poor US Unemployment Claims data this morning might cause EURUSD to outpace my initial assessment. I thought we might see 95.106 on dxy or 1.137 today, and I still hold that opinion. But with much higher US unemployment claims, I wouldn't be surprised to see 1.145. I originally planned to close my trade at 1.137, but maybe now I hold 1/2 for a possible momentum play higher.

However, I don't think any of this happens until AFTER the options I talked about yesterday expire at 10:00 New York Time.

Happy Trading
  • #144,117
  • Jan 20, 2022 10:23am Jan 20, 2022 10:23am
It looks like the old range will continue for the time being. I am not even sure what can lead to a breakout anymore, when the fundamentals can't.
  • #144,118
  • Jan 20, 2022 12:13pm Jan 20, 2022 12:13pm
Quoting marcin.kamaj
Good evening for All, after today small bounce up ( frankly i thought that would be little stroneg, at least to 1.1380 ) i now again swith to play shorts, beacuse: - on H4 we bounced up from 200SMA and today ideal bounce down from 100SMA, so should be 2nd attack for 200SMA and i suppose now will pass it, - i think tmr will be bounce up at WallStreet so again dollar will be in "buying mode", - now market estimate taht on March will be first interest rate rising and totally four interest rate rising in this year, so iaccording to old rule buy gossips...
Finally i added now one more short for my trade, beacuse we passed 200SMA on H4.

Still looking how react for level 1.1280-90.
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #144,119
  • Jan 20, 2022 1:32pm Jan 20, 2022 1:32pm
Added purchase limit 1.13080, I see a good place for a reversal, Renko M11 chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd-buy.png Size: 23 KB
"No pain no gain"
  • #144,120
  • Jan 20, 2022 1:48pm Jan 20, 2022 1:48pm
Quoting SirMcPip
{quote} Looking at the 4 hour chart, the market has failed to take out the 11-15-2021 High by roughly 2 pips on 12-31-2021. This will be taken out as sure as night is dark and day is light. On the Daily, 1.1450-60 is a treat to the dealers as this is the candle before the continuation breakdown on 11-15-2021 occured and where very likely lots of sell orders are still sitting. If we zoom out even further, the 03-09-2021 high is also in the vicinity of the breakout zone of 11-10-2021. Although 1.1450 is the beginning of the sell zone for continuation...
First Targets:
1.1225
1.1130
1.0960
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