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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #84,301
  • Dec 21, 2021 1:04pm Dec 21, 2021 1:04pm
Watching 114.65/70.

See if we cruise through it in the next couple sessions.

I don't see the markets selling off until Thursday-ish.

Ho ho ho....Merry Christmas!!!
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #84,302
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:17pm Dec 21, 2021 4:17pm
Next Big Alert #TranscendentCulture
Inserted Video
  • #84,303
  • Dec 21, 2021 5:10pm Dec 21, 2021 5:10pm
So simple market rotation can tell you what should happen.

Asia and European markets are typically led by NY.

So if NY dumps yen and jumps into stocks Asia and Europe typically will also dump the yen and rotate into stocks and that should drive USD/JPY up.
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"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #84,304
  • Dec 22, 2021 7:33am Dec 22, 2021 7:33am
Quoting duve
Next Big Alert #TranscendentCulture https://youtu.be/wa58t50RMA0
Thats it. I'm starting a channel
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #84,305
  • Dec 22, 2021 8:32am Dec 22, 2021 8:32am
Short 1hr ABC
113.8 target. Expecting a possible 114.15 bounce after US open. But I am in early. So down a lil up then down
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #84,306
  • Edited 7:41pm Dec 22, 2021 6:31pm | Edited 7:41pm
I wanna see this float to 114.50 during Asian and European sessions.

Get some good news and watch it pop to 115 in the AM.

Slowly but surely gaining steam.

That's my Christmas wish.
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"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #84,307
  • Dec 23, 2021 8:09am Dec 23, 2021 8:09am
Options pointing at 115.
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #84,308
  • Edited 10:40am Dec 23, 2021 10:07am | Edited 10:40am
Took profit at 114.45 - multiple entries 112.75 - 113.31.

I'll look for a buy entry after the holiday.

Merry Christmas everyone!
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #84,309
  • Dec 23, 2021 10:53am Dec 23, 2021 10:53am
Every year for the past decade USDJPY corrects a large percentage in the final few days of the year. Most years continues for a nice correction.

Stay patient.


US03m pulling above .07

Market is moving similar to 2017 into 2018, presidents 2nd year.
As well as 2018 moving into 2019

We should see a large correction with USDJPY,

I Was Bullish but with the FEDs tapering, short term rates spiking, and Bezos, Elon and many others dumping stock. The markets hesitation will have a hard time maintaining its momentum, IMO.

And we can't forget about the 50 TRILLION THE BOJ will be activating. MORE FREE MONEY.

Flowing into cryptos I hope. and the YEN.



Merry Christmas?? lol
Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #84,310
  • Edited 11:42am Dec 23, 2021 10:58am | Edited 11:42am
Quoting COGSx86
Every year for the past decade USDJPY corrects a large percentage in the final few days of the year. Most years continues for a nice correction. Stay patient. US03m pulling above .07 Market is moving similar to 2017 into 2018, presidents 2nd year. As well as 2018 moving into 2019 We should see a large correction with USDJPY, I Was Bullish but with the FEDs tapering, short term rates spiking, and Bezos, Elon and many others dumping stock. The markets hesitation will have a hard time maintaining its momentum, IMO. And we can't forget about the 50...
All the stuff you're listing off is bullish for the dollar.

We already had a major correction with the Omicron scare.

Probably see usd and stock market divergence going into the new year.

The stock market and dollar don't always strictly correlate.
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #84,311
  • Dec 23, 2021 1:46pm Dec 23, 2021 1:46pm
Quoting Jgcole83
{quote} All the stuff you're listing off is bullish for the dollar. We already had a major correction with the Omicron scare. Probably see usd and stock market divergence going into the new year. The stock market and dollar don't always strictly correlate.


Go back to your phone and for everyone to see, post USDJPY on the last 5-8 days of each year since 2012. Until then STFU with what you think my analysis tells you.

And if you believe what I listed is bullish keep loading up on your longs I do not care what you do.

Dont try to come in here to try and tell everyone what you think my analysis says.







Thank You
Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #84,312
  • Dec 23, 2021 2:03pm Dec 23, 2021 2:03pm
Quoting COGSx86
{quote} Go back to your phone and for everyone to see, post USDJPY on the last 5-8 days of each year since 2012. Until then STFU with what you think my analysis tells you. And if you believe what I listed is bullish keep loading up on your longs I do not care what you do. Dont try to come in here to try and tell everyone what you think my analysis says. Thank You

How much did you make today?
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"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #84,313
  • Dec 23, 2021 2:44pm Dec 23, 2021 2:44pm
Quoting Jgcole83
{quote} How much did you make today? {image}

sorry did you say something?
Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #84,314
  • Dec 23, 2021 3:02pm Dec 23, 2021 3:02pm
Quoting COGSx86
{quote} Go back to your phone and for everyone to see, post USDJPY on the last 5-8 days of each year since 2012. Until then STFU with what you think my analysis tells you. And if you believe what I listed is bullish keep loading up on your longs I do not care what you do. Dont try to come in here to try and tell everyone what you think my analysis says. Thank You
reported

dude the hell is your problem. It’s also crap analysis. You pointed to basically bullish usd. And bullish risk. Equities are gonna rip. I’m sure a correction is coming but what we had was a shake out for another move up. Now if that move gets extended. Sure, I’ll be watching out

Jgcole is deff one of the better contributors on this site. Never trying to be a guru. Just good insights.

you’re on a public forum dude
sorry for whatever your issue is. But get out. USDJPY is usually a chill area. We don’t need you here unless you get medicated.

merry Christmas.


im holding here. Could get some shaky shakes with thin volumes but after New Years I would not be surprised for massive good covid news. Maybe not. But I won’t be surprised if we do.
  • #84,315
  • Dec 23, 2021 4:31pm Dec 23, 2021 4:31pm
Quoting RideTheWave
{quote} reported dude the hell is your problem. It’s also crap analysis. You pointed to basically bullish usd. And bullish risk. Equities are gonna rip. I’m sure a correction is coming but what we had was a shake out for another move up. Now if that move gets extended. Sure, I’ll be watching out Jgcole is deff one of the better contributors on this site. Never trying to be a guru. Just good insights. you’re on a public forum dude sorry for whatever your issue is. But get out. USDJPY is usually a chill area. We don’t need you here unless you get...

Reports me, offer no concluding evidence and then says I need medication?

so should I report you now??


Still waiting for those 10 charts
Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #84,316
  • Dec 23, 2021 4:38pm Dec 23, 2021 4:38pm
Quoting COGSx86
{quote} Reports me, offer no concluding evidence and then says I need medication? so should I report you now?? Still waiting for those 10 charts
Reported again.

dude. You’re clearly not ok mentally right now. Just objective observation. I don’t know if you lost a ton of money or Whatver the issue is. Just get off the internet please. Unless you’re gonna be friendly. And constructive.
  • #84,317
  • Dec 23, 2021 4:43pm Dec 23, 2021 4:43pm
Quoting RideTheWave
{quote}

It’s also crap analysis.


You pointed to basically bullish usd.


Jgcole is deff one of the better contributors on this site. .
let’s go along with the crap analysis theory from you:


“Every year for the past decade USDJPY corrects a large percentage in the final few days of the year. Most years continues for a nice correction.”

Ok so now it’s your job to show evidence which contradicts this.

I will be waiting……



“US03m pulling above .07”

Bullish moves in US03 has a direct reaction in the Usd. When overnight rates go higher, money finds place for easier return. If us03m is up, usd down. Money leaving the US.

“Market is moving similar to 2017 into 2018, presidents 2nd year.”

The waves of the market

As well as 2018 moving into 2019

the cycle continues

“We should see a large correction with USDJPY,”

that doesn’t sound very bullish

“I Was Bullish”

“the FEDs tapering”

”short term rates spiking”

and Bezos, Elon and many others dumping stock”

definitely not bullish

The markets hesitation will have a hard time maintaining its momentum,

“And we can't forget about the 50 TRILLION THE BOJ will be activating. MORE FREE MONEY.”

Explain differently to me?





And a happy new year
Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #84,318
  • Dec 23, 2021 4:53pm Dec 23, 2021 4:53pm
Quoting COGSx86
{quote} let’s go along with the crap analysis theory from you: “Every year for the past decade USDJPY corrects a large percentage in the final few days of the year. Most years continues for a nice correction.” Ok so now it’s your job to show evidence which contradicts this. I will be waiting…… “US03m pulling above .07” Bullish moves in US03 has a direct reaction in the Usd. When overnight rates go higher, money finds place for easier return. If us03m is up, usd down. Money leaving the US. “Market is moving similar to 2017 into 2018, presidents 2nd...
keep waiting yoda

if you do not see the issues in your outlook. This is why you’ve lost more money than you could afford and are taking it out on here when you get the slightest bit of disagreement from someone here. I admit I’m adding more fuel myself now, but guys like you should know whether in the real world or not. That the world pushes back if you lash out first. Be careful out there. There’s a lot of stress holiday time and you could mess with the wrong guy in real life if you’re temperament is anything similar to what I’ve see. Seriously it’s not worth it.


im also struggling to know what you’re even talking about.

fed tapering is bullish for usd/JPY.
Japan adding 50 trillion stimulus I’m guessing? So more Yen would be bullish USDJPY

Bezos and Musk can sell anytime they want for tax bills or Whatver. 1000 reasons to sell in the world. Doesn’t mean they think it’s crashing.

short term rates spiking

well if US rates are up and JP are not. I mean it is short term but that can help usdjpy flows. I don’t think it’s too deterministic. I know 5,7,10,20 are better for usdjpy
  • #84,319
  • Dec 26, 2021 6:18am Dec 26, 2021 6:18am
Quoting RideTheWave
{quote} keep waiting yoda if you do not see the issues in your outlook. This is why you’ve lost more money than you could afford and are taking it out on here when you get the slightest bit of disagreement from someone here. I admit I’m adding more fuel myself now, but guys like you should know whether in the real world or not. That the world pushes back if you lash out first. Be careful out there. There’s a lot of stress holiday time and you could mess with the wrong guy in real life if you’re temperament is anything similar to what I’ve see. Seriously...
Can we see the charts??


what are you guys 10 tens year old? Can’t provide what I asked for? I asked for 10 charts, NOT ON AN IPHONE OR ANDROID Cana you provide that?

And you are the guys quoting me, wtf

Chart patterns care not what others think, evidence stacked pushes direction.


You have ignored me, but just FYI when someone quotes me, a long serving forex trader and misinterprets everything I’m saying, I’m going to quote them to clarify where they have misrepresented my analysis.

Im not going to attack them, I’m not gonna going to slander the person, or make up things in my own mind about someone half way across the continent.

And then you try to analysis me through my posts which are really only technically related. Thinking I’ve lost money, my analysis is wrong and quoting my posts attacking me, thinking I need meds or I have lost money.

Im not sure why? I’m not attacking anyone, using my ego to make it appear I’m better then anyone.

if anything I’m offering an opportunity for members to uses there resources to gain more information technically with evidence from the charts. 10 charts 23-31sr of December.

and yet here you are still claiming higher ground. I have seen your recent longs with UJ. Very nice, coming of the huge sell off for the retrace. You are obviously feeling good.

”don’t get to high with the highs and to low with the lows”


We might see a restart of the high or maybe even another low. Who cares?

I don’t care. Nor do I care enough to quote members who are doing things on the forum “I” don’t like and are against my analysis.

For example Jcegle he’s been wrong ever since he’s been here with his posts. Until he quadrupled up.

He started coming in here last year, right when UJ made it’s turn. He was short, and again when trend continued he was calling shorts.

you both don’t post in here regularly. It’s not a score board.

but why do you think such a large sell off occurred??


I have no reason to saying anything about anyone. Charts speak for themselves.
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Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #84,320
  • Edited 1:06pm Dec 26, 2021 8:30am | Edited 1:06pm
Large sell-off occurred because of the Omicron scare.

Plane and simple.

Quantitative Easing leads to the depreciation of the value of a currency in the foreign exchange markets.

The effect tapering has, is it leads to rates naturally increasing over time which increases the value of that currency in the foreign exchange market.

So naturally what happens is if the feds tapering and the BOJ is still in QE mode UJ goes up.

There's a triangle consolidation formation on daily charts for dollar futures and a wedge on UJ.

Yen futures broke down last week.

As a trader you have to be adaptable and the market and fundamentals will always dictate whether I'm bullish or bearish.

I've been posting here off and on since before I became a member in 2013.

sometimes I take a break.

I'll post charts when I'm at my desk.

Until then heres what I have.
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"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
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