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Pivot Trading

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  • Post #40,081
  • Quote
  • Nov 19, 2021 1:46pm Nov 19, 2021 1:46pm
  •  Tiago_RS5
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: PPE Trader | 311 Posts
Closing shop for the week.
Basically bought EUR and sold GBP.
Attached Image
Still holding EG, and for the next week I probably stick with the same script, buy EUR and sell GBP.
Market can prove me wrong.
Green pips!
"In the end you only trade yourself."
 
7
  • Post #40,082
  • Quote
  • Nov 19, 2021 2:23pm Nov 19, 2021 2:23pm
  •  Davit
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 21,376 Posts
Overall a shit week for me.Part of it moves are random and unpredictable mostly because of years end closing of books etc.
Not ideal for swing trading.Anyway always another week.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
 
3
  • Post #40,083
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 9:33am Nov 22, 2021 9:33am
  •  Arobin
  • | Joined Oct 2021 | Status: Member | 16 Posts
Quoting bubincka
Disliked
{quote} Here you go: {file} {file}
Ignored
Hi Bubincka,

I like these indicators and I am using all. Would it be possible to combine them? Thanks & regards.
 
 
  • Post #40,084
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 9:35am Nov 22, 2021 9:35am
  •  Egbert
  • Joined Aug 2017 | Status: Member | 1,026 Posts
Good start for the week....
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Nothing is impossible - IHS
 
11
  • Post #40,085
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 9:40am Nov 22, 2021 9:40am
  •  GreenEarth
  • Joined Dec 2016 | Status: Member | 689 Posts
Hi Folks ,
US THANKSGIVING HOLIDAYS END OF THIS WEEK-----BE CAREFUL-----MOST LIKELY VERY THIN VOLUMES !!!!

Sincerely ,
GE
"Define the risk OUT of your trade"--Mark Douglas
 
4
  • Post #40,086
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 8:56pm Nov 22, 2021 8:56pm
  •  Davit
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 21,376 Posts
Look for opportunities UJ and Euro pairs maybe after German data
USD is overstretched could be corrections coming
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
 
11
  • Post #40,087
  • Quote
  • Edited 2:22am Nov 23, 2021 12:09am | Edited 2:22am
  •  squawk
  • Joined Oct 2013 | Status: Member | 4,491 Posts
The yields on the 2 year NZ bond seem to be getting ahead of themselves. May explain the overvalued push by the KIWI last month. The GAP up in OCT was huge! over 1%. Maybe a pattern of what's to come for US, Aus, UK etc. Thrown the AUS 2 years for reference.

Rate announcement on tomorrow and priced for perfection in rate increases overcoming years of 1 1/2 basis points.
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  • Post #40,088
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  • Edited 5:29am Nov 23, 2021 4:34am | Edited 5:29am
  •  Steamroller
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Member | 866 Posts
My thoughts on the dollar are that it will remain strong until China starts to stimulate its economy or Europe starts to recover from covid/supply chain issues. There is an element of the USD being a safe haven and once growth starts to bottom elsewhere, money will start to run out of the dollar to get a return. Naturally there is the tapering and rate increase element to consider but I believe this is largely priced in. Lira implosion is another nasty to consider.
 
1
  • Post #40,089
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2021 6:18am Nov 23, 2021 6:18am
  •  Tiago_RS5
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: PPE Trader | 311 Posts
Quoting Tiago_RS5
Disliked
Closing shop for the week. Basically bought EUR and sold GBP. {image}Still holding EG, and for the next week I probably stick with the same script, buy EUR and sell GBP. Market can prove me wrong. Green pips!
Ignored
Closed EG +188
Attached Image

Watching GC.
GU UC at 78 zone.
"In the end you only trade yourself."
 
4
  • Post #40,090
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2021 10:50am Nov 23, 2021 10:50am
  •  Davit
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 21,376 Posts
Quoting Tiago_RS5
Disliked
{quote} Closed EG +188 {image} Watching GC. GU UC at 78 zone.
Ignored
German PMI came out better then expected! Great Job
Attached Image
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
2
9
  • Post #40,091
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2021 1:41pm Nov 23, 2021 1:41pm
  •  Egbert
  • Joined Aug 2017 | Status: Member | 1,026 Posts
This what I'm running...
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Nothing is impossible - IHS
 
12
  • Post #40,092
  • Quote
  • Nov 24, 2021 8:16am Nov 24, 2021 8:16am
  •  Davit
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 21,376 Posts
USD getting priced in for the Feds then dumping begins
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
1
4
  • Post #40,093
  • Quote
  • Nov 24, 2021 8:42am Nov 24, 2021 8:42am
  •  Davit
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 21,376 Posts
NU most interesting considering +.75 highest rate sure to attract carry over trades and price at 6880
Could drop little more but its hitting bottom
NC long also less risk and solid choice

Note Dont short EC not a good idea

Be patient should be a good day
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
1
5
  • Post #40,094
  • Quote
  • Nov 25, 2021 2:25am Nov 25, 2021 2:25am
  •  !iii!
  • Joined Aug 2010 | Status: Member | 146 Posts
Hi Davit,

I've been following your thread since inception - hats off to your mix of stickiness to hard rules and learnt behaviour towards specific market conditions. This is meant seriously, as I have tried (semi-)manual approaches revolving around Pivots before myself - always with the consequence of short-circuits on my end due to being too bored waiting for constellations to materialise all day. IMO the addition of the TDI doesn't add much confirmation value as PA for entry logic, your percentage based risk management and balls to let the winning swarm run will make all the difference. Thus, I modified your weekly Pivots indicator to work on all lower timeframes plus a lookback and PA based entry logic. It was for my own entertainment - if you like it, I can post the code. Otherwise, keep it going and happy pips.

Cheers, Claus
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Augmenting Intelligence
 
 
  • Post #40,095
  • Quote
  • Nov 25, 2021 11:47am Nov 25, 2021 11:47am
  •  Tiago_RS5
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: PPE Trader | 311 Posts
Quoting Tiago_RS5
Disliked
{quote} Closed EG +188 {image} Watching GC. GU UC at 78 zone.
Ignored
Partially closed EN +689
Attached Image
I still have some positions open on EN waiting to break south. Now with + swap
Loaded longs on NC also.
"In the end you only trade yourself."
 
3
  • Post #40,096
  • Quote
  • Nov 26, 2021 1:50pm Nov 26, 2021 1:50pm
  •  Davit
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 21,376 Posts
My biggest miss of the year.Was short on UJ at 1470 took minor profit thinking might spike up again and went to bed and this moring
OMG all I can say...Dropped like a rock

New variant over reaction is exactly that over reaction.Commodity pairs took a huge beating.I advised against selling EC
Hope you guys survived this meltdown

I anticipate Monday market calms down and corrections begin obviously hyper moves follows profit taking but I could be proven wrong as market is king.
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In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
 
11
  • Post #40,097
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2021 12:02pm Nov 27, 2021 12:02pm
  •  Egbert
  • Joined Aug 2017 | Status: Member | 1,026 Posts
Very interesting,
Current price is the green line and the smart money is the light brown line.
The middle line is above uptrend and below down trend.
Then as Davit was pointing out I understand those big moves up on EUR.
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Nothing is impossible - IHS
 
1
  • Post #40,098
  • Quote
  • Nov 29, 2021 4:59am Nov 29, 2021 4:59am
  •  taorobin
  • | Joined Feb 2020 | Status: Junior Member | 5 Posts
Hello !iii!

I am French and sorry for my English!
Just like you, I have been following this Davit group for 3 years and my progress has really evolved!
Your modified pivot indicator really interests me! Can you share it STP!
Courage and strength to all!
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  • Post #40,099
  • Quote
  • Nov 29, 2021 7:16am Nov 29, 2021 7:16am
  •  !iii!
  • Joined Aug 2010 | Status: Member | 146 Posts
No offence, guys, but Davit owns the thread.
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Augmenting Intelligence
 
 
  • Post #40,100
  • Quote
  • Nov 30, 2021 10:07am Nov 30, 2021 10:07am
  •  Pivoter
  • Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Member | 483 Posts
EN Short
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the highest point comes before the fall
 
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