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  • Post #142,521
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  • Nov 19, 2021 5:14pm Nov 19, 2021 5:14pm
  •  Kennyxh20
  • | Joined Oct 2021 | Status: wait, who am i again ? | 104 Posts
Wishing everyone a happy weekend !
 
1
  • Post #142,522
  • Quote
  • Nov 19, 2021 5:16pm Nov 19, 2021 5:16pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,562 Posts
Aaaaand... drum roll..... this week's winner is.... andvk74

Congrats brother.. very close guess with 1.9 pip distance! Earns you +4 points! and also makes you our all times leader! Bravo!

2nd Place: AlphaOmega. (5.2 pips distance) +3 points!
3rd Place: SiamonSings (8.1 pips distance) +2 points!

Many many thanks to all who participated.. you all get +1 point for participating!

I am calling it a day and week.. Happy weekends to all
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Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 7.4%
 
8
  • Post #142,523
  • Quote
  • Nov 19, 2021 5:25pm Nov 19, 2021 5:25pm
  •  MrGuy
  • | Joined Jan 2021 | Status: Member | 216 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
Aaaaand... drum roll..... this week's winner is.... andvk74 Congrats brother.. very close guess with 1.9 pip distance! Earns you +4 points! and also makes you our all times leader! Bravo! 2nd Place: AlphaOmega. (5.2 pips distance) +3 points! 3rd Place: SiamonSings (8.1 pips distance) +2 points! Many many thanks to all who participated.. you all get +1 point for participating! I am calling it a day and week.. Happy weekends to all {image}
Ignored
Great stuff, amazing accuracy again today andvk. Have a great weekend all.
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
 
3
  • Post #142,524
  • Quote
  • Edited 10:07am Nov 20, 2021 8:11am | Edited 10:07am
  •  Endoephemera
  • | Joined May 2014 | Status: Member | 446 Posts
Thanks to MrsStarr86 (and fxsport) the only ones posting about their weekly % results; it would seem like a rather harmless thing to do but evidently it touches on personal feelings.

Incidentally, in the last few hours of Friday I went from +8% to -32%. I was severely sleep deprived in the days prior. I also had just taken an extra Xanax pill; was drowsy and careless. Objectively, the market was also pretty wild all week and in the last few hours, more erratic than usual. By my standards that's not too dramatic; the three weeks before, were +108%, -26%, +65%, and before that I had far worse weeks than -32%.

Xanax. I have 110 more pills (I'm not selling them, being illegal and all). I now have enough for 6-7 weeks of trial in conjunction with trading. The first experience of trading and Xanax was on Thursday, week before last, when I saw a 100+ PiPs move I had been expecting, had happened while I was unable to trade, I was on 1.5mg/day and was remarkably unfazed; no negative feelings, no temptations to act; I proceeded to update my charts and gave the matter no thought, other than noting the effect of the meds!
After the first full week on 0.75mg/day I believe it has a positive effect. Last week, in which I had many of my price expectations proved wrong, I would have fared very well, if it weren't for the mentioned facts in the last few hours. From relaxed and unworried, to sleepy and careless, is a balancing act I have to manage.

--------------------

On Friday we could have seen the bottom of the 2021 down trend or, at least the base for a multi week up trend.

Edit.
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
{quote} ...Now, you however come up with a "second game" out of the blue and start playing it. All good.. but then unfairly you are expecting everyone to join... And finally you are guilt-tripping those who don't want to play... Or maybe they don't want to share their personal secrets, which is totally okay.. So please, if you like to share your personal feelings, information, data and such fair enough, share if you want, but don't guilt-trip our members if they don't.. I hope my point is well understood! Thanks for your cooperation.. We continue posting around EURUSD.
Ignored
Of course! Wasn't my intention to guilt trip anyone. I would imagine secrets to be about methods rather than results, but, point taken, sharing results is purely voluntary and there's no judgement.
I will continue posting my expectations on EURUSD when I have them. I even erase some of my posts, if I feel, they don't contribute useful info to the thread because I don't want to lower the thread quality.
If that's ok I will also update weekly on my experience about using regularly prescribed anti anxiety meds as it may be useful to some.
I would also be OK if my posts get disliked or if I get ignored or banned. I'm totally fine with everything.
Temperance (restraint in action, thought or feeling) is a virtue.
 
1
  • Post #142,525
  • Quote
  • Edited 9:26am Nov 20, 2021 9:11am | Edited 9:26am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,562 Posts
Quoting Endoephemera
Disliked
Thanks to MrsStarr86 (and fxsport) the only ones posting about their weekly % results; it would seem like a rather harmless thing to do but evidently it touches on personal feelings. Incidentally, in the last few hours of Friday I went from +8% to -32%. I was severely sleep deprived in the days prior. I also had just taken an extra Xanax pill; was drowsy and careless. Objectively, the market was also pretty wild all week and in the last few hours, more erratic than usual. By my standards that's not too dramatic; the three weeks before, were +108%,...
Ignored
This thread is called "EURUSD Only" and our sole focus is on sharing technicals and/or fundamentals about EURUSD!

Now.. that said, some of us have decided to play a "guessing game" on Fridays, roughly 7 hours before market close , which is actually against the purpose of this thread, but I played along and allowed this game to be played since volume and volatility is generally low inside those hours.. Now, you however come up with a "second game" out of the blue and start playing it. All good.. but then unfairly you are expecting everyone to join.. And finally you are guilt-tripping those who don't want to play by claiming it is because "it touches their personal feelings???? Huh????? Look my friend.. There could be a gazillion other reasons for people not to do what you proposed.. Maybe it is because people just don't want to play another game on top of that guess game! Or maybe they are just lazy to post.. Or maybe they don't want to share their personal secrets, which is totally okay.. Maybe they have nothing to tell.. Maybe they haven't even traded this week.. Or maybe they just want to write and read about EURUSD and are not interested in people's personal stuff.. etc. etc..

Long story short: Our members can join any game whenever "THEY" want to and nobody has to provide some alibi letter if they don't want to play and you don't have the right to pull a judgmental meaning out of it or to feel offended about it.. So please, if you like to share your personal feelings, information, data and such fair enough, share if you want, but don't guilt-trip our members if they don't.. I hope my point is well understood!

Thanks for your cooperation..

We continue posting around EURUSD..
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 7.4%
 
6
  • Post #142,526
  • Quote
  • Nov 20, 2021 12:05pm Nov 20, 2021 12:05pm
  •  fxcontest
  • Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Member | 581 Posts
Quoting fxcontest
Disliked
{quote} Target 1209, Last TP at 1219
Ignored
Monday will be Profit Time
 
1
  • Post #142,527
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  • Nov 20, 2021 1:13pm Nov 20, 2021 1:13pm
  •  macdulio
  • Joined Oct 2013 | Status: Member | 1,079 Posts
full body push outside the BB got re-tested (undercut)
secondary spike outside the BB closed back in
the yellow axis was the trend line made by wave 5 of A, C just tested it twice

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2
  • Post #142,528
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  • Nov 20, 2021 2:54pm Nov 20, 2021 2:54pm
  •  macdulio
  • Joined Oct 2013 | Status: Member | 1,079 Posts
1.1416 is the mean reversion target

A counter effect move could take price back above 1.1550

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Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 _LEMA_30N.ex4   84 KB | 98 downloads
 
1
  • Post #142,529
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  • Nov 21, 2021 8:29pm Nov 21, 2021 8:29pm
  •  JBRolim
  • Joined Sep 2018 | Status: Trader Man | 966 Posts
Happy week everyone!
Possible purchase 1.12625 Tp1.13225
"No pain no gain"
Trading Seeder All Time Return: 108.5%
 
1
  • Post #142,530
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 12:28am Nov 22, 2021 12:28am
  •  DingDongWay
  • | Joined Oct 2013 | Status: It goes Ding Dong Up Down.... | 188 Posts
Quoting Endoephemera
Disliked
On Saturday I posted we could be at a significant reversal point, looking at weeks of up. I take it back. There is the real chance it could gain further down momentum, potentially hundreds more PiPs to culminate in a V reversal days or a couple of weeks away, essentially unpredictably. Building a short with SL at today's high.
Ignored
I think we are still on the rubber band effect (market equilibrium path following).

Basis TA i'm still bias on the south direction. Prominent prices im observing is for ST 1.127~1.128 zone / MT/LT trades will be 1.118 / 1.108, my ultimate end destination will still lies around 1.095 area before any retracement on higher TF.

like ive mentioned i might be wrong. i hope not too, if it does, i will review my bias (only when price touches 1.1364).
Sincerely Yours Cheers!
 
 
  • Post #142,531
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 1:15am Nov 22, 2021 1:15am
  •  pipibrasci
  • Joined May 2021 | Status: Member | 742 Posts
Quoting pipibrasci
Disliked
WEEKLY OVERVIEW OF THE EXY vs DXY + EURUSD {image}
Ignored
Nov 11 - Nov 22

New Low - 1.12498
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Grit; Knowledge; positive mindset; all you need to overcome & KIS!!!
 
 
  • Post #142,532
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  • Nov 22, 2021 1:19am Nov 22, 2021 1:19am
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,920 Posts
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  • Post #142,533
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 1:22am Nov 22, 2021 1:22am
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,920 Posts
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  • Post #142,534
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  • Nov 22, 2021 3:05am Nov 22, 2021 3:05am
  •  lucky1359
  • Joined Nov 2018 | Status: Member | 1,051 Posts
EURUSD Imp Levels-M

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  • Post #142,535
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 3:28am Nov 22, 2021 3:28am
  •  yvestrcz
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 924 Posts
Good morning folks! I am trying to suppress the strong convicion and bias about further dropping of price, but I just can't help presuming it is going down further more. Bulls show their horns from time to time, temporarily, but it has just been in vain so far.
On the other hand, one has to keep in mind that anything can happen. And "The future is not ours to see" as the song "Que sera, sera" goes...
I am and will be selling highs today, but cautiously.
 
1
  • Post #142,536
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 3:59am Nov 22, 2021 3:59am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,562 Posts
For today I have 1.1277 as crucial resistance.. IF bulls can push price above it there should be a rise.. Otherwise still bearish!
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 7.4%
 
4
  • Post #142,537
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 4:23am Nov 22, 2021 4:23am
  •  sulai45
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 740 Posts
Morning all, hope you're well. Bulls are slowly showing up on 5M.
 
 
  • Post #142,538
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 4:34am Nov 22, 2021 4:34am
  •  fafnir
  • | Joined Aug 2021 | Status: Member | 41 Posts
Quoting yvestrcz
Disliked
Good morning folks! I am trying to suppress the strong convicion and bias about further dropping of price, but I just can't help presuming it is going down further more. Bulls show their horns from time to time, temporarily, but it has just been in vain so far. On the other hand, one has to keep in mind that anything can happen. And "The future is not ours to see" as the song "Que sera, sera" goes... I am and will be selling highs today, but cautiously.
Ignored
I got the same feeling as well, this is not done going down. The backdrop against the EUR is just bearish, both technically and fundamentally. On the technical side we are well under the 200MA and market is probing lower levels, taking out one Fib level after another. Bulls seem to be on holiday already despite the EUR being very oversold on longer time-frames. Fundamentally speaking we got Covid raging in Europe with lockdowns. We got the ECB being dovish and no rate hikes being talked about despite inflation being double their mandate.
Of course we can get a rally from these lower levels but my feeling is that it should be a chance to sell into that. We got the next inflation numbers from the US and the Dec fed meeting by the middle of December that should decide on the current trend of the EUR/USD.
 
2
  • Post #142,539
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 5:36am Nov 22, 2021 5:36am
  •  lucky1359
  • Joined Nov 2018 | Status: Member | 1,051 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
{quote} This thread is called "EURUSD Only" and our sole focus is on sharing technicals and/or fundamentals about EURUSD! Now.. that said, some of us have decided to play a "guessing game" on Fridays, roughly 7 hours before market close , which is actually against the purpose of this thread, but I played along and allowed this game to be played since volume and volatility is generally low inside those hours.. Now, you however come up with a "second game" out of the blue and start playing it. All good.. but then unfairly you are expecting...
Ignored
Wow Great. Just Read about the Game. Its a very Good Idea.
But The Best Part would be

If We Start the Game on Monday.
Guessing on Monday for the End of Friday.
That would be more perfect then playing the Game for 7 hours

 
1
  • Post #142,540
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2021 5:36am Nov 22, 2021 5:36am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
Quoting fafnir
Disliked
{quote} I got the same feeling as well, this is not done going down. The backdrop against the EUR is just bearish, both technically and fundamentally. On the technical side we are well under the 200MA and market is probing lower levels, taking out one Fib level after another. Bulls seem to be on holiday already despite the EUR being very oversold on longer time-frames. Fundamentally speaking we got Covid raging in Europe with lockdowns. We got the ECB being dovish and no rate hikes being talked about despite inflation being double their mandate....
Ignored
Core inflation in the eurozone is at 2% vs. 4.6% in the US, and base effects will start kicking in as of December. So there is no significant inflation pressure in the eurozone.
Another day, another dollar.
 
1
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