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  • #1,199,661
  • Sep 17, 2021 12:21pm Sep 17, 2021 12:21pm
Quoting donfriday
{quote} what if it bounce
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...4#post13710704
  • #1,199,662
  • Sep 17, 2021 12:23pm Sep 17, 2021 12:23pm
Quoting donfriday
see you at 1.20
stop misguiding newbies, instead explain to them why this kind of move happened if you really know fundamentals
  • #1,199,663
  • Sep 17, 2021 12:53pm Sep 17, 2021 12:53pm
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2020/11/0...-pandemic.html
  • #1,199,664
  • Sep 17, 2021 12:56pm Sep 17, 2021 12:56pm
Quoting PatienceFx
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2020/11/0...-pandemic.html
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  • #1,199,665
  • Sep 17, 2021 2:25pm Sep 17, 2021 2:25pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} stop misguiding newbies, instead explain to them why this kind of move happened if you really know fundamentals

i am newbie myself
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #1,199,666
  • Sep 18, 2021 2:27am Sep 18, 2021 2:27am
This week the FED interest decision with new forecasts about US economy and with the dot plot graph is the main event of the week. I expect much volatility at the event and after.

In the Weekly chart price is falling inside a channel, below 1.1910 resistance level. A rise above could lead EURUSD at 1.2000, but a fall which is more probable for now could bring it to lower levels - 1.1665/50, 1.1600, 1.1570 & 1.1496.

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I believe the price will move inside a range - 1830/1665 until Wednesday (FED) and then might break in any direction.

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Have a great weekend!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #1,199,667
  • Sep 18, 2021 5:34am Sep 18, 2021 5:34am
i'm quite confortable with my long except for this .....

so i will be alert to any setup for continuing south
Attached Image
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #1,199,668
  • Sep 18, 2021 11:47am Sep 18, 2021 11:47am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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MY GRID. Markets are NOT random.
  • #1,199,669
  • Sep 18, 2021 4:31pm Sep 18, 2021 4:31pm
Quoting tonyb123
{image}{image}
that's one way to declare your sexuality with a chart. not my business of course but thought it creative.

In tea leaves we trust!
  • #1,199,670
  • Sep 18, 2021 5:56pm Sep 18, 2021 5:56pm
Before the Feds, we have Tue, USD Housing Starts and Redbook
Wed, USD Mortgage Apps, Existing Home Sales, Crude oil report and EU Consumer Confidence.
EU Consumer Confidence will push the Euro south(1645) if the forecast is correct...... also have to watch the bond prices.
Let's have a nice trading week Gents.....
  • #1,199,671
  • Edited 7:29pm Sep 18, 2021 7:04pm | Edited 7:29pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} that's one way to declare your sexuality with a chart. not my business of course but thought it creative.
Lol. Is that the only thing you managed to observe? If your trade management is as off as your observation u should quit trading now.

Here try this, you may have better analysis: and this

Just for MrBean, since he's still in the closet.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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MY GRID. Markets are NOT random.
  • #1,199,672
  • Sep 18, 2021 8:49pm Sep 18, 2021 8:49pm
Quoting tonyb123
{quote} Lol. Is that the only thing you managed to observe? If your trade management is as off as your observation u should quit trading now. Here try this, you may have better analysis: and this Just for MrBean, since he's still in the closet.{image}
when i see the multi-coloured rainbow, i turn and get the heck out of there.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #1,199,673
  • Sep 18, 2021 8:52pm Sep 18, 2021 8:52pm
Quoting tonyb123
{quote} Lol. Is that the only thing you managed to observe? If your trade management is as off as your observation u should quit trading now. Here try this, you may have better analysis: and this Just for MrBean, since he's still in the closet.{image}
i'm looking at it but it reminds me of one of those posters (the wall hanging type) where you look at it and look at it and eventually you see the pattern that was hidden all the time.

and when i look at yours is see a.....
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #1,199,674
  • Sep 18, 2021 11:56pm Sep 18, 2021 11:56pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,199,675
  • Sep 19, 2021 12:51am Sep 19, 2021 12:51am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
This week the FED interest decision with new forecasts about US economy and with the dot plot graph is the main event of the week. I expect much volatility at the event and after. In the Weekly chart price is falling inside a channel, below 1.1910 resistance level. A rise above could lead EURUSD at 1.2000, but a fall which is more probable for now could bring it to lower levels - 1.1665/50, 1.1600, 1.1570 & 1.1496. {image} I believe the price will move inside a range - 1830/1665 until Wednesday (FED) and then might break in any direction. {image}...
do i have permission to drop a bombshell ?

my girlfriend 2.0 indicator made some predictions [ taken from the excel sheet the version 3.0 calculates ]
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  • #1,199,676
  • Sep 19, 2021 1:39am Sep 19, 2021 1:39am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
This week the FED interest decision with new forecasts about US economy and with the dot plot graph is the main event of the week. I expect much volatility at the event and after. In the Weekly chart price is falling inside a channel, below 1.1910 resistance level. A rise above could lead EURUSD at 1.2000, but a fall which is more probable for now could bring it to lower levels - 1.1665/50, 1.1600, 1.1570 & 1.1496. {image} I believe the price will move inside a range - 1830/1665 until Wednesday (FED) and then might break in any direction. {image}...
In general terms I agree, a fall is much more probable. For day trading or even swing trading this is not much useful though.
In my views, a big retracement up to 1.1740/1.1750 is to be expected at the latest during NY open hours. Let's see.
Follow your guts, if you want to lose your money...
  • #1,199,677
  • Sep 19, 2021 1:45am Sep 19, 2021 1:45am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} do i have permission to drop a bombshell ? my girlfriend 2.0 indicator made some predictions [ taken from the excel sheet the version 3.0 calculates ] {image}
I find this forecast exagerated, but if, I take only the close of the month calculation from all these info then I have a more reliable forecast for the end of this month.

Attached Image
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #1,199,678
  • Sep 19, 2021 1:51am Sep 19, 2021 1:51am
Quoting JotaP
{quote} In general terms I agree, a fall is much more probable. For day trading or even swing trading this is not much useful though. In my views, a big retracement up to 1.1740/1.1750 is to be expected at the latest during NY open hours. Let's see.
I put my weekly view at weekends, you may find smaller timeframe analysis on my every day posts.

I think its going to test 1750 at Monday too, or until Wednesday.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #1,199,679
  • Sep 19, 2021 3:25am Sep 19, 2021 3:25am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I put my weekly view at weekends, you may find smaller timeframe analysis on my every day posts. I think its going to test 1750 at Monday too, or until Wednesday.
We don't really know if there are enough sellers at the moment that justify Smart Money push price up and get liquidity from them. Just because EURUSD made a big drop last Friday does not mean sellers pushed the price down. It was an algorithmic move that most traders were not expecting (the sentiment was net long at the time). So it also possible the prices will enter in consolidation period until the news If news are good for USD, sellers will gather in force then Smart Money will deceive their expectations moving EURUSD up for a while.
Follow your guts, if you want to lose your money...
  • #1,199,680
  • Sep 19, 2021 12:19pm Sep 19, 2021 12:19pm
my thoughts on possible retracement points - they are inter range price refection points and just so happen to match the fib's. so we do like confluence when it happens. and the lower price is a trendline resistance toooooo.

my feel is the lower price point will do it.
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In tea leaves we trust!
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