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  • #138,241
  • Aug 18, 2021 2:27pm Aug 18, 2021 2:27pm
New setup sell stop 1712 TP LOW OF THE YEAR, SL HIGH OF THE YEAR
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #138,242
  • Aug 18, 2021 2:34pm Aug 18, 2021 2:34pm
Quoting bigiivan
{quote} So far, so good. MACD divergence on H1 and Daily. Continue up.
- Biden left on vacation after the news about the terrorists... How do you think this will end the USD?
"No pain no gain"
  • #138,243
  • Aug 18, 2021 2:43pm Aug 18, 2021 2:43pm
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} - Biden left on vacation after the news about the terrorists... How do you think this will end the USD?
I don't know. I don't believe in news. They are just a trigger, not a leader.
  • #138,244
  • Edited 3:15pm Aug 18, 2021 2:51pm | Edited 3:15pm
Quoting mtako
{quote} Again ! Dead ! Reboot please ! {quote} In my calculations also, these are important levels! My strats are, at this moment, taking 1.1620-.1650s in their calculations for next main profits. And perhaps we will see these even sooner than can be expected by many perspectives IF price does not get back above 1740 at all this week, keeping this momentum fresh and free from lower than average moves. Just need another volatility boost please ...
HI Mtako.
I Must say, as a scalper you have it taped, and well done Bud I was caught unawares with the intricacies of Fomc but also caught my 50% fib retrace at 1.17390 with my current short bias. A hard game we are in. My previous sell trades stopped at breakeven and some.
We go on,
Cheers.
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Trade to trade another day
  • #138,245
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:00pm Aug 18, 2021 3:00pm
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} - Biden left on vacation after the news about the terrorists... How do you think this will end the USD?
James Wood is acting as President. I beleive Biden does not exist anymore. We are going thru WWIII. People have not realized yet.
POSTMASTER
  • #138,246
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:07pm Aug 18, 2021 3:07pm
Quoting bigiivan
DX daily. Divergence = going down. {image}
Trading divergences, for me, has been fruitful. So I am extra careful with my long-term shorts still and this divergence you speak is still very much on my radar but is lesss and less as time goes by.

In your calculations, around how long does this specific divergence still have, if price keeps on dropping ? To what price does it need to drop still for it to not be of any significance anymore ?

Cheers!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #138,247
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:08pm Aug 18, 2021 3:08pm
Quoting Robinhood1
{quote} James Wood is acting as President. I beleive Biden does not exist anymore. We are going thru WWIII. People have not realized yet.
- I was looking at September 11, 2001 onwards...(graph)...just my thoughts...
"No pain no gain"
  • #138,248
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:14pm Aug 18, 2021 3:14pm
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} - I was looking at September 11, 2001 onwards...(graph)...just my thoughts...
future is not looking too bright. letīs see how many of us "western world" survives in 10 years time.
POSTMASTER
  • #138,249
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:18pm Aug 18, 2021 3:18pm
I am totally convinced to reach 11525. euro very weak at this moment
POSTMASTER
  • #138,250
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:19pm Aug 18, 2021 3:19pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I decided to buy 1.1707 if price gets there.. I don't want to push my luck any further.. I put a pending order there that will be valid until the end of current hour! If it gets activated good.. If not I cancel and call it a day.. Stops at least 15 pips lower..
Order is canceled before it gets triggered.. I am calling it a day.. Tomorrow I re-calculate! To be honest, I don't want to buy whenever price is below 1.17135... Simple as that!

Happy trading to those who keep going See yah!

*Oh one more thing: The s/r levels on H4 chart below are valid only until Frankfurt opening!
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #138,251
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:28pm Aug 18, 2021 3:28pm
Quoting mtako
{quote} Trading divergences, for me, has been fruitful. So I am extra careful with my long-term shorts still and this divergence you speak is still very much on my radar but is lesss and less as time goes by. In your calculations, around how long does this specific divergence still have, if price keeps on dropping ? To what price does it need to drop still for it to not be of any significance anymore ? Cheers!
This divergence is on daily chart that's why it might take probable a few daily bars to unfold, I can't say. About the price- I can't say that either, I will close it when MACD cross 0 level.
  • #138,252
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:29pm Aug 18, 2021 3:29pm
Quoting Robinhood1
{quote} future is not looking too bright. letīs see how many of us "western world" survives in 10 years time.
Hi,
everyone did learn in school... capitalism up-swing until big crash - humans destroy everything (including the people)... and we start to rebuild. That's the cycle.
As long as we are greedy, hungry of power and unsocial to everything else, this is the future. Poor but reality.

Best
Chriss

(sorry Ata)
  • #138,253
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:33pm Aug 18, 2021 3:33pm
Quoting Robinhood1
{quote} James Wood is acting as President. I beleive Biden does not exist anymore. We are going thru WWIII. People have not realized yet.
Huh?
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
  • #138,254
  • Aug 18, 2021 3:59pm Aug 18, 2021 3:59pm
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} HI Mtako. I Must say, as a scalper you have it taped, and well done Bud I was caught unawares with the intricates of Fomc but also caught my 50% fib retrace at 1.17390 with my current short bias. A hard game we are in. My previous sell trades stopped at breakeven and some. We go on, Cheers. {image}
Yes I share that sentiment very strongly. It is indeed a very hard game! If it wasnt for the reflexes and skills developed throughout the years... I noticed what happened with the news, and I thought about your trade, which by the way I would have been in with you! if it wasnt for my other shorts from last week, at these levels. Boy did news catch me off guard so many times, so I am with you 100%. Same old same old, as I hear Ata say . And big news specifically as so often done that to me that I have had to develop, over time, completely different versions of every single strategy ... I am happy at the much better outcomes. BUT to be honest, if it was to be redone, I would sacrifice that outcome and just not trade on those days at all and only keep very far away positions that still have enough potential...

I thought people only noticed my crazy debacles Your "well done" means a lot to me mate ! Today was an above average day for me, thanks to the constant returns into the 10s-20s range. I force myself to try to only share what I can LIVE, which is not often my best ones ! But that is GOOD, since it still reflects my (and others)trading truthfully and that is important for anybody new to this, as you know so well. I sometimes feel that the constant wins shared around the forum can lead a newcomer to believe that he/she can overleverage, etc. All my trading together, I only get in the 50s% success rate, my best strategies in terms of return/drawdown are under 40%, which is not what seems be shared mostly around here...

On another note, I have to say, your way of sharing is inspiring to me. I still have a lot to learn about sharing what I do!

I have trouble sharing my omelet without breaking a few eggs, dropping their shells in the mix, losing the spatula in it... forgetting to turn off the gaz, blowing up the house!. Sometimes I have to disappear (win or lose), or not share important info (SL AND TP are too dynamic for most of my strats ! but sometimes I also forget and that is a shame. I often forget to share losses, but also many wins! I try in my own way to share what I do and give insight the best I can also sometimes.

I do my best, but right now I can only "hang out and relax and laugh" here. I am impressed with everyone that can maintain their attention and interest on me amid such chaos and much needed silliness ! Perhaps later I will have some dedicated time to share in better ways and be of some more help like you and Ata, and not only a fun, crazy, funny, or for many also, just an annoying presence. For now, I can only be myself, in the moment. Live and unplugged.

Wow, I sound like a narcissss ! But no, I am sharing this because, truth is, you, Ata, and a couple others like Laura, Rockypoint..., help me think about what I could do better, which I have always thrived to do.

Thank you again Leon and I wish you, as always, the very best in your future trades. Looking forward to your next setup !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #138,255
  • Aug 18, 2021 4:07pm Aug 18, 2021 4:07pm
Quoting bigiivan
{quote} This divergence is on daily chart that's why it might take probable a few daily bars to unfold, I can't say. About the price- I can't say that either, I will close it when MACD cross 0 level.
Thanks a lot for the precision. I dont use cross 0 for that. Now I have some new research to do, thanks again ! Very interesting how many ways divergences are used in trading


Good night everyone !
Attached Image
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #138,256
  • Aug 18, 2021 5:35pm Aug 18, 2021 5:35pm
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Hard for me to see a direction so I trade against the trend.
Managing your lot size is the key
  • #138,257
  • Aug 18, 2021 7:29pm Aug 18, 2021 7:29pm
I closed my short here at 1.1687.
And I am long at 1.1687, TP 1.1715.
  • #138,258
  • Aug 18, 2021 8:22pm Aug 18, 2021 8:22pm
I think the pros came out of the market at DXY 93.35

This wave is over with

Leg 8 and 9 down would both have to start with large volatility handicap, from beyond E-89, possibly even E-121 and a lower low is far, far from guaranteed

like I said, start building a short at the Keltinger band and stop shorting above the daily S44
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  • #138,259
  • Aug 18, 2021 9:13pm Aug 18, 2021 9:13pm
Quoting Kyuu
{quote} still holding my shirt from 1.17908. My gut feeling tells me we’re gonna impulse a lot further down, but the next bounce will be the start of a massive even bigger bull impulse wave. I may look take profit , but not looking to long anytime soon but when I do, I’ll be holding that for a while. Let’s see how much gas the bears have in the tank
As expected price fell down a lot. I missed the opportunity to short after FOMC minutes since I was not home, but my TP for my short is 1.1667 for 123 pips where I will then go long risking 15-20 pips.

I've attached my monthly view, I believe we are still going up eventually. However, if we do go up, I'm not sure if we will go up very soon or if we must reach 1.15 which seems to be a relatively important level. My only concern is if we go THAT deep, we might not have the strong bull move I am expecting which is why I am inclined to long 1.1667 area.
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  • #138,260
  • Aug 18, 2021 9:14pm Aug 18, 2021 9:14pm
-I'm waiting for confirms to enter buying
"No pain no gain"
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