Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

XAUUSD Technical Analysis

If (a) (b) (c) Correction Complete

Time Frame >> 4H

Blue Line >> Monthly Pivot
Red Line >> Weekly Pivot

HURST - PROFIT MAGIC - 1970 - Appendix 4

How A Moving Average Works

The derived response curve for a centered moving average is plotted in Figure A IV-1.

The simplicity of the function tells us that we need never plot it again for a specific design. Knowing that amplitude ratio is 1.0 at zero frequency, 0.0 at a 2 Pi :nt(n) frequency (corresponding to a period of nt(n),), and that the following error lobe is negative and reaches a peak of a, = -.23 is sufficient to allow the curve to be visualized with sufficient accuracy for all practical purposes.

We note that selection of a span of nt(n), forces the output to contain no trace of spectral components whose period equals this span. We further know that slightly lower frequencies will come through attenuated, the attenuation diminishing as frequency decreases, reaching zero attenuation at zero frequency. Similarly, slightly higher frequencies (than that of cutoff) come through attenuated and 180 ° out of phase. At a still higher frequency, output is again zero. At higher frequencies yet, output is obtained that is still more attenuated and in phase with input again.

It is clear that the centered moving average behaves as a low-pass filter with large-amplitude Gibbs-oscillation error lobes (due to the infinite discontinuities of the derivatives of the square-wave weighting function). Actually, the high-frequency suppression characteristics are sufficiently poor that such an average would not be very effective as a "smoother" of stock price data-except for the fact that the spectrum of
stock prices consistently displays the ai =k / omega(t); relationship between amplitude and derived in Appendix One.

It is only the sharp attenuation of high-frequencies characteristic of stock price motion that permits the utilization of a filter with such relatively poor characteristics.

The combination of knowing the spectral behaviour of a given design of moving average and knowing in advance the general nature of the signal against which it is to be applied (per the price-motion model), generates a terrific advantage in the applications.

Moving averages can now be designed to clarify and allow inference of spectral status of stock prices at any given time, thus providing insight into the future of the price time-series. This is the basis of the several applications of the chapters.

In using moving averages to help define the turning points of price-motion model components, one is now aware of the potential for high-frequency "creep through'-either in phase or 180 degrees out of phase. Such knowledge permits identification of these unwanted residuals, so that they do not mislead conclusions.

RESPONSE OF THE INVERSE CENTERED MOVING AVERAGE

The chapters have pointed up the utility of this version of centered moving averages.

Knowledge of the frequency response associated with them can be used to sharpen your ability to interpret results obtained through their usage.

The phase response and lag characteristics of such an operation are similar to that of the conventional moving average.

The principal difference lies in the fact that no phase inversion is experienced at frequencies output via error lobes. The output is, therefore, perfectly in phase with input across the entire frequency spectrum, and time lag remains precisely one-half the span of the fdter.

Amplitude is simply derived by taking 1.0 minus that for the conventional moving average, with the result shown in Figure A IV-2.

From this figure it is noted that the inverse moving average behaves like a high-pass filter-again with error lobes to 23%. The frequency for which amplitude ratio first become 1.0 is 2 Pi / nt(n) -, or the frequency corresponding to a period equal to
the span of the average, nt(n),. The actual maximum response point occurs at a frequency somewhat higher. You will sometimes want to correct output for the nearly one-fourth excess amplitude of the output at these frequencies in order to arrive at a true estimate of the magnitude of a spectral model component.

XAUUSD 4H Cycles

Amin-2021

your count of "waves" is not rational, confused and misleading

a ) you forget to count a significant top and a significant low . Why ?

jmn5611,
Amazing. Frequency art, or pattern art is one thing that comes to mind. Thank you for sharing.

Parisboy,

I guess I could say I dodged another $ loss with that one. Were you able to find a pdf of that one that is not redacted?

XAUUSD 4 H

My (rational) choice

Ace - No i have not

the question is

a) is there some idea or technique we can exploit for our trading
b) is there a confluence with the technique we already use ?

The line " buy now our software (book, course etc) because there is only 50 items available and after there will be no more is a very old selling trick you are taught in selling course !

Heh, I also had this situation on the chart, and as if everything is going great, I already thought I would buy a new phone, and at some point everything changes suddenly, and I lose $ 2000 in a few seconds. I regret this loss, but trading is gambling, and if you don't take risks, you don't win. This is normal from the moment the market is unstable, and you don't even know when a boom or a fall in prices may occur. Dogecoin is an example of how just one tweet from Elon Musk was enough, and the price just dropped to 700%. But who is new to this field, I can say that to deal only with the leverage trading because the risk is lower.

Parisboy,

I think its safe to say...NO to what we need to ask ourselves about any value towards what we are doing here with regards to Hurst & Gann. If Kenison has any value, I'm not really seeing it, or maybe I don't understand it well enough to make a true judgement call.

I too noticed all of those clues in the sells pitch & he stressed those to me many times in our conversations.

It seems it is now time for me to continue trading my method & devoting spare time to what is going on here with regards to Hurst & Gann.

Thank you for your time, views & comments as I respect each one.

death by snu snu (other alias) your writing style is same as ahlas too..... wondered why you kept referencing my posts in strange fashion your picture with this alias was the tell ..gave it away same as one you had on discord essentially

i would laugh if your a hacker and youve set up edward barnett on linkd in not at the thought of it being actually funny just it being ironic

you know i always found it odd there were cyprto scams on that server incessantly


not gamberling only if you choose to have gamblers mentality (stalker )

welcome to where the smart and kind people reside all the books hear you ever whished for

hope your nans okay and your ltheanean is still doing the job

Hello, Thanks because for your Attention, you are right, I Have mistyped in Counting in the First Wave because I think it is an extended wave.

i dont understand your post ?

the wording of it what you put

edward barnett thing has un settled me in the sense i think ive been hacked or have been for a very long time i suppose all this is a minefield for being stitched up like a kipper

i never thought much into it as i had nothing to take

maybe im thinking to much

ither way have a nice day dave

perhaps that kid from mario hizenburge discord server crypto scammy central

Parisboy,

I've found what appears to be an unredacted copy of that pdf & over the next several days will go over it & try to understand it & determine if there is any value for me/us.

him he has same picture as kid from mario hizenburge server and has same typing style as ahlas the one who lipped paris boy and then blocked him and unblocked him he used to share files indicators and sent e to some unsecure currency strength meter around a year ago

he was apart of mario hizenburge discord group and has mental health issues another guy told me wouldnt trust him with your bank details octo insinuating that he waa menace

if you notice he ahlas the one who blocked alain was saying things as though he was copying old messages i had sent within hear

"thread party "
"ill try" when i said ill try to help

and they both write in dogey font to make it stand out sorry ilhas

trade what you see is mario hizenburge quote

ace, I trust your judgment and advice