Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

EURUSD technical analysis is no longer bullish. A strong supply imbalance on the monthly timeframe has taken control. Buying EURUSD smaller timeframes is suicidal in this scenario. A new year has started with EURUSD right at a strong supply imbalance where a decent bearish reaction is expected. EURUSD technical analysis using supply and demand imbalances is attached below.


EURUSD chart for the monthly timeframe is attached below. There are three strong imbalances, the top one is the supply zone that has just gained control. Remember that this is EURUSD monthly chart, it’s a long-term technical analysis that can be used for shorter-term and intraday Forex strategies if you are not a supply and demand trader.

EURUSD could continue to rally further, however, it’s not what usually happens when such a strong imbalance gains control. It’s right at these imbalances where reversals could happen. We are talking about odds, these odds give us an edge. It does not mean that EURUSD could continue to rally higher eliminating the supply imbalance that is now in control. If you are an intraday Forex trader using smaller timeframes like M5, M15 or even H1 (hourly), those trades must have been losses. Why? Take a look where EURUSD Forex cross pair is located. The monthly chart attached below is self-explanatory.


Supply and demand Forex trading strategy

Dollar Index DXY technical analysis is no longer bearish. A strong demand imbalance on the monthly timeframe has taken control. Selling Dollar Index DXY smaller timeframes is suicidal in this scenario. A new year has started with Dollar Index DXY right at a strong demand imbalance where a decent bullish reaction is expected. Dollar Index DXY technical analysis using supply and demand imbalances is attached below. This imbalance is affecting many US Dollar cross pairs like USDSGD and others. It’s not a good idea to go against this strong demand imbalance.

Dollar Index DXY technical analysis is no longer bearish. A strong demand imbalance on the monthly timeframe has taken control. Selling Dollar Index DXY smaller timeframes is suicidal in this scenario. A new year has started with Dollar Index DXY right at a strong demand imbalance where a decent bullish reaction is expected. See DXY monthly timeframe attached below. There are three strong imbalances, the bottom one is the demand zone that has just gained control. Remember that this is Dollar Index DXY monthly chart, it’s a long-term technical analysis that can be used for shorter-term and intraday Forex strategies if you are not a supply and demand trader.



Supply and demand Forex trading strategy

Netflix, Inc. is still the number one subscription streaming entertainment service in the world in 2021. There are a few streaming entertainment companies like Amazon Prime, Disney Plus, HBO but NetFlix is definitely the one to be beaten. Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) keeps getting better and better in a world that is locked down again under the effects of the coronavirus pandemic in what they call the third wave.

It reminds me of one of those apocalyptic American moves where an asteroid or a huge tsunami would end the world as we know it. Netflix is getting more and more subscribers joining their streaming services and the stock is printing all-time highs over and over again.
Netflix stock analysis forecast price chart analysis

Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) has broken all-time high again and created a new weekly demand imbalance around $474 per share that has gained control as expected. In a previous Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) supply and demand stock analysis shared with you last August 2020, I mentioned the strong imbalance located at $474 per share and how we should expect strong reactions from there. Netflix stock has broken all-time highs again as expected and it is in the process of creating a new imbalance around $510. The stock has rallied about 25% since the supply and demand stock analysis was shared with you a few weeks ago.

Supply and demand Stock trading strategy

Alibaba stock price is reacting to a strong demand imbalance on the monthly timeframe as expected and shared with members of the Set and Forget trading community. Alibaba Group stock took a few months to pull back to the strong imbalance located around $215 per share and it’s reacting to it very strongly.
Alibaba stock price in pre-market is showing higher stock prices near $270 per share. It seems that Alibaba Group stock BABA will keep on rallying even higher in the next weeks.

Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group has posted strong results for the last quarter of 2020, but as supply and demand traders we do not need to pay attention to these releases since most of the time price will react to a strong imbalance even if the earnings were negative. The company was founded by Jack Ma. Alibaba saw revenues up 37% against the same quarter of 2019 to $34.2 billion.

There is a lot of profit potential for Alibaba Group stock. We are expecting Alibaba stock price to keep on moving to higher grounds around $300 and even break all-time highs in a few months during the first few months of 2021. Alibaba stock price forecast for 2011 is definitely bullish.

Unfortunately, I am not long on Alibaba stock because at the time a member of the trading community shared an article that informed that the NYSE would delist Alibaba and other Chinese companies from the New York Stock Exchange. A few days later, they changed their mind and I was long on other stocks. It doesn’t matter because there are plenty of trading opportunities.


Alibaba stock price

USDJPY chart is definitely bullish. The daily timeframe is trending up creating new demand imbalances and respecting them. The bigger picture bias for USDJPY Forex cross pair is bullish with the USD potentially becoming stronger as explained in a previous Dollar Index DXY chart analysis.

Why is USDJPY rallying so strongly? The bigger picture bias is bullish, as simple as that. There is a bigger timeframe demand imbalance that has taken control.

As you can see on USDJPY tradingview daily chart below. There are new demand levels being created for this cross para. The price level tagged with #1 didn’t play out as we would have expected, you can read here the previous USDJPY chart analysis.


Supply and demand Forex trading strategy

Both EURUSD and US Dollar Index #DXY had reached strong imbalances as explained in a previous analysis that you can read here shared with you last 12th January 2021. As expected, the EURO has dropped strongly from that strong imbalance on the monthly timeframe. The same is happening to the US Dollar Index but upside down, and that’s why you see that most US dollar cross pairs are rallying strongly. There is a very strong correlation between the EURO, the US Dollar Index #DXY and EURO/US cross pairs.

EURUSD technical analysis hasn’t been bullish for a couple of months already, I shared the analysis with you. A strong supply imbalance on the monthly timeframe had taken control. Buying EURUSD using smaller timeframes is suicidal in this scenario. A new year has started with EURUSD right at a strong supply imbalance where a decent bearish reaction is expected. EURUSD and Dollar Index #DXY technical analysis using supply and demand imbalances.


Supply and demand Forex trading strategy

Virgin Galactic is an American spaceflight company within the Virgin Group. It is developing commercial spacecraft and aims to provide suborbital spaceflights to space tourists and suborbital launches for space science missions.

The idea of space travel sounds like science fiction to me and probably to you as well. Virgin Galactic #SPCE is not the only company that aims to provide space flights to influential and wealthy citizens. The “big three” U.S. aerospace companies are Boeing. Lockheed Martin, and. Northrop Grumman (which acquired Orbital ATK as of June 6, 2018). Amazon and Tesla are also planning to launch their own space crafts.



How to trade stocks
. Virgin Galactic SPCE stock

We might think that Moderna stock pharmaceuticals could be subject to wild swings as this biotech company is attempting to distribute a coranavirus vaccine to millions of people around the world. Is Moderna stock MRNA a stock to buy?

Moderna stock has been a stock to buy quite a few times in the last few months. As supply and demand traders, we should focus on very clear imbalances to buy. We have analyzed in depth Moderna pharmaceuticals stock in Set and Forget’s online trading academy.

Moderna (MRNA) joined Pfizer (PFE) and partnered with BioNTech (BNTX) to have a COVID-19 vaccine authorized in December 2020. Both vaccines use messenger RNA technology to prompt an immune response. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) followed with its own authorization in February 2021.


Set and Forget online trading academy

We do not need to do a thorough stock fundamental analysis to place a buy a stock or place a trade. Fundamental analysis is a method used to evaluate a stock’s intrinsic value and analyse the factors that could influence its price in the future. This form of stock analysis is based on external events and influences, financial statements, and industry trends.

As supply and demand traders, we should not consider the fundamental stock analysis for any company. We could, but we do not need to pay attention to fundamental analysis.

As you can see in the stock analysis that I’ve shared for years, you will never see me referring to the fundamental analysis, the earnings reports, or the earnings of any stock. A trader doesn’t have to use supply and demand imbalances to place a trade, which adds complexity layers. I am not an expert in fundamental analysis. I will never be because I can see how these imbalances play out without adding stock fundamental analysis to my supply and demand technical analysis.


How to trade stocks without using fundamental analysis

In the Set and Forget online trading community, you will learn all you need to know about the basics of cryptocurrency. Learn how Bitcoin, blockchain and altcoins like AAVE and others work. Learn how to take advantage of crypto trading opportunities and how to actually use them, and why it matters to you.

We’re actively trading cryptocurrencies using supply and demand imbalances now There is life beyond BitCoin and Ethereum. As you probably know, supply and demand are the forces that move the markets. Earnings reports, news announcements and interests rates create. Cryptocurrencies are no exceptions. You don’t need to know about the crypto itself, what it does or what YouTubers and other crypto traders think about a specific cryptocurrency. You only need to follow the crypto trading strategy, and that’s it.

Do you still want to add more layers of complexity to your crypto trading decisions? Follow dozens of Twitter accounts and YouTubers. Your head will be stuffed with so much information and different views that you won’t be able to make an educated decision by yourself. And don’t you want to be able to make your own trading decisions by following a mechanical set of rules? If your answer is yes, you might be interested in learning how to trade cryptocurrencies using supply and demand imbalances.


Learn to trade cryptocurrencies

Was Pfizer stock a great stock to buy in 2021? It actually was as explained in the previous Pfizer stock analysis. Does Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) stock deserve a place in your portfolio? Sure it does. Moreover with the strong demand imbalance that gained control around $37 per share.

Pfizer stock price 2021
Pfizer Inc. (NYSEFE) is a well-known American multinational pharmaceutical corporation. It was the first pharmaceutical company to have developed a vaccine for COVID-19. Pfizer is one of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies and was ranked 64th on the 2020 Fortune 500 list.
Take a look at Pfizer stock price analysis below. See how the monthly imbalance created around $35 per share is playing out as expected as explained in a previous Pfizer stock analysis. That was a great trading opportunity for this company. Stock direction trading can provide us with great opportunities like this one on Pfizer stock.



How to trade stocks without using fundamental analysis

Should you consider investing in Salesforce stock now? The bias is clearly bullish, but as a supply and demand trader, you would be late now that the monthly demand imbalance mentioned in the previous salesforce stock analysis shared with you last 12th October 2020.

Salesforce.com stock (NYSE: CRM) has broken all-time highs. There is a lot of bullish momentum and new strong impulses being created on all timeframes. The stock had broken all-time highs last October 2020 again and created a strong imbalance around $202 per share. Stock investors would probably be hoping for strength from CRM as it approaches its next earnings release. See below the analysis shared with you last October 2020 before Salesforce CRM stock pulled back to the imbalance at $202 as expected.



How to trade stocks without using fundamental analysis

BitShares BTS is a cryptocurrency that powers BitShares. BitShares is a peer-to-peer distributed ledger and network that can issue collateralized market-pegged smart coins known as bitAssets. We have been waiting for this cryptocurrency to reach a strong weekly imbalance of around 0.08. BTS USDT is doing as expected. It took about three weeks to reach the demand imbalance at that price level, and it’s reacting as expected.

Learn to trade cryptocurrencies
Take a look at the weekly timeframe cryptocurrency analysis for BTS USDT Bitshares versus Tetherus. It has taken some time for this cryptocurrency to pull back to the imbalance, but it has finally reached it as expected. Some of the cryptocurrency traders at Set and Forget trading community are already long on this crypto. Hopefully, it will rally as expected.




Learn to trade cryptocurrencies

A couple of weeks ago, we shared an analysis of Twitter stock. Twitter stock price was at a strong demand imbalance on the monthly timeframe and we were expecting price to move higher because of that. Twitter stock had been dropping for a couple of months after breaking all-time highs last March 2021. However, a strong imbalance had just taken control around $54 per share. Buy opportunities were possible on Twitter stock during May 2021 and there will probably be more for a few weeks.

As a supply and demand trader, we should have thought of buying shares of Twitter TWTR stock or maybe using bullish stock option strategies if you are an options trader.


Now take a look below at the same tock about three weeks later as of the 31st May 2021. Twitter stock price has started to move as expected and buying opportunities are starting to play out. It's time to manage the trade. Could Twitter stock price tank and drop to zero eliminating the imbalance? Of course, anything can happen. However, probabilities are on our side and trading is all about having the odds on our side and taking every valid trade blindly. We can't arbitrarily choose which ones to trade or to ignore, we must take every valid trade as long as it follows our trading plan.


Have a great day!
How to trade stocks without using fundamental analysis

BitCoin cryptocurrency has not pulled back to the strong imbalance shared with you a few months ago. Everyone is talking about Bitcoin, even my 87 years old mother asked me the other day what BitCoin was because she was hearing about it on the news all the time. If such an old person, unrelated to the crypto world, is suddenly interested in knowing what BitCoin is, we’ve got a problem. It’s telling us NOT to buy BitCoin or any crypto currency long-term.
What I just said is far from being a technical analysis, even less a fundamental analysis on BitCoin. However, this thinking process is so simple that nobody stops to think about the consequences of such a statement. When someone unrelated and unexposed to the financial market, with no interest at all in cryptocurrencies or BitCoin, asks about it… Do not buy! It’s a very simple rule.

Let’s talk about BitCoin technical analysis and prediction for 2021. Pools of supply and demand imbalances are created in all BitCoin timeframes, you must know what these imbalances look like and what they mean before you decide to take a trade on BitCoin. Find below a long term analysis of BitCoin cryptocurrency using the monthly timeframe. Buying this crypto is not a good idea, we are waiting for a much bigger correction on the monthly timeframe this year 202. Intraday and shorter-term crypto traders could think of shorts on the way down to the strong imbalance located around $12.500.




How to trade BitCoin

Mastercard stock price has started to react to a strong imbalance located on the weekly timeframe around $365 per share. We can see bullish price action on the stock as well. We are expected Mastercard stock price to move higher in the forthcoming weeks. Take a look at the supply and demand technical stock analysis done on the weekly timeframe below. There is a very strong impulse around that price level that is allowing Mastercard stock price to move higher as expected regardless of the stock’s fundamental analysis or expected earnings for the last quarter. As supply and demand traders, we can disregard fundamental stock analysis and earnings releases as they are already priced in the charts.



Mastercard stock price forecast

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is trying to pull back to a demand imbalance on the monthly timeframe located around $11.42 per share. Palantir stock price has been stalling and stagnating for a few months since last February 2021 after the stock surged to all-time highs at almost $45 per share.

It’s likely that you’ve already heard the news that Palantir (PLTR) just reported a strong Q2 2021. It is a fact that there will probably be plenty of coverage of those results, including the tremendous growth and increased cash flow outlook. Do we really need to know about Palantir stock forecast by taking into consideration the second-quarter results?

As supply and demand traders we are waiting for Palantir stock price to drop further or trade new imbalances if the stock starts to rally very strongly.

Palantir stock price forecast

Who doesn't know AirBnB? Airbnb, Inc., operates a platform for stays and experiences to guests worldwide. The company's marketplace model connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces and experiences. It primarily offers private rooms and luxury villas. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010.

On March 11 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the outbreak of coronavirus, known as COVID-19, to be a global pandemic. Since then, the outbreak has evolved rapidly, with governments worldwide taking swift action to slow the spread of COVID-19. Airbnb was affected by this declaration because that meant that his business model would suffer tremendously as travelling around the world would come to a halt. No tourists = no income. At the time, Airbnb was not traded publicly. It was not until last December 2020 when Airbnb IPO happened and created the only imbalance available on the monthly timeframe, around 146 dollars per share.
The meteoric rise of Airbnb across cities since its introduction in 2008 has disrupted the housing markets of major cities worldwide. Some studies demonstrate the increasing trend in rental and property prices that parallels increasing Airbnb activity.

The COVID-19 pandemic presents a unique case study of this stock. Amid growing concern over how the delta variant of Covid-19 could affect people's travel plans, Airbnb (ABNB) endured another month with monthly demand in control. Why? Because the revenue model of Airbnb is founded on is under significant pressure with the halting of global travel. Regardless of any negative impact that COVID-19 may have had on Airbnb, imbalances are created and usually created when there is a trending market unless there is over-extension. Airbnb shares may have dropped after investor worries about the impact of Delta variant on travel overshadowed the online rental company's second-quarter results. Yet, that report didn't do much with the monthly imbalance taking control around $146.


Airbnb stock price 2021

BioNTech Stock Covid-19 Manufacturer Buy Opportunity. A strong weekly demand level has been reached as expected. BioNTech Stock price rallying as expected and mentioned in the set and forget trading community.

BioNTech SE is a German biotechnology company based in Mainz that develops and manufactures active immunotherapies for patient-specific approaches to treating diseases. With Pfizer, BioNTech has created one of the most successful covid-19 vaccines, saving millions of lives.

See below at BioNTech stock analysis and forecast. This trade was called a few weeks ago, it’s been only a couple of weeks ago that the stock reached out entry. The stock price has pulled back to the price level around $233 per share, and it’s reacting as expected.

Watch the video below.



BioNTech stock forecast 2021

Peloton Interactive stock analysis. Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates an at-home fitness platform for live and on-demand indoor cycling classes. The company pioneered connected technology-enabled fitness and the streaming of immersive, instructor-led boutique classes for its members.

The past year has been challenging for Peloton (PTON) from a business standpoint. The stock has tanked more than 140% since January 2021. This sell-off was expected and mentioned in the Set and Forget trading academy by locating and assessing the strength of the imbalances.

Should you invest $1,000 in Peloton Interactive, Inc. right now?
You see the Peloton Interactive stock chart over the past year, and it’s not an excellent chart, not the best for buying shares of Peloton Interactive, isn’t it? Revenue was up, earnings-per-share, they’re still negative—significant loss versus the profit last quarter or year-over-year. But we don’t consider earnings and fundamental analysis at Set and Forget at $29 per share, a considerable discount of around 140% since January 2021.

The stock has reached a strong imbalance, located around $30. That’s what we’ve been waiting for for a few months, and Peloton Interactive is already there.


Palantir Interactive stock analysis