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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #12,101
  • Mar 6, 2021 9:23pm Mar 6, 2021 9:23pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDCAD 1.25 long trade update, added on a pull back to 1.26 RN/Fib 50 confluence. Seems like a bullish flag on H4. The bigger picture, it could be forming an asymmetric inverted H&Sh pattern with neckline @ 1.2750. Levels to watch. {image}
USDCAD looks very interesting for a possible swing trade over the coming weeks.

On the W1 chart we can see rejection from demand (also monthly 31.8) at the Large Quarter (1.25). It is also testing the long W1/D1 downtrend line.

Targets would be 1.30 and possibly 1.35.

H1 now has demand established. Longs interesting right here, 1.2625 or a retest of 1.26
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,102
  • Mar 7, 2021 2:46am Mar 7, 2021 2:46am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} AUDUSD short trade. The initial plan was to short @ 0.7850, but I had to pull the trigger based on the PA. AU is breaking below S @ 0.77, the next supports are 0.7650 and 0.76. For bigger picture, take a look at my AU weekly chart posted before. The wedge patterns on AU and NU indicate more downside to come. {image}
Hi Shahab8b ...
Here is my view of AUDUSD with Bearish scenario base on The 5-0 Pattern key point for me at 0.75xx area she will pullback to 50% (0.768XX) not higher then this of leg down (0.7840 to 0.7500) , then we will see the valid of the 5-0 pattern set up to another leg down around 0.72xx area note price need to break out 0.75xx area

here is the plan of bearish movement AUDUSD H4 TF ..this is only my view for this coming weeks ..
what do you think shahab8b ...Thxs
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,103
  • Edited 3:23am Mar 7, 2021 3:08am | Edited 3:23am
Quoting mrhb30jr
{quote} Hi Shahab8b ... Here is my view of AUDUSD with Bearish scenario base on The 5-0 Pattern key point for me at 0.75xx area she will pullback to 50% (0.768XX) not higher then this of leg down (0.7840 to 0.7500) , then we will see the valid of the 5-0 pattern set up to another leg down around 0.72xx area note price need to break out 0.75xx area here is the plan of bearish movement AUDUSD H4 TF ..this is only my view for this coming weeks .. what do you think shahab8b ...Thxs {image}
But another View AUDUSD on Daily Chart ... wave 4 =38% area fibo almost finish ....here is the chart D1 ...
Bullish Scenario on H4 TF ... Bullish The 5-0 Pattern ..this is only my view ...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4Bullish.png Size: 33 KB
  • #12,104
  • Mar 7, 2021 3:33am Mar 7, 2021 3:33am
Others Trade of BTCUSDT H4 ... trend continue
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: BTCUSDT 240TF 07.03.21D.png Size: 110 KB
  • #12,105
  • Mar 7, 2021 7:11am Mar 7, 2021 7:11am
EURUSD still more non commercials are in long positions, but they took off a lot of their positions, and more short positions are added. Indicating, that EURUSD is turning bearish and may go down further. I am on the side for now, but will be looking to sell on any pullback up on daily chart. Keep in mind now that Democrats are voted in, history proves that whenever Democrats are voted in, USD is stronger vs EUR. Trade safe.
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  • #12,106
  • Mar 7, 2021 5:18pm Mar 7, 2021 5:18pm
Gold, possible ending diagonal formation on H4, above 1720 might open up a path to 1760/80.
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  • #12,107
  • Mar 7, 2021 5:36pm Mar 7, 2021 5:36pm
Quoting mrhb30jr
NIKK225 Index ... M5 Long .. Nice Pin Bar H1.... {image} {image}
Updated NIKK225 D1 ..
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  • #12,108
  • Mar 8, 2021 4:24am Mar 8, 2021 4:24am
Quoting mrhb30jr
{quote} But another View AUDUSD on Daily Chart ... wave 4 =38% area fibo almost finish ....here is the chart D1 ... Bullish Scenario on H4 TF ... Bullish The 5-0 Pattern ..this is only my view ... {image} {image}
Here is my plan, i did adjusted of bullish scenario point from previous chart of AUDUSD H4 ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,109
  • Mar 8, 2021 4:28am Mar 8, 2021 4:28am
Quoting mrhb30jr
{quote} Hi Mizi ... my view of euro due the support bko and depth correction of EU... i will be look for reversal at 1.18xx area .. {image}
Updated on EU H4 ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,110
  • Mar 8, 2021 6:11am Mar 8, 2021 6:11am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,111
  • Mar 8, 2021 9:14am Mar 8, 2021 9:14am
UK100, possible long setup as long as it remains above 3690
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  • #12,112
  • Mar 8, 2021 9:20am Mar 8, 2021 9:20am
Quoting shahab8b
Gold, possible ending diagonal formation on H4, above 1720 might open up a path to 1760/80. {image}
It seems gold is still unfolding as the ending diagonal formation. I will consider longs if we get a clear break above 1695/1700.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,113
  • Mar 8, 2021 10:33am Mar 8, 2021 10:33am
Hi friends i hope everyone is well EA is floating short inside bearish channel!
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  • #12,114
  • Mar 8, 2021 10:40am Mar 8, 2021 10:40am
EU top down analysis...
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  • #12,115
  • Mar 8, 2021 11:02am Mar 8, 2021 11:02am
Quoting mizi123
Hi friends i hope everyone is well EA is floating short inside bearish channel! {image} {image}
Hi Mizi,
I have a difference view of this EA ... H1 Long ....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURAUDH1A.png Size: 37 KB
  • #12,116
  • Mar 8, 2021 11:16am Mar 8, 2021 11:16am
Quoting mrhb30jr
{quote} Hi Mizi, I have a difference view of this EA ... H1 Long .... {image}
For me all these candles are failling temptations of bulls to push the price higher.....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12,117
  • Mar 8, 2021 11:32am Mar 8, 2021 11:32am
Quoting mizi123
{quote} For me all these candles are failling temptations of bulls to push the price higher..... {image}
Hi Mizi,

You are right ...D1 Trend is downward movement .. .. i'm long in the short time ..
  • #12,118
  • Mar 8, 2021 12:05pm Mar 8, 2021 12:05pm
Good discussion on EURAUD guys.

Here is my take. I'll wait for the price to come to my levels. No chasing here.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURAUDH4 38.png Size: 58 KB
  • #12,119
  • Mar 8, 2021 12:15pm Mar 8, 2021 12:15pm
Quoting mizi123
EU top down analysis... {image} {image}
EURUSD 1.1850/65 is also FE100
  • #12,120
  • Mar 8, 2021 3:17pm Mar 8, 2021 3:17pm
AJ is moving inside these simetrical triangle need to be monitored because very soon will break on long side ...
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