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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

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  • Post #12,101
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2021 10:23pm Mar 6, 2021 10:23pm
  •  C-12
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: Signed In | 5,308 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
Disliked
{quote} USDCAD 1.25 long trade update, added on a pull back to 1.26 RN/Fib 50 confluence. Seems like a bullish flag on H4. The bigger picture, it could be forming an asymmetric inverted H&Sh pattern with neckline @ 1.2750. Levels to watch. {image}
Ignored
USDCAD looks very interesting for a possible swing trade over the coming weeks.

On the W1 chart we can see rejection from demand (also monthly 31.8) at the Large Quarter (1.25). It is also testing the long W1/D1 downtrend line.

Targets would be 1.30 and possibly 1.35.

H1 now has demand established. Longs interesting right here, 1.2625 or a retest of 1.26
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  • Post #12,102
  • Quote
  • Mar 7, 2021 3:46am Mar 7, 2021 3:46am
  •  mrhb30jr
  • Joined May 2010 | Status: Member | 2,615 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
Disliked
{quote} AUDUSD short trade. The initial plan was to short @ 0.7850, but I had to pull the trigger based on the PA. AU is breaking below S @ 0.77, the next supports are 0.7650 and 0.76. For bigger picture, take a look at my AU weekly chart posted before. The wedge patterns on AU and NU indicate more downside to come. {image}
Ignored
Hi Shahab8b ...
Here is my view of AUDUSD with Bearish scenario base on The 5-0 Pattern key point for me at 0.75xx area she will pullback to 50% (0.768XX) not higher then this of leg down (0.7840 to 0.7500) , then we will see the valid of the 5-0 pattern set up to another leg down around 0.72xx area note price need to break out 0.75xx area

here is the plan of bearish movement AUDUSD H4 TF ..this is only my view for this coming weeks ..
what do you think shahab8b ...Thxs
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  • Post #12,103
  • Quote
  • Edited 4:23am Mar 7, 2021 4:08am | Edited 4:23am
  •  mrhb30jr
  • Joined May 2010 | Status: Member | 2,615 Posts
Quoting mrhb30jr
Disliked
{quote} Hi Shahab8b ... Here is my view of AUDUSD with Bearish scenario base on The 5-0 Pattern key point for me at 0.75xx area she will pullback to 50% (0.768XX) not higher then this of leg down (0.7840 to 0.7500) , then we will see the valid of the 5-0 pattern set up to another leg down around 0.72xx area note price need to break out 0.75xx area here is the plan of bearish movement AUDUSD H4 TF ..this is only my view for this coming weeks .. what do you think shahab8b ...Thxs {image}
Ignored
But another View AUDUSD on Daily Chart ... wave 4 =38% area fibo almost finish ....here is the chart D1 ...
Bullish Scenario on H4 TF ... Bullish The 5-0 Pattern ..this is only my view ...
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  • Post #12,104
  • Quote
  • Mar 7, 2021 4:33am Mar 7, 2021 4:33am
  •  mrhb30jr
  • Joined May 2010 | Status: Member | 2,615 Posts
Others Trade of BTCUSDT H4 ... trend continue
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  • Post #12,105
  • Quote
  • Mar 7, 2021 8:11am Mar 7, 2021 8:11am
  •  Techanalyst
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jul 2020 | 7,294 Posts
EURUSD still more non commercials are in long positions, but they took off a lot of their positions, and more short positions are added. Indicating, that EURUSD is turning bearish and may go down further. I am on the side for now, but will be looking to sell on any pullback up on daily chart. Keep in mind now that Democrats are voted in, history proves that whenever Democrats are voted in, USD is stronger vs EUR. Trade safe.
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  • Post #12,106
  • Quote
  • Mar 7, 2021 6:18pm Mar 7, 2021 6:18pm
  •  shahab8b
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: The Alchemist | 8,917 Posts
Gold, possible ending diagonal formation on H4, above 1720 might open up a path to 1760/80.
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  • Post #12,107
  • Quote
  • Mar 7, 2021 6:36pm Mar 7, 2021 6:36pm
  •  mrhb30jr
  • Joined May 2010 | Status: Member | 2,615 Posts
Quoting mrhb30jr
Disliked
NIKK225 Index ... M5 Long .. Nice Pin Bar H1.... {image} {image}
Ignored
Updated NIKK225 D1 ..
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  • Post #12,108
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 5:24am Mar 8, 2021 5:24am
  •  mrhb30jr
  • Joined May 2010 | Status: Member | 2,615 Posts
Quoting mrhb30jr
Disliked
{quote} But another View AUDUSD on Daily Chart ... wave 4 =38% area fibo almost finish ....here is the chart D1 ... Bullish Scenario on H4 TF ... Bullish The 5-0 Pattern ..this is only my view ... {image} {image}
Ignored
Here is my plan, i did adjusted of bullish scenario point from previous chart of AUDUSD H4 ...
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  • Post #12,109
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 5:28am Mar 8, 2021 5:28am
  •  mrhb30jr
  • Joined May 2010 | Status: Member | 2,615 Posts
Quoting mrhb30jr
Disliked
{quote} Hi Mizi ... my view of euro due the support bko and depth correction of EU... i will be look for reversal at 1.18xx area .. {image}
Ignored
Updated on EU H4 ...
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3
  • Post #12,110
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 7:11am Mar 8, 2021 7:11am
  •  Techanalyst
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jul 2020 | 7,294 Posts
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • Post #12,111
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 10:14am Mar 8, 2021 10:14am
  •  shahab8b
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: The Alchemist | 8,917 Posts
UK100, possible long setup as long as it remains above 3690
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  • Post #12,112
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 10:20am Mar 8, 2021 10:20am
  •  shahab8b
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: The Alchemist | 8,917 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
Disliked
Gold, possible ending diagonal formation on H4, above 1720 might open up a path to 1760/80. {image}
Ignored
It seems gold is still unfolding as the ending diagonal formation. I will consider longs if we get a clear break above 1695/1700.
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  • Post #12,113
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 11:33am Mar 8, 2021 11:33am
  •  mizi123
  • Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Never underestimate value of an pip | 4,357 Posts
Hi friends i hope everyone is well EA is floating short inside bearish channel!
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  • Post #12,114
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 11:40am Mar 8, 2021 11:40am
  •  mizi123
  • Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Never underestimate value of an pip | 4,357 Posts
EU top down analysis...
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  • Post #12,115
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 12:02pm Mar 8, 2021 12:02pm
  •  mrhb30jr
  • Joined May 2010 | Status: Member | 2,615 Posts
Quoting mizi123
Disliked
Hi friends i hope everyone is well EA is floating short inside bearish channel! {image} {image}
Ignored
Hi Mizi,
I have a difference view of this EA ... H1 Long ....
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  • Post #12,116
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 12:16pm Mar 8, 2021 12:16pm
  •  mizi123
  • Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Never underestimate value of an pip | 4,357 Posts
Quoting mrhb30jr
Disliked
{quote} Hi Mizi, I have a difference view of this EA ... H1 Long .... {image}
Ignored
For me all these candles are failling temptations of bulls to push the price higher.....
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  • Post #12,117
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 12:32pm Mar 8, 2021 12:32pm
  •  mrhb30jr
  • Joined May 2010 | Status: Member | 2,615 Posts
Quoting mizi123
Disliked
{quote} For me all these candles are failling temptations of bulls to push the price higher..... {image}
Ignored
Hi Mizi,

You are right ...D1 Trend is downward movement .. .. i'm long in the short time ..
 
2
  • Post #12,118
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 1:05pm Mar 8, 2021 1:05pm
  •  shahab8b
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: The Alchemist | 8,917 Posts
Good discussion on EURAUD guys.

Here is my take. I'll wait for the price to come to my levels. No chasing here.
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  • Post #12,119
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 1:15pm Mar 8, 2021 1:15pm
  •  shahab8b
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: The Alchemist | 8,917 Posts
Quoting mizi123
Disliked
EU top down analysis... {image} {image}
Ignored
EURUSD 1.1850/65 is also FE100
 
4
  • Post #12,120
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2021 4:17pm Mar 8, 2021 4:17pm
  •  mizi123
  • Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Never underestimate value of an pip | 4,357 Posts
AJ is moving inside these simetrical triangle need to be monitored because very soon will break on long side ...
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