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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #83,481
  • Dec 28, 2020 2:46pm Dec 28, 2020 2:46pm
Quoting warrensapp
If UJ breaks above 103.916, then the bear run may be over. Possibly range bound below 104.581 and above 103.916. That's how I see it on the charts, however based off of the news and trader sentiment I still feel this pair should be moving lower. So I am a bit confused by by the recent uptrend on H1.{image}

Stimulus passed.... A veto from 45 and we may see our 101 target.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #83,482
  • Dec 29, 2020 7:16pm Dec 29, 2020 7:16pm
Took a rather large short position for a long term swing @103.31


Stop loss: 103.9
Take profit: 102

If i happen to be scalping a 5m chart and notice my pos hits 102.2, ill gladly take profits.
Tons of l term resistance on other pairs against the usd, curious to see what happens.
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  • #83,483
  • Dec 29, 2020 10:49pm Dec 29, 2020 10:49pm
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Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #83,484
  • Dec 30, 2020 2:36am Dec 30, 2020 2:36am
The pair will find support around 103
My technical analysis leading trades depend on Daily/Weekly/Monthly Chart
  • #83,485
  • Dec 30, 2020 6:34am Dec 30, 2020 6:34am
I believe we will do what we did last year this time. Dive then recover some. 101 hit. 102 settle. Let's see..
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #83,486
  • Edited 7:31pm Dec 30, 2020 7:18pm | Edited 7:31pm
Gap at the open. Possible 103 bounce, but it looks weak

Long 102.95. tight sl just in case we go lower. Currently short from 103.3
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #83,487
  • Dec 31, 2020 1:58am Dec 31, 2020 1:58am
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
Gap at the open. Possible 103 bounce, but it looks weak Long 102.95. tight sl just in case we go lower. Currently short from 103.3
That is the trade I also set: long @ 102.980 sl 102.900 tp 103.300. Hope it works out.
  • #83,488
  • Dec 31, 2020 2:57am Dec 31, 2020 2:57am
Possible retracement near 102.87 if not sooner imo. Still bearish sentiment overall.
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #83,489
  • Dec 31, 2020 5:57am Dec 31, 2020 5:57am
After the completion of wave "Y", a significant upside swing is expected to take place.

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  • #83,490
  • Dec 31, 2020 7:42am Dec 31, 2020 7:42am
Quoting Beyfor
After the completion of wave "Y", a significant upside swing is expected to take place. {image}
I agree, but how high up will the upswing go?
If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #83,491
  • Dec 31, 2020 8:15am Dec 31, 2020 8:15am
Quoting warrensapp
{quote} I agree, but how high up will the upswing go?

103.8. IMO of course.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #83,492
  • Jan 3, 2021 7:27am Jan 3, 2021 7:27am
Looking at the US 10yr bond yield comparison on H1, I think there still may be a further correction or retracement on UJ.
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #83,493
  • Jan 3, 2021 6:51pm Jan 3, 2021 6:51pm
Quoting warrensapp
Possible retracement near 102.87 if not sooner imo. Still bearish sentiment overall. {image}

Yep. Looks like someone left their wallet. Going back for it.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #83,494
  • Jan 3, 2021 11:54pm Jan 3, 2021 11:54pm
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
{quote} Yep. Looks like someone left their wallet. Going back for it.

88 blown. possible 101 visit
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #83,495
  • Jan 4, 2021 6:39am Jan 4, 2021 6:39am
Konichiwa!
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Maadik Hugiis. IQ 69.
  • #83,496
  • Edited Jan 5, 2021 5:49am Jan 4, 2021 7:06am | Edited Jan 5, 2021 5:49am
Opened a usd/jpy Buy position at 103.073

Pipe bottoms on 4h channel.

Stop loss at 102.69
  • #83,497
  • Jan 4, 2021 7:33pm Jan 4, 2021 7:33pm
Short to 102.88 again Bump in the road at 102.98. Will see if they move through it or turn back.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #83,498
  • Jan 5, 2021 9:22am Jan 5, 2021 9:22am
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
{quote} I agree, but be careful. Daily shows little here in way of support. I think this is going to bleed out slow to the 101 area before moving up. It faked short on Sunday, but the higher time frame fake sent it south. Just my thoughts.

Almost done. Trap set at 101.205


The last time we were here.....
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Now.....

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Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #83,499
  • Jan 5, 2021 10:19am Jan 5, 2021 10:19am
Hey everyone,

I didn't have much time to trade the last couple of weeks (months?^^), and missed a few nice entries, but the main UJ short keeps performing well enough for now anyways : ) Even though there would've been way nicer trends in other pairs recently...
Closed the shorts from the 108 area some time ago, those newer positions average at around 22 pips per week per position. That's pretty much the speed I am hoping to achieve on average, so I'm happy with that!
I'm still targeting 85 long therm as I doubt that boj can keep the yen above 100 forever, and I don't see many fundamental reasons why usd would rise significantly anytime soon. But we'll see - if it only goes to 100 I wouldn't complain too much either xD
And if it reverses today and eats all my profits I'd be just fine as well, I'm trading the big moves, a few hundred pips aren't what I am trading for anyways^^

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  • #83,500
  • Jan 5, 2021 10:52am Jan 5, 2021 10:52am
If Trump doesnt pull something off in the next 2 weeks USD goes bye bye,

Bitcoin is about to hit 40k and USDJPY is going to 93,
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Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
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