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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,761
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:18am Oct 30, 2020 8:18am
Quoting C-12
Level on EURUSD on my watchlist at 1.17 for possible continuation. D1 target demand below. {image} {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,762
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:22am Oct 30, 2020 8:22am
Quoting C-12
{quote} It might be end of week scalp but I PA was pretty good for a long here I think. Also triggered sells on NU, AU EU and long UCAD.. Late Friday so I may cut early if these start to grind. {image}
CLASSIC !!!
ball of steel.. lol..
  • #8,763
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:23am Oct 30, 2020 8:23am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} CLASSIC !!! ball of steel.. lol..
What we have to do

EG looks like it's gone flat. GU holding up quite well here. Close to being done for week now. A very good one.
  • #8,764
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:28am Oct 30, 2020 8:28am
atm.. weak for JPYX
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  • #8,765
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:30am Oct 30, 2020 8:30am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} hi frater, if u dont mind.. my watchlist chart for usd index vs Stock and Gold VS usdx since shabab told me about ucad and SPX and refferin this correlation.. well again.. he teach with un directly how to adapt with wild market base on this correlation. than im learning fast in 2 days as can with a litlle sleep.. lol.. than my decision more realable, thanks for that.. i can't speak well.. but in other word this thread always opened my eyes.. {image} {image}
Thank you.
Correlations might be useful indeed.
I use stock market weakness to look strenght in JPY and CHF, although that correlation is weaker than it used to be.
But if I start to follow too many correlated markets, I get confused, paranoid and lose my original ideas on instrument. o_0

Which broker offers fear index? VIX?
Markets will move to the right.
  • #8,766
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:35am Oct 30, 2020 8:35am
Quoting FraterRedox
{quote} Thank you. Correlations might be useful indeed. I use stock market weakness to look strenght in JPY and CHF, although that correlation is weaker than it used to be. But if I start to follow too many correlated markets, I get confused, paranoid and lose my original ideas on instrument. o_0 Which broker offers fear index? VIX?
im using Pepperstone. they offer VIX
  • #8,767
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:40am Oct 30, 2020 8:40am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I closed the trade (-30)
NZDUSD, I was thinking that box would provide R. It did act as such twice. But these levels usually work best on the first touch.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,768
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:41am Oct 30, 2020 8:41am
Quoting C-12
{quote} {image}
what the., C-12, again.. HIT my BEP.. next week huh.. close all my position, waiting for trump party..
  • #8,769
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:49am Oct 30, 2020 8:49am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} NZDUSD, I was thinking that box would provide R. It did act as such twice. But these levels usually work best on the first touch. {image}
maybe price want to higher sir.. running to supply zone above, retstesting, then form to up and under pattern/HNS/Quasimodo..
i can see triangle breach..
i could wrong..
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  • #8,770
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:51am Oct 30, 2020 8:51am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} NZDUSD, I was thinking that box would provide R. It did act as such twice. But these levels usually work best on the first touch. {image}
It was a tricky one this. I also had my eyes on the D1 supply base and the area between 50 and 61.8

If I don't see movement here, I might have to give one of these the axe before the close.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NU.PNG Size: 32 KB
  • #8,771
  • Oct 30, 2020 9:07am Oct 30, 2020 9:07am
Quoting C-12
AUDUSD got that bounce a touch ahead of schedule. 3 levels of interest to add sells above. {image}
Add on 38.2 at the zone.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,772
  • Oct 30, 2020 9:17am Oct 30, 2020 9:17am
NZDUSD Head and Shoulders on the Daily chart. Potential for a nice drop to the 0.6250 level. TDI showing serious divergences and my Extreme TMA system issuing a Sell.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSD,Daily.jpg Size: 250 KB
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,773
  • Edited 10:05am Oct 30, 2020 9:50am | Edited 10:05am
We have the potential for a crash in the stock market today and next week. The chart and the fundamentals are pointing to a huge fall.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,774
  • Oct 30, 2020 9:55am Oct 30, 2020 9:55am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, nothing has changed. I'm holding short. short setup ideally between 1.2990-1.30, sl above 1.3025. early entry 1.2970. But I prefer the former. {image}
GBPUSD, short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,775
  • Oct 30, 2020 10:14am Oct 30, 2020 10:14am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, short trade {image}
Another good day at the office and a few bits to take into the weekend.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,776
  • Oct 30, 2020 10:25am Oct 30, 2020 10:25am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Another good day at the office and a few bits to take into the weekend. {image}
Yea, it's been a good week. I think I had 18-19 winners, 3 b/e and 1 loser. Not including the indices which I only posted the charts here. The only losing trade was the NU that I closed early.
  • #8,777
  • Oct 30, 2020 10:29am Oct 30, 2020 10:29am
Quoting Alorente
NZDUSD Head and Shoulders on the Daily chart. Potential for a nice drop to the 0.6250 level. TDI showing serious divergences and my Extreme TMA system issuing a Sell. {image}
Hi Al. Glad you got that technical issue resolved.

I have the same view on NU. If fact, I'm gonna give the short trade another shot.
  • #8,778
  • Oct 30, 2020 10:42am Oct 30, 2020 10:42am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Hi Al. Glad you got that technical issue resolved. I have the same view on NU. If fact, I'm gonna give the short trade another shot.
Yeah, itīs finally solved.

The RNZ will be going negative on rates in the next few months and it hasnīt been discounted yet by the market. NU could possibly break 0.60 at some point. this may take some time to happen. Weīll see.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,779
  • Oct 30, 2020 10:48am Oct 30, 2020 10:48am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} SPX, with this kind of drop, I won't be surprised if this pattern becomes complete sooner than expected. {image}
SPX, if you think this bearish week is overdone, you have seen nothing yet. Just wait for that double top neckline to be broken. Another massive down leg is upon us.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,780
  • Oct 30, 2020 10:48am Oct 30, 2020 10:48am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Yea, it's been a good week. I think I had 18-19 winners, 3 b/e and 1 loser. Not including the indices which I only posted the charts here. The only losing trade was the NU that I closed early.
I did have quite a few small losers offset by quite a large number of big runners. Just closed EU

This was 50% fib, RN and zone with trend. Textbook i think... and prematurely exited.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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