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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,741
  • Edited Oct 30, 2020 1:16am Oct 29, 2020 6:18pm | Edited Oct 30, 2020 1:16am
In fact I should have sent this over before. Not sure if you've ever used Discord before. I've already got a active server running you can take the app for a test drive and see what you think.
  • #8,742
  • Oct 29, 2020 7:10pm Oct 29, 2020 7:10pm
GU, another bearish day will clear this picture
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  • #8,743
  • Oct 29, 2020 9:30pm Oct 29, 2020 9:30pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} SPX, H4 {image}
SPX, follow-up
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  • #8,744
  • Oct 30, 2020 1:48am Oct 30, 2020 1:48am
Level on EURUSD on my watchlist at 1.17 for possible continuation. D1 target demand below.
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  • #8,745
  • Edited 2:19am Oct 30, 2020 2:03am | Edited 2:19am
Reload on 1.33 on UCAD. now BE. Reload on UJ after BE. Last entry this may well take out this zone.
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  • #8,746
  • Oct 30, 2020 4:18am Oct 30, 2020 4:18am
Short idea on dax.
Based on the recent lockdowns around europe i was thinking to short the dax index.

November is gonna be tough i guess..

In europe is the one that has probably more room to go down as uk,spain,italy and france index recoverd only half or less of the loss back in march.

I wont dare to short usa index now.

Is it gonna go further down? who knows...historically the index always dropped around 50% during the crisis, but never twice in 1 year.

So, i was loooking for an entry since wednesday, but i was waking up in the morning with already -2/3% ( and i wake up early at london time 7.00 am).
Difficult to entry without retracement.
We are bouncing on 38 fibo level.
If the price will go up to the red point, i ll short from there aiming to 50 fibo at least.
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Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #8,747
  • Oct 30, 2020 5:10am Oct 30, 2020 5:10am
NZDUSD, going short again between 0.6635-0.6655
  • #8,748
  • Oct 30, 2020 5:29am Oct 30, 2020 5:29am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDCHF, long trade update. I was already in. But the retest provided a clean trade. Levels to watch for possible short setup {image}
USDCHF, long trade update. levels to watch for possible long and short setups.
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  • #8,749
  • Oct 30, 2020 5:58am Oct 30, 2020 5:58am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, short trade update, possible short setups @ 1.2970 and 1.30. Stay bearish below 1.3025 {image}
GBPUSD, nothing has changed. I'm holding short. short setup ideally between 1.2990-1.30, sl above 1.3025. early entry 1.2970. But I prefer the former.
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  • #8,750
  • Oct 30, 2020 6:10am Oct 30, 2020 6:10am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, nothing has changed. I'm holding short. short setup ideally between 1.2990-1.30, sl above 1.3025. early entry 1.2970. But I prefer the former. {image}
Yep, assuming downtrend still intact on D1/H4 this looks like a solid level.
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  • #8,751
  • Oct 30, 2020 6:14am Oct 30, 2020 6:14am
I have said this before. But as a remainder, split your risk when trading correlated pairs. For now, my trades are all USD bullish. So they can go wrong all at the same time.
  • #8,752
  • Oct 30, 2020 6:24am Oct 30, 2020 6:24am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, nothing has changed. I'm holding short. short setup ideally between 1.2990-1.30, sl above 1.3025. early entry 1.2970. But I prefer the former. {image}
i was looking at same level 2990, but i need 2h confirmation.
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #8,753
  • Oct 30, 2020 7:35am Oct 30, 2020 7:35am
EG 0.90? Looks like those multi week lows have just been swept. Some strong evidence of buyers down there.

On the D1 quite interesting to see that strong move up followed by a slow grinder all the way back down.
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  • #8,754
  • Oct 30, 2020 7:49am Oct 30, 2020 7:49am
Taking long for EU and Gold, Retracement
and Possible sell area..
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  • #8,755
  • Oct 30, 2020 7:52am Oct 30, 2020 7:52am
Quoting shahab8b
NZDUSD, going short again between 0.6635-0.6655
Was watching that level too, but PA doesn´t agree. I think stock market will have pre election FRYday bull run and USD won´t dominate. If I see a pin, might still short NU for 15 pips.

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Markets will move to the right.
  • #8,756
  • Oct 30, 2020 7:54am Oct 30, 2020 7:54am
Quoting shahab8b
NZDUSD, going short again between 0.6635-0.6655
I closed the trade (-30)
  • #8,757
  • Oct 30, 2020 7:55am Oct 30, 2020 7:55am
Quoting FraterRedox
{quote} Was watching that level too, but PA doesn´t agree. I think stock market will have pre election FRYday bull run and USD won´t dominate. If I see a pin, might still short NU for 15 pips. {image}
Yes, I am out
  • #8,758
  • Oct 30, 2020 7:58am Oct 30, 2020 7:58am
Quoting C-12
EG 0.90? Looks like those multi week lows have just been swept. Some strong evidence of buyers down there. On the D1 quite interesting to see that strong move up followed by a slow grinder all the way back down. {image}
hi C
im in sell mode yesterday for EG, and in asian session its wiped at BE than rally down, ugly PA for eg heh.. ck ck ck..
  • #8,759
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:09am Oct 30, 2020 8:09am
Quoting FraterRedox
{quote} Was watching that level too, but PA doesn´t agree. I think stock market will have pre election FRYday bull run and USD won´t dominate. If I see a pin, might still short NU for 15 pips. {image}
hi frater,
if u dont mind.. my watchlist chart for usd index vs Stock and Gold VS usdx

since shabab told me about ucad and SPX and refferin this correlation.. well again.. he teach with un directly how to adapt with wild market base on this correlation.
than im learning fast in 2 days as can with a litlle sleep.. lol.. than my decision more realable, thanks for that..
i can't speak well.. but in other word this thread always opened my eyes..
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  • #8,760
  • Oct 30, 2020 8:15am Oct 30, 2020 8:15am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} hi C im in sell mode yesterday for EG, and in asian session its wiped at BE than rally down, ugly PA for eg heh.. ck ck ck..
It might be end of week scalp but I PA was pretty good for a long here I think.

Also triggered sells on NU, AU EU and long UCAD.. Late Friday so I may cut early if these start to grind.
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