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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,021
  • Sep 22, 2020 3:08am Sep 22, 2020 3:08am
hi deal all
we have seen a good work by a bearish hanging man pattern
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,022
  • Sep 22, 2020 3:13am Sep 22, 2020 3:13am
Quoting hussin naiji
hi deal all we have seen a good work by a bearish hanging man pattern {image}
in the past weeks bearish long legged doji pattern show us a fall .
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,023
  • Sep 22, 2020 3:46am Sep 22, 2020 3:46am
There is a retracement happening. I exited the short. Will short again at retest of trendline (arrow).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD - H4.png Size: 403 KB
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,024
  • Sep 22, 2020 5:22am Sep 22, 2020 5:22am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} I´m short since the break. You can´t count on a rebound happening with this risk off environment. It looks like DXY wants to go straight to 94.
yea, I did the same. I'll just add to it if we get a rebound
  • #8,025
  • Sep 22, 2020 5:22am Sep 22, 2020 5:22am
Quoting Alorente
I´m long EurCad. Look at this beautiful Cup with Handle pattern forming. It could be good for 1000 pips. {image}
Thanks for the chart Al. it looks like a good trade.
  • #8,026
  • Sep 22, 2020 5:30am Sep 22, 2020 5:30am
Quoting hussin naiji
{quote} in the past weeks bearish long legged doji pattern show us a fall . {image}
Thanks for the chart Hussin. I didn't pay attention to that candle. You pinpoint them with utmost accuracy.
  • #8,027
  • Sep 22, 2020 5:32am Sep 22, 2020 5:32am
Quoting Alorente
There is a retracement happening. I exited the short. Will short again at retest of trendline (arrow). {image}
yea, it seems the retracement is coming. I was expecting it as the US indices showed bottoming on M5/M15 chart.
  • #8,028
  • Sep 22, 2020 5:46am Sep 22, 2020 5:46am
AU, I'm trying to be unbiased. This is a long setup on short term tf. But I'm not going long. will look for possible bearish pa @ 0.7260 and 0.7285.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,029
  • Sep 22, 2020 5:52am Sep 22, 2020 5:52am
EU, possible double bottom on H1/H2
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  • #8,030
  • Sep 22, 2020 6:01am Sep 22, 2020 6:01am
EU, as I pointed out before, there is extreme buying pressure between 1.1775 and 1.17. I still think it will break down as long as it remains below the TL and R @ 1.19
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,031
  • Sep 22, 2020 7:29am Sep 22, 2020 7:29am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, short trade (3rd attempt). EU finally broke out of that expanding triangle I mentioned on Friday. A difficult pattern to trade. A novice trader would buy the upper R break out. tp @ 1.15 based on the possible broadening top formation on daily chart posted before {image}
EU, I tp on 2/3 of the short position thinking it could be forming a short term bottom. Anyways, the intraday remains bearish against 1.1775. If it breaks above that, I'll be looking for a possible short setup @ 1.1825
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,032
  • Sep 22, 2020 7:47am Sep 22, 2020 7:47am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EU, I tp on 2/3 of the short position thinking it could be forming a short term bottom. Anyways, the intraday remains bearish against 1.1775. If it breaks above that, I'll be looking for a possible short setup @ 1.1825 {image}
I have 1.1778 pending sell at 38.2 fib retracement of the drop. TP: 1.1550
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,033
  • Sep 22, 2020 8:20am Sep 22, 2020 8:20am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD, triangle bottom (H4) The image from ESSENTIAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS by LEIGH STEVENS {image} {image}
Gold, a triangle top or a continuation pattern? I'm favoring the triangle top pattern.
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  • #8,034
  • Sep 22, 2020 8:21am Sep 22, 2020 8:21am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Gold, a triangle top or a continuation pattern? I'm favoring the triangle top pattern. {image}
I say triangle top.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,035
  • Sep 22, 2020 8:28am Sep 22, 2020 8:28am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} I say triangle top.
yea, it looks like gold is acting like another US indices. I'm surprised the analysts are not talking about a possible top in the US indices. They all think it's a minor correction. I posted the textbook parabolic move yesterday. Most tech stocks and ETFs are looking exactly like that.
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  • #8,036
  • Sep 22, 2020 8:44am Sep 22, 2020 8:44am
GBPUSD, daily remains bearish as long as down trend TL and R @ 1.30 hold. H4 is also bearish. H1 is mixed. Next target S zone @ 1.2650
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 922 daily.PNG Size: 79 KB
  • #8,037
  • Sep 22, 2020 8:54am Sep 22, 2020 8:54am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} yea, it looks like gold is acting like another US indices. I'm surprised the analysts are not talking about a possible top in the US indices. They all think it's a minor correction. I posted the textbook parabolic move yesterday. Most tech stocks and ETFs are looking exactly like that. {image}
I also believe it is a correction. I believe the USD is going to suffer a major fall in the next 12 months, which will rocket EU, AU, GU and NU much higher. First we have to bottom all the pairs (Example: eu: 1.1550, gu: 1.25) and then we take off, probably starting in November/December.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,038
  • Sep 22, 2020 9:13am Sep 22, 2020 9:13am
EURUSD, I'm short EU. But a possible long setup is coming up @ 1.17 confluence of round number and S. I'd play it with 20 pips sl and 100-150 pips tp.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,039
  • Sep 22, 2020 9:21am Sep 22, 2020 9:21am
Quoting Roszey
Up close with GU on 1hr TF, the market is printing some interesting nice Price action. {image}
Looking good for now..
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Le$$ I$ More
  • #8,040
  • Sep 22, 2020 9:29am Sep 22, 2020 9:29am
USDCAD, possible long setup
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