Disliked{quote} My short stopped out in 10 pips, thinking of going long now with you @ 1.1830-1.1825 targeting 1.1840-1.1850 with SL @ 1.1815. then a short for me somewhere around 1.1850-1.1880.. if breaks past 1.1890-1.190.. I am sticking with bulls after that to about 1.20 at least.Ignored
No idea if we get there honestly. Don't have a crystal ball. I wldnt recommend you going long now at 1.1835* (edited). Quite tight on the flows. What's the point of SL at 1.1815.. if we go under 250 then 150 is almost guaranteed. Save you 10 pip.
Dont think we go up to 60's region pre ECB.. Maybe 450 / 50 level. (MAYBE) if we are lucky..
35 to 50 = 15 pips
35 to 80 = 45 pips
35 to 15 = 20 pips.
Probability of going to 80 pre ECB = really low. (see options)
Probability of going to 50 pre ECB = 50/50
EV is not there at all. I took it at 24 because R:R was there and it was tight. I was ready to reload at 145 and cut everything at 140. Meaning mid was around 20
20 - 50 = 30 pips.
20 - 14 = 6 points
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