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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #7,461
  • Aug 18, 2020 6:10am Aug 18, 2020 6:10am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, long trade update, moved sl to 1.311 {image}
Now that’s what I call swing trade
Le$$ I$ More
  • #7,462
  • Aug 18, 2020 6:17am Aug 18, 2020 6:17am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Thanks for the chart Coreg. I went short again. I see UJ going below 104 {image}
USDJPY, short trade update, moved sl to +50
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4 8182020.png Size: 31 KB
  • #7,463
  • Aug 18, 2020 6:21am Aug 18, 2020 6:21am
Quoting shahab8b
Weekly FX speculative positioning data from the CFTC EUR long 200K vs 180K long last week. Longs increased by 20K. EUR longs continue to rise and are at new record long position at 200K. GBP short 3K vs 15K short last week. Shorts trimmed by 12K I see triangle formations on both GU and EU. It's likely to be a continuation pattern. I stay bullish as long as 1.3 and 1.17 hold on GU and EU, respectively. I will reassess if we see a clear break of 1.30 or 1.17. {image} {image}
EURUSD, long trade update, moved sl to +40
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily 8182020.png Size: 28 KB
  • #7,464
  • Aug 18, 2020 6:25am Aug 18, 2020 6:25am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I'm long NU, with a 2nd pending buy @ 0.65
NZDUSD, long trade update, moved sl to b/e, cancelled 2nd buy order, tp @ 0.67
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH4 8182020.png Size: 30 KB
  • #7,465
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:05am Aug 18, 2020 7:05am
Quoting Roszey
Entered at a bad price. But still good to ride the trend.... {image}
Nice going Roszey! There is no bad price when you're on the right side!
  • #7,466
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:13am Aug 18, 2020 7:13am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b... {image}
UJ update...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ.08.18.60M.png Size: 81 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,467
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:22am Aug 18, 2020 7:22am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} UJ update... {image}
Is it the time to cash out? I want 104. Maybe we can get in higher again
  • #7,468
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:27am Aug 18, 2020 7:27am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} UJ update... {image}
I'm looking at this. It may go below 101-102 eventually.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ 818.PNG Size: 86 KB
  • #7,469
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:28am Aug 18, 2020 7:28am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Is it the time to cash out? I want 104. Maybe we can get in higher again
Only according to my rules...Min ABC correction (50%) almost reached, min correction for the week also, I have limit order at 105.35 and TS 1BH on 15M chart...
Always possible 62% ret. I just don't want to give back 25 pips...

shahab8b...It was your original target also if I remember correctly...
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,470
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:31am Aug 18, 2020 7:31am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Only according to my rules...Min ABC correction (50%) almost reached, min correction for the week also, I have limit order at 105.35 and TS 1BH on 15M chart... Always possible 62% ret. I just don't want to give back 25 pips...
not to mention 100% ADR
  • #7,471
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:34am Aug 18, 2020 7:34am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Only according to my rules...Min ABC correction (50%) almost reached, min correction for the week also, I have limit order at 105.35 and TS 1BH on 15M chart... Always possible 62% ret. I just don't want to give back 25 pips... shahab8b...It was your original target also if I remember correctly...
I'm placing a sell limit @ 106
  • #7,472
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:38am Aug 18, 2020 7:38am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I'm long NU, with a 2nd pending buy @ 0.65
NU long trade is finally taking off.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH4 8182001.png Size: 33 KB
  • #7,473
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:41am Aug 18, 2020 7:41am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, long trade update, moved sl to +40 {image}
EURUSD, long trade, adjusting tp to 1.22
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly 8182020.png Size: 50 KB
  • #7,474
  • Aug 18, 2020 7:56am Aug 18, 2020 7:56am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I'm placing a sell limit @ 106
shahab8b, with discretionary trading it's always a judgment call, but we make an executive decision and don't look back...very rarely all aspects of TA line up perfectly...I am out on 2B (Victor Sperandeo's method) @105.42
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ.08.18.60M.b.png Size: 93 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,475
  • Aug 18, 2020 8:51am Aug 18, 2020 8:51am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, with discretionary trading it's always a judgment call, but we make an executive decision and don't look back...very rarely all aspects of TA line up perfectly...I am out on 2B (Victor Sperandeo's method) @105.42 {image}
...and a bonus trade on the 1M chart...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ.08.18.1M.png Size: 60 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,476
  • Aug 18, 2020 8:54am Aug 18, 2020 8:54am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, with discretionary trading it's always a judgment call, but we make an executive decision and don't look back...very rarely all aspects of TA line up perfectly...I am out on 2B (Victor Sperandeo's method) @105.42 {image}
I'm keeping it until the end of NY session. all other pairs broke out their consolidation patterns, DXY is in free fall.
  • #7,477
  • Aug 18, 2020 9:04am Aug 18, 2020 9:04am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} ...and a bonus trade on the 1M chart... {image}
haha, Coreg, you have correctly predicted every single move on UJ in the last 2 weeks. it reminds me of when Messi scores a hat-trick and people are not surprised anymore.
  • #7,478
  • Aug 18, 2020 9:16am Aug 18, 2020 9:16am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I'm keeping it until the end of NY session. all other pairs broke out their consolidation patterns, DXY is in free fall.
shahab8b, daily, 120M, and 30M are my setup charts...I got lucky that we had an extension in W:3 (one extra trade)...I babysat UJ for 5 days with awesome trades taken during Tokyo session...and I was lucky not being stopped out during London trading on non of them. 62% ret. was a dream which came through...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ.08.18.daily.png Size: 54 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,479
  • Aug 18, 2020 9:21am Aug 18, 2020 9:21am
AUDUSD, massive bearish candle H1. Let's see how it closes. I got burned yesterday shorting it.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU 818 bc.PNG Size: 69 KB
  • #7,480
  • Aug 18, 2020 9:33am Aug 18, 2020 9:33am
Quoting shahab8b
AUDUSD, massive bearish candle H1. Let's see how it closes. I got burned yesterday shorting it. {image}
I'm gonna trade this as an abc correction on M5
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au 8182020.PNG Size: 76 KB
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