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  • #1,176,001
  • Jul 26, 2020 7:43am Jul 26, 2020 7:43am
Quoting Catempire
Taken 5 more longs @ 10884 opened some June Calls @ 11400
Lovely jubbly.

dollar still set to shit itself 6-18 months.
Que Sera
  • #1,176,002
  • Jul 26, 2020 7:51am Jul 26, 2020 7:51am
Quoting Catempire
{quote} Lovely jubbly. dollar still set to shit itself 6-18 months.
This will go on until 2022. The covid-19, lockdowns, second wave coming this fall, maybe even before fall Sept.22.2020, maybe beginning of September,2020, the way things are going. I am still confident that USD will recover. But not confident that will happen anytime soon. Either way I will be catious. Will see after US election in November what is going to happen in 2021.
  • #1,176,003
  • Jul 26, 2020 8:03am Jul 26, 2020 8:03am
Quoting Techanalyst
{quote} This will go on until 2022. The covid-19, lockdowns, second wave coming this fall, maybe even before fall Sept.22.2020, maybe beginning of September,2020, the way things are going. I am still confident that USD will recover. But not confident that will happen anytime soon. Either way I will be catious. Will see after US election in November what is going to happen in 2021.
Tech I think it goes something like... Fed unlimited YYC fixes curve, Foreign investors (namely China & Russia) unload their holdings into the FED's bid to control the curve... FX markets react with foreign investors moving away from USA investment & the dollar...

got your tickets ??
Que Sera
  • #1,176,004
  • Jul 26, 2020 8:18am Jul 26, 2020 8:18am
Quoting Catempire
{quote} Tech I think it goes something like... Fed unlimited YYC fixes curve, Foreign investors (namely China & Russia) unload their holdings into the FED's bid to control the curve... FX markets react with foreign investors moving away from USA investment & the dollar... got your tickets ??
Where are they going to invest? China? Russia? South America? Come on, get back to reality. No one is moving their investments away from USA. They have trillion of dollars invested. They will stay there. USA owns about 1 trillion to China. Still growing. China needs USA, and USA need China. That goes for Russia and other countries. The only solution though is to erase the debt and start from 0. That can change things, but will not. You still need USD safe haven and everyone will stick with that. It's what it is. I still am confident that they will have to erase the debt and start from zero. Everyone in the world. We have reach to the point where there is no going back, and will never be able to pay back each other debts. At some point we will have to start from 0.
  • #1,176,005
  • Jul 26, 2020 8:26am Jul 26, 2020 8:26am
Quoting Techanalyst
{quote} Where are they going to invest? China? Russia? South America? Come on, get back to reality. No one is moving their investments away from USA. They have trillion of dollars invested. They will stay there.
I disagree. It’s not back to reality it’s seeing something before it happens.

what & when is the best time to unload any investment ?When something is artificially inflated.

we have trade wars & rising tensions... China are holding most of the cards.
Que Sera
  • #1,176,006
  • Jul 26, 2020 8:28am Jul 26, 2020 8:28am
Quoting Techanalyst
{quote} Where are they going to invest? China? Russia? South America? Come on, get back to reality. No one is moving their investments away from USA. They have trillion of dollars invested. They will stay there. USA owns about 1 trillion to China. Still growing. China needs USA, and USA need China. That goes for Russia and other countries. The only solution though is to erase the debt and start from 0. That can change things, but will not. You still need USD safe haven and everyone will stick with that. It's what it is.
You don’t NEED the usd safe haven especially when you consider how USA is becoming less and less of a safe haven.

the countries economy is to top heavy.. the state of the west’s economy is completely screwed.

dont hold a bias just because it’s what you’ve always known, thing will and do change and as is very clear to see it’s already changing, it’s out of America’s hands.
Que Sera
  • #1,176,007
  • Jul 26, 2020 8:33am Jul 26, 2020 8:33am
As for money owed from China do you think China cares ??

if I owe you £1000 that’s my problem

if I owe you £10,000,000 that’s your problem.
Que Sera
  • #1,176,008
  • Jul 26, 2020 10:09am Jul 26, 2020 10:09am
Quoting newbegger
I am making the call now, as I think this will be as famous as Haines Bottom. The bottom is in on this pair, 1.0636 is the multi year bottom, barring some unexpected event like a world war or a breakup of the EU. {image} Stocks will be hitting all time highs. Real Estate also hitting all time high. Commodities, except Natural Gas, All time highs. And US is talking more money printing in the weeks and months to come. The US is eliminating any chance of deflation. There is a chance that inflation takes hold with this asset bubble. And it could get...
So the bottom is in. Not as accurate as Haines bottom, Mark called it like 1 or 2 days from the bottom. My call was several weeks later but here we are. Next stop in the 1.1777 area. But not right away. This week was a super huge flat top candle so some profit taking expected.

But no shorting for now unless you enjoy losing money. I am sure some will as they have a signal. My advise, keep shorts very short as you are against a powerful bull. Those on holiday like me, enjoy the time off. Life is too short to worry.

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Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #1,176,009
  • Jul 26, 2020 10:12am Jul 26, 2020 10:12am
Quoting Catempire
As for money owed from China do you think China cares ?? if I owe you £1000 that’s my problem if I owe you £10,000,000 that’s your problem.
You need economics lesson. China needs USA because USA owns them money. Yes China does care a lot, because they need their money. You are talking like China is untouchable. You need to look at the big picture. The future wars will be over water. China is having issue with water shortage. Plus the pollution is a catastrophy. North America has a lot of water, drinking water and so on. No, you're wrong, China does care and China needs USA to keep paying their debts. On the other hand, if they want to fix the economy overall, and start from scratch, everyone has to erase the debt and start from 0. I mean the whole world, which it sounds like they will have to do that. Unless they come up with something else, and USA pays back portion or the full balance to China. But the future wars will be over water, and China is in big trouble. What is China going to do if North America says we are not going to buy your useless, zero quality supplies? Exactly, who are they going to sell their crap to Europe? Russia? Australia? Come on, learn economics 101 and you will understand much more behind it. USA is in trouble but so is the rest of the world. But don't ever underestimate the power of USA, you would be surprised. Don't worry about USA they will be fine. You need to worry about UK where you live, if I were you, because you are in a big trouble especially now that you are out of EU and there is no solution for the moment. Worry about that, don't worry about safe haven USD. West economy is screwed, true, but so is the rest of the world.
  • #1,176,010
  • Jul 26, 2020 10:39am Jul 26, 2020 10:39am
Yooo... where all these people coming from talking about long since 1.0xxx... want to be a bit more helpful and share some analysis?? Cause Im not interested in how much one makes. Doesn’t provide an value or educational purpose. >.>.
Trade what you see, take what the market gives you.
  • #1,176,011
  • Jul 26, 2020 11:40am Jul 26, 2020 11:40am
Quoting VuLe
Yooo... where all these people coming from talking about long since 1.0xxx... want to be a bit more helpful and share some analysis?? Cause Im not interested in how much one makes. Doesn’t provide an value or educational purpose. >.>.
Yooo. the post is back in April & I posted my reasoning back then & said at the time it was for the long term & if you zoom out (something people surprisingly rarely do) you’ll see why.
Que Sera
  • #1,176,012
  • Jul 26, 2020 11:51am Jul 26, 2020 11:51am
Quoting Techanalyst
{quote} You need economics lesson. China needs USA because USA owns them money. Yes China does care a lot, because they need their money. You are talking like China is untouchable. You need to look at the big picture. The future wars will be over water. China is having issue with water shortage. Plus the pollution is a catastrophy. North America has a lot of water, drinking water and so on. No, you're wrong, China does care and China needs USA to keep paying their debts. On the other hand, if they want to fix the economy overall, and start from...
I certainly don’t need a lesson in economics tech.

you remind me somewhat of the traders (and there were plenty on ff, almost all) who for the life of them couldn’t see the top of the market in feb / March this year, their (your) belief is so heavily ingrained into your view that until it is staring you in the face & the move has been made you will hold your view, you will never catch a full move with that stance.

there are plenty (economists) who hold my view, but there are many more who hold your view, since April, it’s so far been right, but of course there are no certainties.. the narrative in the media has stared to spin slightly towards the dollar loosing its power, as have some hedge funds.

hell even Goldman Sachs held a investor call recently talking about gold ... & errrr bitcoin with the reasoning being... errr the dollar weakening.

“What is China going to do if North America says we are not going to buy your useless, zero quality supplies? Exactly, who are they going to sell their crap to Europe? Russia? Australia?”

USA & trump have been talking of de-globalisation for years, things are in place, the ball is rolling...

what do you think China is going to do sit around and be slowly crippled?

i need a lesson in economics.. for holding a different view to yours ? Anyone who understands economics properly would know that’s a ridiculous statement.

It is an evolving theory it’s those who can’t see it “turning” that get left behind.

but hey we disagreed months ago, we disagree now & we will probably disagree until it’s either glaringly obvious or everything goes back to pink and fluffy in America & everyone calms the fuck down, that ain’t gunna happen.
Que Sera
  • #1,176,013
  • Jul 26, 2020 12:04pm Jul 26, 2020 12:04pm
EU gap up at 1.17 in spot market
  • #1,176,014
  • Jul 26, 2020 12:07pm Jul 26, 2020 12:07pm
Quoting Catempire
{quote} I certainly don’t need a lesson in economics tech. you remind me somewhat of the traders (and there were plenty on ff, almost all) who for the life of them couldn’t see the top of the market in feb / March this year, their (your) belief is so heavily ingrained into your view that until it is staring you in the face & the move has been made you will hold your view, you will never catch a full move with that stance. there are plenty (economists) who hold my view, but there are many more who hold your view, since April, it’s so far been right,...
There you go. You said it yourself, "deglobalization". North America will be fine either way. Let's see how China is going to do, with their pollution and lack of water when we become deglobalized. I know we in North America will be fine. Let's see how China is going to do? That is where America prevails. China will need water supply. America will supply them, and charge very big money, or they will just give them water and that will erase America debt to China. You do need economics lessons buddy. America plans everything 20 years ahead. They are prepared, they were prepared for this what is happening now. They are always prepared. Don't let tv news full you. America was fine before us, and will be fine ahead. I do agree. You and I disagree. I have caught so many moves ahead, especially cross pairs. Coming 2021 it is going to be 11 years of my career as currency trader. I will be just fine and making money.
  • #1,176,015
  • Jul 26, 2020 12:07pm Jul 26, 2020 12:07pm
https://www.industryweek.com/the-eco...rts-heating-up
Que Sera
  • #1,176,016
  • Jul 26, 2020 12:08pm Jul 26, 2020 12:08pm
Quoting Catempire
{quote} Yooo. the post is back in April & I posted my reasoning back then & said at the time it was for the long term & if you zoom out (something people surprisingly rarely do) you’ll see why.
omg lol!!! Quote it... I am definitely not going back 200pages of information.
if you can quote your post so that I can just click straight to it and read it. .
yall long term trader be hitting me with the when you guys dont requote yourself.
Trade what you see, take what the market gives you.
  • #1,176,017
  • Jul 26, 2020 12:10pm Jul 26, 2020 12:10pm
Quoting PatienceFx
EU gap up at 1.17 in spot market
fkkk Im dead lol. I am bad... bull man ended up betraying and getting kill by the gap to start the week off. .
I see the gap too. Sigh...
Trade what you see, take what the market gives you.
  • #1,176,018
  • Jul 26, 2020 12:10pm Jul 26, 2020 12:10pm
Quoting Techanalyst
{quote} There you go. You said it yourself, "deglobalization". North America will be fine either way. Let's see how China is going to do, with their pollution and lack of water when we become deglobalized. I know we in North America will be fine. Let's see how China is going to do? That is where America prevails. China will need water supply. America will supply them, and charge very big money, or they will just give them water and that will erase America debt to China. You do need economics lessons buddy. America plans everything 20 years ahead....
Dude that’s an incredibly arrogant and shortsighted take...

I need economics lessons (from you?) because USA is going to sell China water & USA is always 20 years ahead. Ok mate.

is that why they were so on top of Covid-19 as they knew it was coming 20 years ago ?

ahh that’s why they have to print emergency funds just to keep the spx up ?? (De values their currency)

or is it why there’s so much rioting & such divisive politics ?

20 years ahead... might buy some shares in evion cheers for the tip.
Que Sera
  • #1,176,019
  • Jul 26, 2020 12:11pm Jul 26, 2020 12:11pm
Quoting VuLe
{quote} omg lol!!! Quote it... I am definitely not going back 200pages of information. if you can quote your post so that I can just click straight to it and read it. . yall long term trader be hitting me with the when you guys dont requote yourself.
I quoted it. You can click the quote
Que Sera
  • #1,176,020
  • Jul 26, 2020 12:12pm Jul 26, 2020 12:12pm
Quoting Catempire
{quote} Dude that’s an incredibly arrogant and shortsighted take... I need economics lessons (from you?) because USA is going to sell China water & USA is always 20 years ahead. Ok mate. is that why they were so on top of Covid-19 as they knew it was coming 20 years ago ? ahh that’s why they have to print emergency funds just to keep the spx up which ?? (De values their currency)
Did you ever think that they let this covid-19 out like that on purpose? Some agenda? You don't see it, you can't see it, because you don't have a lot of trading experience. You do not know economics and you probably never will. Not just USA, every powerful country out there, plans things 20 years ahead. You just don't see it. You don't think like economic person. You have to think like that in order to be good at this business, if not, you're just wasting your time in currency trading. No arrogance, we are talking here. Like I said, don't worry about USA, they will be just fine. You are in UK, worry about that, you are in trouble.
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