Mr. Scott's Crayon Thread | Page 649 | Forex Factory

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Mr. Scott's Crayon Thread

  • #12,961
  • Mar 18, 2020 7:52pm Mar 18, 2020 7:52pm
End game for Kiwi if its to follow the Aussie....
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  • #12,962
  • Mar 19, 2020 12:26am Mar 19, 2020 12:26am
Everything is being sold to repatriate money at the moment but gold would be a great new setup in the 1300s ready for the dollar reversal.
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  • #12,963
  • Mar 19, 2020 12:49am Mar 19, 2020 12:49am
Had some nice trade shorting the kiwi, Two new areas I like today for the short on NU.
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  • #12,964
  • Edited 2:31am Mar 19, 2020 1:23am | Edited 2:31am
NU Followup. Preference is higher to the open and intraday range high.
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  • #12,965
  • Mar 20, 2020 3:53am Mar 20, 2020 3:53am
Quoting squawk
NU Followup. Preference is higher to the open and intraday range high. {image}
Outcome. Volatility short or long at the moment. Keep to the process and your trade strategy. Next shot op.....
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  • #12,966
  • Mar 20, 2020 3:55am Mar 20, 2020 3:55am
NU again.
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  • #12,967
  • Mar 20, 2020 3:58am Mar 20, 2020 3:58am
Times like these your either going to short volatility back to the mean or go long volatility with the trend. Either way its important to keep to your entry and exits more than ever within a system. Volatility like this can take an account out! if a trader is shorting vol on a thin move back to the mean. It can keep moving a long way away from your entry to the outside of a curve.

I use a double true range system I developed a long time ago that works to a tee in high vol environment.
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  • #12,968
  • Mar 20, 2020 3:33pm Mar 20, 2020 3:33pm
Quoting squawk
Australian 2 yr yield. There is only one place the Aussie yields are going over the next 2 years is zero. {image}

Update AU 2Yr
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  • #12,969
  • Mar 22, 2020 3:35am Mar 22, 2020 3:35am
I switched over to using trading view in 2012, more and more these days as I reflect back on charts in trading-view i cant believe my markups were almost 7 years ago now. Time flies and I'm feeling old..... I started trading currencies in 2006, 14 years ago!!!! man it doesn't seem that long ago.
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  • #12,970
  • Mar 23, 2020 12:12pm Mar 23, 2020 12:12pm
Quoting gnomoneey
{quote} Chart I don’t know what that is anymore. I want 55 us oil i want 17,500 us30 i want gold to move out of its range from 1320-1350. Go one direction enough of this range bs.
Are we at that point or lower 17500
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Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #12,971
  • Mar 26, 2020 4:39am Mar 26, 2020 4:39am
One thing that seems certain to me that there will be an explosion in commodities after all this subsides.

Coffee is one that I have been trading,
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  • #12,972
  • Mar 29, 2020 9:22pm Mar 29, 2020 9:22pm
Silver/Dollar thoughts for trade.
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  • #12,973
  • Apr 15, 2020 3:02am Apr 15, 2020 3:02am
TESLA Short?? time stamp.
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  • #12,974
  • Apr 16, 2020 5:04pm Apr 16, 2020 5:04pm
Copper should have got out at 2. All out 2.28
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  • #12,975
  • Apr 16, 2020 5:11pm Apr 16, 2020 5:11pm
Quoting squawk
AN Im down on this trade but never over leverage on AN or CN. Always a long term low leverage trade. The kiwi always overextends on a carry. Could turn here or run another 200 down to low. {image}
Closing out of AN and waiting for another pullback. Made a good sum on this trade but low was tested on low leverage so added some additional in.

Still low end of the range here from a long term perspective so running to 108 in this run is possible I think. Hoping it does about face for another buy in. Top of range is back to 112
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  • #12,976
  • Apr 16, 2020 5:17pm Apr 16, 2020 5:17pm
Still waiting for squeeze on coffee to upside. Still looks like its holding but 104 test may come. But long term wedge squeeze is still looking on.
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  • #12,977
  • Apr 17, 2020 2:23am Apr 17, 2020 2:23am
Quoting Lalu
{quote} Crude zones I've got {image}
Ben, looking at possible $15 here. I cant see price staying around here to long. Trump will want to apply some pressure here soon or otherwise he will see some swing states for him get smashed.

Fracking new cost in those state is around $40, and destined for big issues if it keeps at this level.

US will have to start putting pressure on Dollar shortly if nothing starts to improve quickly.
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  • #12,978
  • Apr 17, 2020 3:37am Apr 17, 2020 3:37am
NU some options around here.
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  • #12,979
  • Apr 17, 2020 4:00am Apr 17, 2020 4:00am
Started first shorts into the SPX.
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  • #12,980
  • Apr 18, 2020 2:29am Apr 18, 2020 2:29am
I have been in Uranium for the last 2 years. Finally looks like we might be breaking out to a new bull market with mine closures. I see commodities starting into new bulls end 2020 and 21 with bearish US dollar and forward contracts needing to be filled with closure of mines.

US Recession should lead to the US pushing down the dollar. Im thinking 2nd half of the year.
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