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The end of the US stock market is nearing

  • #621
  • Jan 1, 2020 10:20am Jan 1, 2020 10:20am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} with stops above recent month high which is the ATH... and that we're just 200 points away.... my god what a crazy call
today is the 1-st of January, 2020, dummy... haven't you noticed it yet?...
  • #622
  • Jan 1, 2020 10:28am Jan 1, 2020 10:28am
Quoting Igrok
{quote} today is the 1-st of January, 2020, dummy... haven't you noticed it yet?...
so your "recent" month is the high of 1st Jan right??
which im guessing you mean 28553 on the dow fut, and since we closed 1st Jan at 28548, then basically short with a 5/6 point stop loss by putting stop loss above "Recent" month high of 28553, i guarantee you itll be hit during trading on 2nd Jan.
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We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #623
  • Jan 1, 2020 10:35am Jan 1, 2020 10:35am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} so your "recent" month is the high of 1st Jan right?? which im guessing you mean 28553 on the dow fut, and since we closed 1st Jan at 28548, then basically short with a 8 point stop loss by putting stop loss above "Recent" month high of 28553, i guarantee you itll be hit during trading on 2nd Jan. {image}
dear Sir, would you please, be so kind just to go ahead and to satisfy yourself sexually somewhere else... you seem to be an insult to common sense, human race and my own fundamental intellectual and moral values...
  • #624
  • Jan 1, 2020 10:36am Jan 1, 2020 10:36am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} so your "recent" month is the high of 1st Jan right?? which im guessing you mean 28553 on the dow fut, and since we closed 1st Jan at 28548, then basically short with a 5/6 point stop loss by putting stop loss above "Recent" month high of 28553, i guarantee you itll be hit during trading on 2nd Jan. {image}
Hey fortune teller, would you tell me the numbers for the lottery, please?

Thanks in advance.

lol
  • #625
  • Jan 1, 2020 10:41am Jan 1, 2020 10:41am
Quoting Igrok
{quote} dear Sir, would you please, be so kind just to go ahead and to satisfy yourself sexually somewhere else... you seem to be an insult to common sense, human race and my own fundamental intellectual and moral values...
and theres the Igrok, resorting to insults when you lost an argument.
first of all.... I know you didnt mean "Recent" month to be the month of 1st Jan 2019 since 1st Jan 2019 is a bloody bank holiday everywhere... then you must've meant 31st Dec 2018, and for your sake ive changed the timezone back to market default at Chicago. so is it the December high of 28721 recorded on 27 Dec 2019,
which is just about 170 points away.... is that the stop loss you are talking about for the DOW??
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We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #626
  • Jan 1, 2020 10:44am Jan 1, 2020 10:44am
Quoting jupiter_peak
{quote} Hey fortune teller, would you tell me the numbers for the lottery, please? Thanks in advance. lol
you should perhaps ask your buddy Igrok, cuz his 18k DJIA call is as good as a one in a hundred million chance. he should be better at it.
Heck in fact you should read his book, ask the authority lol...
https://www.amazon.com/BEAT-ODDS-LOTTERY-FOREX-TRADER-ebook/dp/B07CGYVHMP/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=Olga+Hofmann&qid=1577897029&sr=8-1
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #627
  • Jan 1, 2020 10:48am Jan 1, 2020 10:48am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} you should perhaps ask you fk buddy Igrok, cuz his 18k DJIA call is as good as a one in a hundred million chance. he should be better at it. Heck in fact you should read his book, ask the authority lol... https://www.amazon.com/BEAT-ODDS-LOTTERY-FOREX-TRADER-ebook/dp/B07CGYVHMP/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=Olga+Hofmann&qid=1577897029&sr=8-1
Nah, perhaps you should pickup Robin’s pitchforks and tell us the future. Or maybe he’s the Snake Oil Seller.

You obviously seem to be better at everything than any of us.

Or maybe tou both should grab the pitchforks and use them for your own sexual satisfaction.
  • #628
  • Edited 11:15am Jan 1, 2020 10:49am | Edited 11:15am
Quoting jupiter_peak
{quote} Nah, perhaps you should pickup Robin’s pitchforks and tell us the future. Or maybe he’s the Snake Oil Seller. You obviously seem to be better at everything than any of us. Or maybe tou both should grab the pitchforks and use them for your own sexual satisfaction.
leave the pitch fork to that other dude. but seriously. you wanna win the lottery? give Igrok's book a try lol

and i've never said im better at everything than any of you, i simply shared an idea to use other methods to better time the market....
and that i dont see a 38.2% correction to the Dow Jones happening anytime soon....

and add to the fact that since he started his thread in July 4th, calling for the end of the US equity market...
it has gone up 5.83% against him....

if the Dow Jones goes up another 40-50% in next 2 years before we see a proper 38.2% correction he'll probably be just breaking even with his shorts.... plus all the costs for selling short the Dow Jones.... carry costs on short Dow sure hurts....

but noooo he had to say 18K Dow Jones is given....

ps. data is not from FRED, its an Eikon Terminal and my company must be ludicrous if they're willing to pay 2000 usd a month for the terminal for me if I was shit at my job.
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We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #629
  • Jan 1, 2020 11:27am Jan 1, 2020 11:27am
Quoting jupiter_peak
{quote} Nah, perhaps you should pickup Robin’s pitchforks and tell us the future. Or maybe he’s the Snake Oil Seller. You obviously seem to be better at everything than any of us. Or maybe tou both should grab the pitchforks and use them for your own sexual satisfaction.
I think you just crossed the line with that last comment. I knew it was only a matter of time.
  • #630
  • Jan 1, 2020 11:34am Jan 1, 2020 11:34am
It's been fun for a while. Igrok has provided some hilarious material to banter about and I think most know how ridiculous his predictions are. Thanks to FXTryant and others for exposing him. Regarding JP his last sexual comment crossed the line and should not be tolerated. I've referred the post to Twee for his consideration. Given the toxic waste dump this thread has become its time to exit stage left. Later!
  • #631
  • Jan 1, 2020 11:40am Jan 1, 2020 11:40am
I've been gone from FF for over a year. Looks like nothing has changed!!!
  • #632
  • Jan 1, 2020 12:43pm Jan 1, 2020 12:43pm
'Been doing this exercise for the past few years using different time periods with results of "Gold" arrow indicating the long-term highest and "Yellow" arrow long-term lowest. Regardless of time frame results are similar. I will skip explanation as it only engenders arguements. For what it is, I will follow the chart in trading as it rises or eventually falls. The lowest ("Yellow") comes as soon as the global fiat currency system implodes--may take longer than we think, but with a USA POTUS short-fused and less predictable than lightning, it really is anyone's guess.
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  • #633
  • Edited 1:26pm Jan 1, 2020 1:11pm | Edited 1:26pm
Quoting Wouldchuk
'Been doing this exercise for the past few years using different time periods with results of "Gold" arrow indicating the long-term highest and "Yellow" arrow long-term lowest. Regardless of time frame results are similar. I will skip explanation as it only engenders arguements. For what it is, I will follow the chart in trading as it rises or eventually falls. The lowest ("Yellow") comes as soon as the global fiat currency system implodes--may take longer than we think, but with a USA POTUS short-fused and less predictable than lightning, it...
whatever you're smoking ill have some of that....

not that im a supporter of Trump or anything but one could argue the US has done pretty well during his first term despite his rhetorics....
Low unemployment, ATH on equities.... wages rising.... etc etc..... (hard to believe im saying this.... but hey US has also survived George W. Bush...)
goes to show that the market couldnt care less about politics... and its also evident if you look at Hong Kong....
markets cares more about monetary policy and fiscal policies.
Heck even the Chinese are seen commenting that they'd rather have an idiot as President of the US. simply because despite his unpredictability, hes pretty transparent with what hes thinking by posting on twitter....

the US is likely to have a 8-10% return next year in 2020, as im expecting no further rate cut for the whole of 1H 2020.
Im a bit more interested in Europe with their monetary policy at negative interest rates, 2020 will be the year where Europe will have several challenges. namely how they manage Brexit, how they manage the likes of Italy and the indebtedness of these periphery economies..... with Monetary policy already a gun with depleted bullets, fiscal reformation in Europe is going to be a do or die scenario. and its not going to be pretty..... imagine the europeans getting pissed off with falling wages and rising taxes + retirement age being extended.

with all the negativity and riots and protests... HK's equity market the Hang Seng Index is up 9% in 2019... and HK turned out to be the strongest country raking in the largest amount of capital raised, and 2020 is also going to be a strong year for Hong Kong looking at the IPO pipeline....
https://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/3043581/hong-kong-beats-nasdaq-ipo-crown-alibaba-budweiser-mega-listings
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #634
  • Jan 1, 2020 1:29pm Jan 1, 2020 1:29pm
Hey Ty, like your points of view, as long as "the Narratives" (Robt Schiller... https://www.barrons.com/articles/robert-shiller-on-the-trump-narrative-51575500361) continue to be "death and tax-cuts" we're good. If the narrative changes (election?)... to "death and taxes" we're sunk.
  • #635
  • Jan 1, 2020 1:30pm Jan 1, 2020 1:30pm
Quoting Wouldchuk
Hey Ty, like your points of view, as long as "the Narratives" (Robt Schiller... https://www.barrons.com/articles/robert-shiller-on-the-trump-narrative-51575500361) continue to be "death and tax-cuts" we're good. If the narrative changes (election?)... to "death and taxes" we're sunk.
you put a socialist like Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren (who thinks the banks are still not penalised enough) then the US will definitely be screwed....

And knowing how Michael Bloomberg runs Bloomberg L.P. basically similar to a military camp..... cant believe Sales in Bloomberg still has to clock in and clock out of their office....

Ill give Schiller's article a read later. but thx for the share.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #636
  • Jan 1, 2020 1:56pm Jan 1, 2020 1:56pm
Quoting Winston Reed
It's been fun for a while. Igrok has provided some hilarious material to banter about and I think most know how ridiculous his predictions are. Thanks to FXTryant and others for exposing him. Regarding JP his last sexual comment crossed the line and should not be tolerated. I've referred the post to Twee for his consideration. Given the toxic waste dump this thread has become its time to exit stage left. Later!
Bye forklifter,

Please don’t ever come back.

You won’t be missed. I can assure you.
  • #637
  • Jan 1, 2020 2:01pm Jan 1, 2020 2:01pm
Quoting Sossos
I've been gone from FF for over a year. Looks like nothing has changed!!!
I was away for years.

still the same BS of “superior” and “experts” who don’t share any ideas/trades/systems/studies and feel entitled to put other people down.

The keyword here is self-entitlement.

I think it’s a generation thing.

But again, what do I know? What do I care?

Too many trolls detected. For those reasons, I am out.
  • #638
  • Jan 1, 2020 2:10pm Jan 1, 2020 2:10pm
Quoting Winston Reed
It's been fun for a while. Igrok has provided some hilarious material to banter about and I think most know how ridiculous his predictions are. Thanks to FXTryant and others for exposing him. Regarding JP his last sexual comment crossed the line and should not be tolerated. I've referred the post to Twee for his consideration. Given the toxic waste dump this thread has become its time to exit stage left. Later!
You are the one who has been exposed.

Snake Oil Man, don’t forget about your pathetic thread/monologue:https://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=718234

Such a failure to sell you BS thru a website.

Such a resounding failure. Now we can all see the reasons why you want to hitchhike or kidnap this thread: because nobody ever paid attention to you or your forks, knives, spoons...
  • #639
  • Jan 1, 2020 2:10pm Jan 1, 2020 2:10pm
Quoting jupiter_peak
{quote} Bye forklifter, Please don’t ever come back. You won’t be missed. I can assure you.
still around.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #640
  • Jan 1, 2020 9:26pm Jan 1, 2020 9:26pm
Quoting Igrok
{quote} support this claim of yours with actual links or stick it up your rear end...
Post 242 references your book.
Small disciplines repeated with consistency lead to great achievements.
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