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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #45,061
  • Dec 2, 2019 3:09pm Dec 2, 2019 3:09pm
cons to the bears (have seen no live trade calls of them). keeping my longs. only one realised trade (good one), but bloody day on floating loss. will update, i´m not a runaway wage-slave.
good night...
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #45,062
  • Edited 4:19pm Dec 2, 2019 3:21pm | Edited 4:19pm
Risk currencies still doing well (AUD/NZD) against the majors. They’re usually the first to fold when it’s risk off

Still feeling bullish for now, even though I feel this bull run is exhausting.

Edit: just checked volatility and momentum on the daily charts. Very strong signals across all indices that the temporary bottom is in. Feel quite confident it will go up now?

Remember my post from yesterday predicting it would go down as volatility was flat? We literally hit the opposite. Hmm let’s see!
  • #45,063
  • Edited 11:36pm Dec 2, 2019 7:24pm | Edited 11:36pm
Quoting Kolumbianer
good day colleagues, sorry if this is not relevant, but take a look, in recent years, when DJIA reached all-time-high during noviembre, has gone higher on diciembre? {image}
looking now at the daily chart, it isn't just a easy path,

the dip from the ath during the first days of December in recent years was =

2013: -513 points

2014:-957

2016: just -113 (trump elected?)

2017: -464

for 2019 is -456 already?

As mister Delta says, a deep pocket game indeed.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dec Dips.jpg Size: 193 KB
Libertad y Orden
  • #45,064
  • Dec 3, 2019 2:26am Dec 3, 2019 2:26am
Bearish rising wedge forming on dow hourly. Expected move another 400 points down.
  • #45,065
  • Edited 10:00am Dec 3, 2019 4:56am | Edited 10:00am
Quoting Kolumbianer
{quote} looking now at the daily chart, it isn't just a easy path, the dip from the ath during the first days of December in recent years was = 2013: -513 points 2014:-957 2016: just -113 (trump elected?) 2017: -464 for 2019 is -456 already?
-531 points from ath now.

-700 from ath now

~ -900 from ath now
Attached Image
Libertad y Orden
  • #45,066
  • Dec 3, 2019 5:20am Dec 3, 2019 5:20am
Who went short from ATH ?
Not me.
I lost 80% of my account yesterday.
Whatever the mind can conceive, the mind can believe, the mind can achieve.
  • #45,067
  • Dec 3, 2019 5:32am Dec 3, 2019 5:32am
I try a short here...

short 13030 SL25 TP100
  • #45,068
  • Dec 3, 2019 5:34am Dec 3, 2019 5:34am
Quoting Fifth Axis
Who went short from ATH ? Not me. I lost 80% of my account yesterday.
me neither... I´m sorry to hear about your loss
  • #45,069
  • Dec 3, 2019 5:35am Dec 3, 2019 5:35am
Quoting Fifth Axis
I lost 80% of my account yesterday.
  • #45,070
  • Dec 3, 2019 5:49am Dec 3, 2019 5:49am
Us 30 in a support zone now. Hope it holds
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: US30.png Size: 140 KB
  • #45,071
  • Dec 3, 2019 5:50am Dec 3, 2019 5:50am
Quoting Wachturm
{quote} me neither... I´m sorry to hear about your loss
Multiple rookie errors.
Number #1 rule in this business is: protect your capital.
I went against the market, no stop, which worked fine in the past.
Not this time.
Whatever the mind can conceive, the mind can believe, the mind can achieve.
  • #45,072
  • Dec 3, 2019 6:14am Dec 3, 2019 6:14am
Quoting Fifth Axis
{quote} Multiple rookie errors. Number #1 rule in this business is: protect your capital. I went against the market, no stop, which worked fine in the past. Not this time.
trading without SL is always a very bad idea in my opinion

I hope you can recover. slow but steady
  • #45,073
  • Dec 3, 2019 6:15am Dec 3, 2019 6:15am
Quoting Fifth Axis
Who went short from ATH ? Not me. I lost 80% of my account yesterday.
Sorry to hear.

Perhaps spend some time reading about risk management, as a rule of thumb you should never risk more than 1% of your account on a given trade.

Personally I risk a bit more, but 80% isn’t viable.

Furthermore, this market really is near its top before a retracement is due. The slowing signs might be setting in. Never place your biggest risks near the top of a market. Buy low sell high and trade the trend really are incredibly important guides.
  • #45,074
  • Dec 3, 2019 6:24am Dec 3, 2019 6:24am
Quoting Wachturm
{quote} trading without SL is always a very bad idea in my opinion I hope you can recover. slow but steady
Thank you !
I'll try.
Whatever the mind can conceive, the mind can believe, the mind can achieve.
  • #45,075
  • Dec 3, 2019 7:17am Dec 3, 2019 7:17am
Quoting Wachturm
I try a short here... short 13030 SL25 TP100
closed half +50

SL b/e now, TP erased
  • #45,076
  • Dec 3, 2019 7:32am Dec 3, 2019 7:32am
things could get nasty...dow is just diving

27340 then 27180 some weekly lvls
  • #45,077
  • Dec 3, 2019 7:51am Dec 3, 2019 7:51am
short 12986 SL30 TP40
  • #45,078
  • Dec 3, 2019 8:05am Dec 3, 2019 8:05am
Quoting deltaone
cons to the bears (have seen no live trade calls of them). keeping my longs. only one realised trade (good one), but bloody day on floating loss. will update, i´m not a runaway wage-slave. good night...
Be careful mate... Might want Daily 100 or 200 on Dow.
  • #45,079
  • Dec 3, 2019 8:33am Dec 3, 2019 8:33am
Quoting Wachturm
short 12986 SL30 TP40
TP missed by 0.5 points ... just closed manualy for +21
  • #45,080
  • Dec 3, 2019 8:43am Dec 3, 2019 8:43am
Delta its a complete bloodbath... hope you closed your losers...
Extreme gut feeling trader
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