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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #82,061
  • Edited 4:44am Nov 13, 2019 4:16am | Edited 4:44am
109 broken. Oh well.... looks like I shouldve TP at the diagonal TL I had drawn, Strong resistance but I'm at work tonight and had to make a best decision, which to me was to give it a chance to break up. Glad I had the tight SL and locked a daily profit in.
As an extra thought , limits to TA include 4H hammer followed by good bull candle, only to be followed by bearish engulfing... You never know
  • #82,062
  • Edited 8:02am Nov 13, 2019 6:23am | Edited 8:02am
Quoting Amir_Forex
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...7#post12606977 {image}





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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Ninja.JPG Size: 57 KB
Patterns have an underlying mathematical structure.
  • #82,063
  • Nov 13, 2019 4:59pm Nov 13, 2019 4:59pm
Quoting Amir_Forex
{quote} ......................... {image}
Hello Amir,

did you changed your TP or you are still aiming for TP1 and TP2?
  • #82,064
  • Edited 8:02pm Nov 13, 2019 7:45pm | Edited 8:02pm
Have placed 6 trades, tp 4/6, 2/6 in play. Will it stop at daily pivot? will it stop at 109? watching closely, might TP 1/2 remaining trades at 108.88 ie pivot. AUS very Linked to JPY, and when AUS news was awful I thought UJ might make a comeback.


NB closed remaining trades just after the hour 108.805. Hour changeovers throw curve balls, was happy to TP. Think I'm done for the day, tired off night shift
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #82,065
  • Nov 14, 2019 12:23am Nov 14, 2019 12:23am
Quoting Sebbour
{quote} Hello Amir, did you changed your TP or you are still aiming for TP1 and TP2?


Hi Sebbour !

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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Ninja.JPG Size: 66 KB
Patterns have an underlying mathematical structure.
  • #82,066
  • Nov 14, 2019 2:54am Nov 14, 2019 2:54am
Quoting Amir_Forex
{quote} Hi Sebbour ! ............................................................................................ {image}
Thank you Amir
  • #82,067
  • Nov 14, 2019 10:39am Nov 14, 2019 10:39am
BOHICA!
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #82,068
  • Nov 14, 2019 10:56am Nov 14, 2019 10:56am
Quoting Amir_Forex
{quote} Hi Sebbour ! ............................................................................................ {image}



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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Ninja.JPG Size: 93 KB
Patterns have an underlying mathematical structure.
  • #82,069
  • Nov 14, 2019 2:38pm Nov 14, 2019 2:38pm
Wow.. almost like the US market never touched it. Back up to 108.4's.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #82,070
  • Nov 14, 2019 4:17pm Nov 14, 2019 4:17pm
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
Wow.. almost like the US market never touched it. Back up to 108.4's.
No more rate cuts. Should strengthen.
Be humble or be humbled.
  • #82,071
  • Nov 14, 2019 7:30pm Nov 14, 2019 7:30pm
USD/JPY made Rising Wedge and Head & Shoulder patterns

Here is our sell trade setup on D1/daily time-frame based on the Rising Wedge pattern:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY_Daily_Nov 15_2019.png Size: 51 KB


Here is a sort of Head & Shoulder pattern on H4 time-frame:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD JPY_H4_Nov 15_2019.png Size: 49 KB


Risk: SL above right shoulder.

Fundamental: In this week, we're not expecting any conclusive positive news about US-China trade deal phase1, so bullish optimism will wane a bit. We are not expecting US retail sales to surprise either. Note that USD/JPY fell despite recent US data (CPI, core CPI, PPI and core PPI) were neutral/slightly positive (not surprisingly positive though). It shows market's reluctance to buy greenback this week.

  • #82,072
  • Nov 17, 2019 5:49am Nov 17, 2019 5:49am
Quoting Amir_Forex
{quote} ................................................................................................... {image}
glad im not alone
  • #82,073
  • Nov 20, 2019 11:37am Nov 20, 2019 11:37am
Mic Check.. 1, 2. Check Check..
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #82,074
  • Nov 20, 2019 1:31pm Nov 20, 2019 1:31pm
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
Mic Check.. 1, 2. Check Check..

Copy , 5/5.

Personally I'm thinking bullish but I tend to be contrarian
  • #82,075
  • Nov 20, 2019 3:09pm Nov 20, 2019 3:09pm
Quoting hellsbells
{quote} Copy , 5/5. Personally I'm thinking bullish but I tend to be contrarian

I tend to agree longterm. The Yen seems primed for another test of that high that pushed UJ down to 104.5 area though. December 15th looks good for it. Tarrifs n all.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #82,076
  • Nov 20, 2019 9:02pm Nov 20, 2019 9:02pm
Quoting Unbiased
USD/JPY made Rising Wedge and Head & Shoulder patterns Here is our sell trade setup on D1/daily time-frame based on the Rising Wedge pattern: {image} Here is a sort of Head & Shoulder pattern on H4 time-frame: {image} Risk: SL above right shoulder. Fundamental: In this week, we're not expecting any conclusive positive news about US-China trade deal phase1, so bullish optimism will wane a bit. We are not expecting US retail sales to surprise either. Note that USD/JPY fell despite recent US data (CPI, core CPI, PPI and core PPI) were neutral/slightly...
In last few days, many positive and negative tweets/news about US-China trade deal came out, which kept JPY from gaining. USD/JPY didn't fall with such a speed that is anticipated after breakout of wedge pattern, meanwhile swaps on the trade kept increasing. Therefore, I closed sell of USD/JPY at BE as this new tweet came out.
  • #82,077
  • Nov 21, 2019 7:05pm Nov 21, 2019 7:05pm
Done all that any trader can. Placed trades and managed risk. Had 3 trades, have TP 2/3, using the profit from those 2 to cover SL for remaining trade. Nightshift tonight, time to sleep, set and forget. 108.6 was a battle.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #82,078
  • Nov 22, 2019 1:35am Nov 22, 2019 1:35am
Tightened my SL to 108.605 before leaving for work. Happy it's gone lower as having a tight SL and getting taken out by a couple of points before reversal is nasty. I'm not bothered by the end of week doldrums for UJ, just glad I managed an ok weekly profit.
  • #82,079
  • Nov 24, 2019 8:42pm Nov 24, 2019 8:42pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: TOOSLOW2.png Size: 84 KB


Fading...
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #82,080
  • Nov 25, 2019 12:24pm Nov 25, 2019 12:24pm
Quoting TooSlow
{image} Fading...

After a 109.98 hit imo
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
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