Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

Thank you for your interest Samalin

thanks for sharing such valuable information i appreciate

When Trading keeping the thing SIMPLISTIC is the key : I use Heikin Ashi as a reversal confirmation when the candle change its color - from red to green UP, from green to red DOWN

I made a manual count per hand in 1 month / 30 minutes
nothing is better than a manual count, even simplistic

19 swings DOWN: 141 red candles - average swing 7,42 red candles
18 swings UP : 151 green candles - average swing 8,38 green candles

hence we have as many UP swings than DOWN swigs which is logical !
we have also an average of 7 to 8 candles per swing

Notice the swing categories 4 / 8 / 16 candles per swing which are proportional to the proportional potential amplitudes of the Envelopes

je n'ai pas encore fait le calcul des points potentiels

DOW Closed Long position + 185 points

DAX closed Long position + 25 points

Entry on confirmation of reversal using Heikin Ashi change of color from red to green

you are welcomed Samalin

If you want to know ALL the Secrets of Gann :

http://www.sacredscience.com/store/commerce.cgi

Lorrie Bennett 4 Volumes on the Law of Vibration Pricing : 2.000 + 6000 + 7.500 + 7.500 = 23.000 $
Sean Erickson : Trading with the Selene's Chariot : 7.500 $
Erick Penicka : The Periodic Table and the Law of Vibration : 4.500 $
Robert Rundle : The Magic Word and the Zodiac : Volumes 1 & 2 = 1.222 $
Daniele Prandelli : The Law of Cause and Effect + The Polarity Factor System = 3.995 $
Timothy Walker : How to Trade like W.D. Gann - 2 Volumes : 595 $
Alexandar Goulder : Behind the veil - 3.600 $
Secrets of the Chronocrators - 3.600 $
Daniel Ferreira - The Art of the Trade - 1.500 $
The keys to successfull Speculation - 1.500 $
The path of Least Resistance - 1.995 $
Economic and Stock Market Forecasting - 2.995 $

DAX closed Short position to pay for the morning coffee + 10 points

DAX 1 Year / Daily

DAX 3 Months / 60 mn

DAX Closed Long position + 10 points

DOW Closed Long position + 31 points

Notice that 31 points = the Amplitude of the Envelope 32 TU (blue) = 1/2 Amplitude of the Envelope 128 TU (ocre) = 1/4 Amplitude of the Enveloe 256 TU (brown)

The DAX in Dollar performed badly during last week because of the EURUSD rise.

Sixer

copied from the thread of Jeremy Nevins

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...4#post12503154

Quoting DailyCharts
{quote} Thank you so much, most traders struggle with timing issue and I think planetary cycles can teach and resolve this issue a lot. will read it to understand more.
Agreed... time is much more abstract to grasp than the usual price levels, support and resistance, trend lines, etc.

"TIME is the most important factor in determining market movements and by studying the past records of the averages or individual stocks you will be able to prove for yourself that history does repeat and that by knowing the past you can tell the future. There is a definite relation between TIME and PRICE. Now, by a study of the TIME PERIODS and TIME CYCLES you will learn why tops and bottoms are found at certain times and why Resistance Levels are so strong at certain times and bottoms and tops hold around them. The most money is made when fast moves and extreme fluctuations occur at the end of major cycles."

Forcasting by Time Cycles Course
W.D. Gann

Here are some more tidbits from Gann...


"Mathematics is the only exact science. All power under heaven and on earth is given to the man who masters the simple science of mathematics."


"Every movement in the market is the result of a natural law and of a Cause which exists long before the Effect takes place and can be determined years in advance. The future is but a repetition of the past, as the Bible plainly states…"


After years of patient study I have proven to my entire satisfaction as well as demonstrated to others that vibration explains every possible phase and condition of the market."


"After exhaustive researches and investigations of the known sciences, I discovered that the Law of Vibration enabled me to accurately determine the exact points to which stocks or commodities should rise and fall within a given time. The working out of this law determines the cause and predicts the effect long before the Street is aware either."


"By knowing the exact vibration of each individual stock I am able to determine at what point each will receive support and what point the greatest resistance is to be met."


"Those in close touch with the market have noticed the phenomena of ebb and flow, or rise and fall in the value of stocks. At certain times a stock will become intensely active, large transactions being made in it; at other times this same stock will become practically stationary or inactive with a very small volume of sales. I have found that the Law of Vibration governs and controls these conditions."

My 2 cents on Gann

I discovered Gann in 1998 when I returned on the market. That is 21 years ago.

I was attracted by the Angles then by the Horizontal Lines much more known under the denomination of "Murrey Maths"

Since then I have read almost all what is published on the net about Gann. Books , articles, comments. I have looked at almost all threads with Gann in their title or related to Gann. Roughly it amounts to 9 Gigabytes on my hard disk.

I have some books about Gann but no books written by Gann

Practicing Gann tools and reading about Gann since 20 years I progressively built my view on Gann

Gann was a very normal trader like DiamondMiner, me and many others !

Gann made researches like us. Gann tested numerous tools indicators, methodologies , hypothesis like us

Gann made money enough to survive 50 years on the market. Gann loosed money like we have.

Gann was a trader AND a professional selling advices, newsletters and courses and promoted his tools and researches.

This mixed behaviour has consequences :

- as a professional dealing with other professionnals you can not write that Theory X promoted by Professional Asshole Y is just crap

- having customers who buy your courses , newsletters and advices with real dollars you have to take into account what your customers like and want

you can not say to Customer Asshole A who like Theory X promoted by Professional Asshole Y that he is an asshole as well as Professional Y and that Theory X is crap ..... if you need to cash in his dollars.

you play it neutral "it is good that there are different ways to analyze the market, " different guys, different ways" " Theory X underlines some interesting points but raises some questions"


R.N. Elliot is born in 1871 and died in 1948
W.D. Gann is born in 1878 and died in 1955

Hence it is very realistic to imagine that working both on the markets at the same period both Elliott and Gann have examined their respective work . De facto they have respected a modus vivendi : no commentary on each other, no duplication of tools or concepts.

Gann just used the concept of "Campaign" mimicking more or less the concept of "wave" - but it was marginal in his work. An ad-hoc concept IMHO developed to make quiet his customers interested by Elliott.

The key point is that Gann never at the end of his life has made a recension, a selection of his tools and methodologies. " After 50 years on the market here is what I use because I found it works the best"

Hence after his death his "spiritual heirs" could develop all the tools Gann has tested including those he disregarded or no more used.
It was good for the "Gann industry"

By the way I hold for grotesque and ludicrous the "coded" and "veiled" language and the idea that Gann has developed and promoted public and efficient trading tools and methodologies to hide more efficient tools and methodologies from the public.

something happened to my monitors, possessed by Gann's spirit