How many TP20, SL20 could you make (in a row)? [Group Challenge]

Ok, this was the #1 TP20SL20 trial from my side... It started as 70% probability, went to 80% within 15minutes... then I suggested you PULL 10PIPs... and estimated the (rest of) probability (to 60%) should you opt to make full TP20.. Within SL20 of course, so 500:1 at 10% stop (account/broker)...

Certainly this TP20SL20 weren't meant for the market as it is now when there is 20PIP movement the whole day! or about 30PIP PEAK TO PEAK (daily.
I would say that it was rather EPIC entry... That it hit TP10 relatively fast... I reduce the probability and suggested TP10 exist.. due to SLOWING down, exposure to certain news/tweets to which 500:1 is very vulnerable.. It still look it could reach full TP20... within SL20...

And yes, sorry for a bit unstructured posts, it was from my mobile and I had to post QUICK.. as you see/know, time is of vital importance..

Hope anyone appreciate this! I give you a no bull-shit signal... Also if you check my previous posts (on all FF), I tend to be on the no-bullshit, firm statement side..
So no HEDGED answers.. like many here give... this puting BOTH prices (so they are always right with this "if" or "sould" and bear and bull price "est".. bearish/bullish/dogish/battish or sharkish The signal vas pretty straightfoward... PAIR, DIRECTION and TP... (SL is in the topic doh...)... I wonder how many would actually realise the potential and effort behind this..

But since this TP20SL20 is practically a burner strategy... meaning you throw certain deposit for maximum exposure.. to (maybe) gain outstanding profits...
Here is the CURENT chart.. you can see the point of entry in retrospect, you can corss-check with time-stamped posts above... my timezone is very well different from yours but you will get the data should you need to.... Chart is from oanda fxtrade... that is not offering 500:1 of course, but I like their charts...

P.S... I would not advise it but this signal was PRECISE as f... less than 5PIP, what I consider "error" or counter before it goes the direction predicted... so yeah, could potentially work on even higher lev.. but let's stick with the program

So yeah, should TP20 hit still... would be awesome, but TP10 (within SL20) is awesome in my book, specially in this gridlock market when everyone seems to be waiting for magic wand of the FED/ECB and when almost everyone predicted UP, yesterday...

Ok so this is it for now, hope anyone appreciates and you are MOST welcome to post your TP20SL20 here.. so we can maybe combine one EPIC GROUP series of only about 10-20trades... to you know what.. from 100USD for example... I plan to post, after this market shows its way.. you have my prediction elsewhere..
I won't do much philosophy in this thread because what counts is just TP20SL20 success rate... as many times in a row as possible.. and hope you can estimate the certainty.. so that we might berry select only high-probab ones How you do it doesn't really matter, just make it or how Gordon G. (WS87) said... don't care where or how you get it https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/bf085c5...a-b16d5c5c7340

So, bring it on, specially the ones that voted 20+.. Could PM me also...

PS.. I love to trade.. but this BURNERs are very tempting as a side show.. that can become the gold-digging s..

Oh yeah.. TP10 at 500:1 would mean about 45% return per TRADE! , 10% stop condition for broker... (before anyone brings the smarts... those brokers do exist... offering 10% margin/stop; so 90% exposure allowed) Hope anyone appreciates what the daddy did for you

Full TP20 just reached, within SL20. #1 from me is now considered a complete success.

Auric's #1 (TP20SL signal) summary (to be edited within an hour, but here are the pics):
TP20 SL20... SUCCESS... min certanty: 60%... 70%->80->60% (for full TP20).
Outcome: TakeProfit

Charts bellow...
See it was pretty CLEAN (would be abple to pass SL5->LEV 2k:1 but that would be pushing it )... but DELAYED... first 10TP quick.. than stall..

Remember we need just "12 STEPS to any recovery" of this (type)... per let's say a year, for 100USD to become 200k+ USD!..
Some GOOD FU money/position, wouldn't you say?
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*1.9%5E12
*at 500:1, broker with 10% margin/stop...

So BRING it on, specially the ones that voted (the ones voted 20+... are either millionaires or do not know/want the money ...
Can PM me also...

Hope we can make cherry/berry pick those 12berries PER YEAR, together... only the high-certainty one (if there is correlation certainty vs TP...) to GET some serious money.. maybe even try with 1k deposit.. now you're talking retirement money at least by some standards..

OK... might edit this post within an hour, once I have a bit more time... but I hope you got the message.

AND PS.. hope you appreciated how hard this was in this almost STALL market... I plan to publish more once the liquidity is restored...

EDITED: Ok what's more is that we do not have to be 100% at all (times)... It is more than enough that we catch/ride the 12-step sequence one... So if we group it ONCE... even if we failed more than 10times before (aka 1k USD loss)... so what... if it works the 11th time for example.. As long as there is reasonable/good hope for us to catch it... For example.. If we can somehow, even testing/posting here... get to 12 tp20_sl20 trades in a row... within 90% per trade exposure (allowed by broker) aka 10% stop... and we have somewhat guess/belief we can REPEAT that.. it would be worth it to throw this relative small deposits... until we do catch it.. It comes down to the statistics... we are only catching... ONE 12step WAVE for example.. so please start posting so that we can see what we can combine... together...
Or to estimate what kind of sequence would be believeable.. 5, 10, 15, 20?... For example, if we see that some do get at least 3 times in a row with like 60%+ certainty... many times over the year... it would be worth to consider it as a part of the group trade... Ok hope you get it, if not, read again or just POST the signal and let everyone decide what he/she would do with it, if anything

Please post: PAIR, DIRECTION, cca. TP20 (within SL20)... and your CERTAINTY estimation.

eurusd, short, tp20, 60% certainity

70% certainity, entered at 1.12365, tp1.12165

take tp10 at 90% certain or wait for full tp20 at 60% cert.
or take 100% of tp5 (22% return) now!

ps... cerainities calculated for trades within sl20, not overall

Success, TakeProfit... #2
This is the second tp20sl20 signal (in this thread) in a row from my side.. You do realise you could get 260% just out of this two?
Report follows, others please post too.

Auric's #2 (TP20SL signal) summary
TP20 SL20... SUCCESS... min certanty: 60%... 60%->70->90% (for TP10) and 60% for full TP20...
Outcome: TakeProfit

Here is the CHART of this #2 signal by me...
Pretty clean too (within SL10 or even maybe SL5... but let's not get greedy, luck or not, doesn't really matter, the important is getting as much TP20SL20s in a row with certain/highest_possible degree of certainty...

Auric's signals summary:

1. number of signals: 2
2. wins in a row: 2 (TP20, SL20, 500:1 at 10% margin/stop broker account)
   1. loses: 0
   2. loses in a row: 0

All (2) trades/signals were posted LIVE, as they happened, ENTER/SELL/verify, check the timestamp... You had option to JOIN live...

Please read: At both signals, full TP20s was achieved (within SL20), min certainty within whole TP20 range was 60% and quite higher for lower TP (exit-options)... This (would) mean(s): You could get away with 500:1... with broker with margin/stop at 10% (even 50% stop at this case, but let's not get ahead...). So INITIAL DEPOSIT: 100USD... CURRENT BALANCE: 361USD; 261% return... (actual DD 0%)... Remember, this is very risky aka BURNER.. can be "over" in the next trade... but also remember... we only need 12trades like this to get from 100USD to 211,000+ USD .. (ye$ 200+ thousand USD).... Or if you dare to play with higher deposit... let's say 1k USD (1,000 USD)... "only" 7 trades that get to 90k USD (90,000 USD) that is some serious money/profit (specially considering the relatively small deposit(s), at least for me... So PLEASE, help/join so we can try to build-up... Also, thirdly.. we might have/try MANY shots (before we hit THE WAVE), worth it... to get to like 11 trades for a multiplication factor of x1000+! so from 100USD to 110k+ USD or 1k USD to A COOL 1mio+ USD (super risky though)... 7 trades only for massive %-return, I posted/guessed or whatever 2 of them already (here in this thread, posted LIVE)! rather in short term.. we have time to post only the most certain ones.... So... DO JOIN IN... Do not be afraid that you might predict a loss, we only need to CATCH the 7-12 trade(s) WAVE ONCE! to get 100USD to 9k USD in 7 trades or 12 total trades to get from 100USD to 211k USD! Worth to risk/burn quite a lot of deposits/trials for the BIG ONE. Numbers/stat game also... https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*1.9%5E12 (change the deposit or steps as you like...).

Yes, check the timestamped post(s), I posted them interactively, LIVE, from mobile...
Check the #1 also... https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...8#post12385698

I plan to post higher-certainty ones... those two were 60% minimum overall... for full TP20... maybe not high enough to risk higher deposits.. but I plan to post min 80% later... just have to test some more and wait for this rather stall market to start flowing as it suppose to... that might happen in like 1-3weeks, hopefully... But hey, we have time, only need 7 of those... for SERIOUS upgrade... Some, high-risk... good deposit... limitless fearless.. can reach annual goal with one trade, although super risky ones But if we want to have it "safe"... and get "rich" with 100USD or 1k (trials)... we would need 7+ trades in a row... Btw trades in different TE than this published where (in my sig) "more real" trades are made... This burner is in parallel... because it is just that.. RUN/BURN to MAX profits, no other stat/analysis matter

P.S. For my "real" trading, market forecast, "normal" trade (signals), I post in different threads, but this is just (parallel thread) for one purpose... MAXIMUM profits only... just DEPOSIT.. TRADE... EXIT at pre-set level... and forget I would honestly maybe exit at 10k, at 100USD deposit... than re-trade 1k... to get to 20k... and than maybe 5k to get to 50k... than 10k to 100k+ etc BUT should the certainty (wave) be good I might HOLD 100USD till full 90k or even 1mio (with maybe some (small) withdrawals in the meantime...

And to the people voted they can make 20+ TP20SL20s in a row? You do realise this would mean 100USD->35mio+ USD in 20 steps? (500:1, broker/account with margin/stop 10%) https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*1.9%5E20 You either (multi)millionaire(s) already or don't know how to handle/harvest/exploit this power, we can help

How many times per year? can you make that sequence? It would/might be worth to try every wave... to get to the big one...
Can you for example make one 12+ sequence after 20trials... worth it... burning 20x 100USD, for THE BIG one after...
Please post or PM me, thanks.

ok give signals I tried.. i only made 3 in a row.. trades.
From 30$ i went to 240$ and lost..

Thats not bad, just keep rollin, we migh see/use some patern/sequences... keep posting signals here pls

didnt post in time.. only 5pips left... to tp20..
tp1.12359...
60% certain...

you could still jump in atm..
entry was 1,12559, tp 1,12359...
6pip to tp atm... 60% cert.

TakeProfit hit, success.. but since delay with timestamped post.. i will only take credit for 5-6pips.. other up to your belief.. so far I managed 3x tp20sl20 in a row! this week! Imagine if more can be achieved (together?).. report will follow

Auric's #3 (TP20SL signal) summary
TP20 SL20... SUCCESS... min certanty: 60%for full TP20...
Outcome: TakeProfit

Ok, this was #3 from me (3/3)...
Sorry I posted with (big) delay... after entry (if you believe of course)... I planned to POST as soon as it maybe rebounded (a little) - I even replied to some post above as you can see (in the meantime) or at least to the intial entry level so that you can enter again but it seemed it went straight down almost So when it was like only 5pips to TP, I said.. well... better late than sorry Should you enter accordingly... you could sitll get like 5-7pips... (timestamped)...

Small summary/report will follow... in the next 6h. Will edited, but here is the essence..
Ok just counting this week, can not know how it will be on the future... but at this week all 3 out of 3 TP20SL20 trials were a success...
So that means multiplication factor of x6,85.. so should you/one make 100 USD deposit.. he would have 685 USD at the moment... 585% return... Of course maximum exposure.. But it went with 585% return, 0% DD (so far. Bear in mind (no pun, or just a little bit) that we would only have to make like
3,5x 20TPSL20 trades to get to multiplication factor of about x10... that I think would be a rather good/achiveable profit cut of.... I already was able to manage 3 in a row, just 0,5 more or one TP10 more... to get to 1k USD out of 100USD (so x10)... But the big question is how far can we go and how many time (from future later stat) did the 3+ or 3,5+ sequence happen, what is the past/estimated occurance...

User @dobrakaloria here seem to be able to get to 3.. thnn lost.. but that is OK, if he can pull/occur some more in the series... to outweight the loss (trials)...

So I hope you realise the potential in this..
3 in a row alraedy prooven to be POSSIBLE... by me and dobrakaloria here... and many more in the votes..
So I would be happy to get those 3,5 (or 3x TP20SL20 and one TP10SL20) to get FACTOR 10.. which would be consistent with the pool in my other thread, where people voted this FACTOR 10 would outweight tha 100% exposure (risk).

So please start posting...

I think we might find the consensus to make this 3-5series trades... need at least some stat to verify, calculate the reasonable odds...
But I would welcome to make even n=7-12 (or more doh), which would mean,you know what, serious FU position

BTW, will maybe open dedicated TE for this, if the stat goes well and for you not to miss/delay the entries...
Btw... In some above post I edited that some of you would maybe still short (after TP) but that it was not the official signal from me... Will not take credit for this and I edited it out quickly, I think some (subscribers) saw it in time... But I do not plan outside of plan, not to overtrade, because win his time, lose others. I try not to gamble like this

Ok here quick stat:

Auric's signals summary:

1. number of signals: 3
2. wins in a row: 3 (TP20, SL20, 500:1 at 10% margin/stop broker account)
3. loses: 0
4. loses in a row: 0
5. INPUT 100 USD
6. OUTPUT 685 USD (585% profit, 0% DD - realised)
7. OUTPUT after next TP10-20SL20, 10-FOLD or nothing

EDIT: added charts just now; As you see it went pretty fast/linear towards TP.. I missed the POST time.. to notify you, waited for rebound as I said.. but it went straightline down at 5PIP away... I said.. better to timestamp something, corrected a little at 6-7pip.. but hey...
And yeah.. this was one was maybe more obvious one since Williams pumped the price with famous speech which then FED burstet But I waited for it to somewhat stabilise and put the turbo mode in parallel to one other trade... with much wider SL... but had ORDER set for this price mentioned.. to take the CLEAN DIVE at least bet on it - was only 60% certain though...

Also, remember... should we get to n=5...
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*1.9%5E5
or n=7
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*1.9%5E7
or n=12
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*1.9%5E12

and that would be just from 100 USD deposit... to 222k (in 12steps) or W222 (if you know what I mean ..
You can do your rest calculations... just change the "100" or X...
or lets see it like this.. the chart (plot) https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?...or+x%3D1+to+12

What trading strategy are you using to enter the market?
This type of compounding strategies works only if you have a high winning entry strategy

Tnx for response, finally some activity, was losing hope in this...
Yeah, you are right, this is completely different trading.. in fact I do not regard this as trading even... Real trading for me is about price prediction... this is supertuned risk/entry management, correct...

The basis of all my trades, for the last 10 years... APART of some trades when I was sucked into too much data/estimations/forecasts/political decision/forecasts etc...
is my price prediciton model... This is the base.. It shows (slow) EURUSD decline for about the next 90days (at which point NEW heavy analysis/forecast will be made).
But with this type of trades.. TP20SL20, trend might not necessarily help (too) much.. since we are dealing with rather very tight SL... You could get the trend right, even TP, just not within that SL... Ok so PRICE PREDICTION MODEL estimated this trend... But there is also FINER component of the model, which can precict the smaller (frame) price... I have made certain screenshot in the past, of the BEFORE vs AFTER picture, many time-stamped (BEFORE)... You can maybe check for example: https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...0#post12361840 and https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...6#post12364376 It is BEYOND just TP... the SCOPE was almost the same, but that parameter is far beyond what we are discussing here, very few would even understand the implication (for quality of the prediction model)... Not all came through clean, even some/one run-away or locked (but even those will hapen eventually... but we are talking about TP20SL20.. So again, price prediction model (TREND) + price prediction model (small time frame SIGNAL) + MAYBE (not always, but can't hurt what is maybe of your use... checking the liquidy/volatiliy (just to (double) check)... if the conditons are favorable, because obviously I would prefer to get out of it as QUCIK as possible since many things can happen that can WIPE your only SL20 trade away.. as you know... and market being liquid helps a lot... SPREAD is amazingly simple and useful parameter of estimating this... checked volume/orderbook before, but got confused sometimes.... and the LAST, this is very important thing... check HIGH-IMPACT news, just in case there is some HEAVY train coming, maybe in opposite direction (pretty much gamble), so I try to avoid around certain very high impact news.. specially few minutes or 10mintues around it... And then overall view, flow of the market, chart.. the current pattern, curve, we are in, day, part of the day... many things.. but BASe is THE MODElL.. second avoiding HIGH IMPACT news/events/tweets... then comes SPREAD... and after that... no matter how much I write... not sure it will do you any good since realistically there are no real rules/constants in FX.. everything can change in a split of a second UNLIKE many gurus here try to say... When they are "right" it was their brains only.. when they are not... it was conspiracy