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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #80,561
  • May 15, 2019 6:58am May 15, 2019 6:58am
Quoting Theoak
{quote} Shorting in at 109.40
Winner + 10 pips
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,562
  • May 15, 2019 7:42am May 15, 2019 7:42am
Quoting Theoak
{quote} Winner + 10 pips
In again winner + 10 pips
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,563
  • May 15, 2019 7:53am May 15, 2019 7:53am
Quoting MrPresident
{quote} looks like it might be sold back to 108.6 {image}
108.6 could be the next target today, retail sales were bad, risk-off is possible
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #80,564
  • May 15, 2019 9:56am May 15, 2019 9:56am
Disregarding all fundamentals and the trend I'm long, shooting for 4H 50MA first target, what's it called a correction, pull back trade... guess.
Good way to go broke if I was playing with anything but micros...… I like the wobbly lines, too much reading in fundamentals.

USA for the win!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #80,565
  • May 15, 2019 10:06am May 15, 2019 10:06am
Quoting aimaster
Intresting USDJPY pattern recently appeared on 1 hour timeframe: {image} Pattern length 150 candles. It's a profitable long pattern with holding position time during for 112 candles based on the past statistics. Let's see statistic for 100 the most similar patterns in the past among others forex and cryptocurrencies: Profit factor 2.7 Profit/loss trades relation 60% / 40% Average profit per trade 0.44 % And top similar patterns here: {image}
Hi Aimaster,
Thank for good information. And I have a small question: where I can find these statistics as yours, can you give me website? Thank you so much.
  • #80,566
  • May 15, 2019 1:44pm May 15, 2019 1:44pm
I bought USD/JPY at 109.25 and hold. Swaps are dripping positive, today I'm waiting for a triple swap. I think the pair will rise to 110.30, and then we'll see. At 110.30 Tenkan and Senkou span B. whether their price will Break up, I do not know.
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  • #80,567
  • May 15, 2019 1:50pm May 15, 2019 1:50pm
Quoting CassandraK
I bought USD/JPY at 109.25 and hold. Swaps are dripping positive, today I'm waiting for a triple swap. I think the pair will rise to 110.30, and then we'll see. At 110.30 Tenkan and Senkou span B. whether their price will Break up, I do not know. {image}
There could be resistance on this on the larger timeframe. This could reverse and go bearish. All the best and Good luck!
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,568
  • May 15, 2019 5:07pm May 15, 2019 5:07pm
Quoting riclater211
{quote} Hey All, Price closed well in to my trade box but you know what? I didn't take the trade. Here is why. 1) Price has been falling for 14 days now with no retrace. 2) Price is getting close to the major support @ 180.50. My previous target. After a retrace of at least 30% or so, I may take a second look at this pair. - Ric
Hey All,

I am glad I did not take that short yet. Price is stagnant around 109.00 to 109.50. Still looking for a short but need price to retrace up to 110.00 or so before coming down or accelerate past 108.50. Wait and see.

- Ric
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Be humble or get humbled
  • #80,569
  • May 16, 2019 2:51am May 16, 2019 2:51am
Quoting hikaru259
{quote} Hi Aimaster, Thank for good information. And I have a small question: where I can find these statistics as yours, can you give me website? Thank you so much.
hi
you can find it here: https://ai-finmarkets.com/fin/srv/pr...table_current/
  • #80,570
  • May 16, 2019 10:52am May 16, 2019 10:52am
Quoting CassandraK
USDJPY time to buy. Stochastic fell below 20. The price fell on the support in the form of the Kijun line. Weekly. {image}
You got that right and I am holding Buys for long now. Target is way high. Will it be hit?
  • #80,571
  • May 16, 2019 9:17pm May 16, 2019 9:17pm
before and after

get ready for a new high in USD index soon

more upside for USDJPY for sure

I am still waiting for 114
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  • #80,572
  • May 16, 2019 9:32pm May 16, 2019 9:32pm
I'm expecting a sell on USDJPY today.

I have sold already.

Target 109.34 or slightly lower.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #80,573
  • May 17, 2019 12:57am May 17, 2019 12:57am
I have two position here:
1. BUY - 109,70; SL - 109.20; TP - 110,20;
2. BUY - 109,70; SL - 108,80; TP - 111,00.
  • #80,574
  • May 17, 2019 2:12am May 17, 2019 2:12am
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  • #80,575
  • May 17, 2019 2:12am May 17, 2019 2:12am
Short in at 109.61
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,576
  • May 17, 2019 2:23am May 17, 2019 2:23am
Quoting Theoak
Short in at 109.61
loss 10 pips
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,577
  • May 17, 2019 2:30am May 17, 2019 2:30am
Quoting Theoak
Short in at 109.61
My preferred level(s) for new short are:

109.907

and

109.988
  • #80,578
  • May 17, 2019 2:56am May 17, 2019 2:56am
Quoting pipcenturion
{quote} My preferred level(s) for new short are: 109.907 and 109.988
Rushed in with my trade. I think you are correct!
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,579
  • May 17, 2019 4:18am May 17, 2019 4:18am
Another current one on the daily timeframe:
Attached Image


If we take 100 the closest patterns on the history with 50 day position holding, we will get this statistics for short trades:
Profit/loss trades relation 62% / 38%
Average profit per trade 1.34 %
Profit factor 2.8

And some of the closest matches patterns on the history are:
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  • #80,580
  • May 17, 2019 9:59pm May 17, 2019 9:59pm
Quoting riclater211
{quote} Hey All, I am glad I did not take that short yet. Price is stagnant around 109.00 to 109.50. Still looking for a short but need price to retrace up to 110.00 or so before coming down or accelerate past 108.50. Wait and see. - Ric {image}
Yea still undecided what to do here. Until next week.

Have a great weekend,

- Ric
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Be humble or get humbled
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