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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #80,541
  • May 13, 2019 5:06am May 13, 2019 5:06am
Hello, those 2 pinbars in the zone look promising, maybe its the end and after consolidation will move up?
  • #80,542
  • May 13, 2019 5:15am May 13, 2019 5:15am
USDJPY time to buy. Stochastic fell below 20. The price fell on the support in the form of the Kijun line.
Weekly.
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  • #80,543
  • May 13, 2019 8:17am May 13, 2019 8:17am
Quoting CassandraK
USDJPY time to buy. Stochastic fell below 20. The price fell on the support in the form of the Kijun line. Weekly. {image}
looks like it might be sold back to 108.6
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Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #80,544
  • May 13, 2019 9:03am May 13, 2019 9:03am
What is your target guys? I'm still holding my short..
  • #80,545
  • May 13, 2019 9:33am May 13, 2019 9:33am
US dollar will attack back and make new high soon. once this drama news finished

I still insist on 114 and above as a target for USDJPY in short/midterm
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  • #80,546
  • May 13, 2019 9:38am May 13, 2019 9:38am
Quoting markofrose
What is your target guys? I'm still holding my short..
Price actually dipped more than I expected! The U.S. session is still pretty early, so I think there is still time for this to go down even further. I adjusted my closing order to a trailing stop of .218. If it does go up from here, I am at least walking away with a profit.
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #80,547
  • May 13, 2019 10:12am May 13, 2019 10:12am
4-Hour, 1-Hour, 15-Minute, and 5-Minute chart all indicate a downtrend in my opinion. Things could turn-around, but I don't know or see when that will happen.
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #80,548
  • May 13, 2019 2:58pm May 13, 2019 2:58pm
Quoting markofrose
What is your target guys? I'm still holding my short..
I don't personally swing trade, but if I did - I'd be targeting the lows of 108.50. The lows of 105 caused by low liquidity during the Asia session not sure how much information we can obtain from this. I think the best thing to do is assume it to going south until any signs of bullishness. I'm shorting any pull backs! What do any other people think?
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,549
  • May 13, 2019 6:14pm May 13, 2019 6:14pm
Quoting riclater211
{quote} Hey All, After a nice free fall, price has finally reached my trade zone. and touched the 109.50 line. I all but guarantee a retrace but after the It should continue downward, barring any Fundamental craziness. - Ric {image}
Hey All,

Price closed well in to my trade box but you know what? I didn't take the trade. Here is why.

1) Price has been falling for 14 days now with no retrace.

2) Price is getting close to the major support @ 180.50. My previous target.

After a retrace of at least 30% or so, I may take a second look at this pair.

- Ric
Be humble or get humbled
  • #80,550
  • May 14, 2019 3:25am May 14, 2019 3:25am
Shorting in at 109.62
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,551
  • May 14, 2019 6:21am May 14, 2019 6:21am
Breakout from the trend line:
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If you're gonna be a bear, be a grizzly
  • #80,552
  • May 14, 2019 7:44am May 14, 2019 7:44am
Quoting Theoak
Shorting in at 109.62
Winner + 22 PIPS
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,553
  • May 14, 2019 7:46am May 14, 2019 7:46am
Quoting Theoak
{quote} Winner + 22 PIPS
BAck in again shorting 109.50
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,554
  • May 14, 2019 11:54am May 14, 2019 11:54am
Quoting Theoak
{quote} BAck in again shorting 109.50
Well I'm in a hole of 18 pips. I have just added to this losing position by shorting at 109.65. With the talk of swing trading yesterday I stayed in this position longer than I usually would. Small stop loss. Lets do the classic kids mistake and average down!!!!
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,555
  • May 14, 2019 11:59am May 14, 2019 11:59am
This crab is providing support for USD/JPY at 109 area. I think it will bounce back up in short term
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  • #80,556
  • May 15, 2019 12:24am May 15, 2019 12:24am
Quoting Theoak
{quote} I don't personally swing trade, but if I did - I'd be targeting the lows of 108.50. The lows of 105 caused by low liquidity during the Asia session not sure how much information we can obtain from this. I think the best thing to do is assume it to going south until any signs of bullishness. I'm shorting any pull backs! What do any other people think?
As per above, I have just been looking at AUD / USD. It appears a flash crash happened on this pair, It has eaten into the spike down on that pair, so we will have to wait and see!
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,557
  • May 15, 2019 3:28am May 15, 2019 3:28am
Quoting Theoak
{quote} Well I'm in a hole of 18 pips. I have just added to this losing position by shorting at 109.65. With the talk of swing trading yesterday I stayed in this position longer than I usually would. Small stop loss. Lets do the classic kids mistake and average down!!!!
Up a few pips overall. Taken profit and reduced lots!
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,558
  • May 15, 2019 4:32am May 15, 2019 4:32am
Intresting USDJPY pattern recently appeared on 1 hour timeframe:

Attached Image


Pattern length 150 candles. It's a profitable long pattern with holding position time during for 112 candles based on the past statistics.
Let's see statistic for 100 the most similar patterns in the past among others forex and cryptocurrencies:
Profit factor 2.7
Profit/loss trades relation 60% / 40%
Average profit per trade 0.44 %

And top similar patterns here:
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  • #80,559
  • May 15, 2019 6:28am May 15, 2019 6:28am
Quoting Theoak
{quote} Up a few pips overall. Taken profit and reduced lots!
Winner + 11 pips
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #80,560
  • May 15, 2019 6:44am May 15, 2019 6:44am
Quoting Theoak
{quote} Winner + 11 pips
Shorting in at 109.40
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
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