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  • Post #361
  • Quote
  • Jan 29, 2019 11:02am Jan 29, 2019 11:02am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Graphical analysis of Economic Policy Uncertainty Indicators of Italy vs. Europe, Germany, France, Spain, according to rules of GraphicalContest.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀




☒-{INFO Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà


☒ References.
Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Some notes/charts about the macroeconomic curves of Italy & Spain, with a first European comparation. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/262601624

Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Some notes/charts about the employment curves of Italy. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260334530

Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Some notes/charts about the historical curve of Debt/GDP ratio of Italy. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260136622

Financial Markets Observatory Lab. MacroEconomy curves of Italy. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/258994945

Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Notes and charts about the qualitative correlation among Italian Confidence Indicators with some macroeconomic indicators and with two stock benchmarks of Italy. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/274456601

Spread: l'errore infinito. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/259656916

Poll Indicators for, BrExit, US Presidential & Italian Referendum in 2016. - https://www.researchgate.net/project...rendum-in-2016


Indicatori di stress finanziario in Italia. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/ind...s-finanziario/
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  • Post #362
  • Quote
  • Feb 4, 2019 2:11am Feb 4, 2019 2:11am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Graphical analysis of the sum curve of Debt/GDP (in %) + Economic Policy Uncertainty Indicators for Italy & Germany, according to rules of GraphicalContest.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀




☒-{INFO Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà


☒ References.
Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Some notes/charts about the macroeconomic curves of Italy & Spain, with a first European comparation. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/262601624

Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Some notes/charts about the employment curves of Italy. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260334530

Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Some notes/charts about the historical curve of Debt/GDP ratio of Italy. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260136622

Financial Markets Observatory Lab. MacroEconomy curves of Italy. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/258994945

Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Notes and charts about the qualitative correlation among Italian Confidence Indicators with some macroeconomic indicators and with two stock benchmarks of Italy. -
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/274456601

Spread: l'errore infinito. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/259656916

Poll Indicators for, BrExit, US Presidential & Italian Referendum in 2016. -https://www.researchgate.net/project...rendum-in-2016


Indicatori di stress finanziario in Italia. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/ind...s-finanziario/

Indicatori di Incertezza di Politica Economica: una comparazione Italia vs. Europa e paesi chiave di EuroArea. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/ind...ezza-politica/
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  • Post #363
  • Quote
  • Edited at 5:06am Feb 8, 2019 4:16am | Edited at 5:06am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Charts of Main Cryptocurrency crosses vs. Bitcoin: searching for the cryptocoin players with robust ascending curves, according to GraphicalContest rules.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources.
❖ TradingViews.


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà



☒ References.
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Perchè nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia ►►https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin very long term chart semilog: key trendlines, levels, horizontals (automatic curve upgrade) ►►https://www.academia.edu/35172890/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin è una moneta??? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
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  • Post #364
  • Quote
  • Feb 13, 2019 3:10pm Feb 13, 2019 3:10pm
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Visual-Qualitative Evaluation of 3 Contrarian Curves based on Bitcoin Short vs. Long Positions, in US$, Euro, Japanese Yen according to GraphicalContest rules.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources.
❖ TradingViews.


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà



☒ References.
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Perchè nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia ►►https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin very long term chart semilog: key trendlines, levels, horizontals (automatic curve upgrade) ►►https://www.academia.edu/35172890/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin è una moneta??? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
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  • Post #365
  • Quote
  • Feb 18, 2019 2:55am Feb 18, 2019 2:55am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Graphical analysis of the Yield Ratios & Spreads among US Governative Bonds, according to rules of GraphicalContest.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀




☒-{INFO Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #366
  • Quote
  • Feb 23, 2019 10:53am Feb 23, 2019 10:53am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Key window-time for BitCoin (BTC / US Dollar: BitStamp) long term chart.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources.
❖ TradingViews PacMan pro user.


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà



☒ References.
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Perchè nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia ►►https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin very long term chart semilog: key trendlines, levels, horizontals (automatic curve upgrade) ►►https://www.academia.edu/35172890/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin è una moneta??? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
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  • Post #367
  • Quote
  • Edited Mar 10, 2019 7:28am Mar 9, 2019 12:27pm | Edited Mar 10, 2019 7:28am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Political turnout data in OECD, pre-election rhetoric and a speculative (mechanical) hypothesis.


► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀




☒-{INFO Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #368
  • Quote
  • Apr 1, 2019 3:18pm Apr 1, 2019 3:18pm
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Bitcoin State of the Long-Term Charts According to GraphicalContest rules.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources.
❖ TradingViews.


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà



☒ References.
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Perchè nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia ►►https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin very long term chart semilog: key trendlines, levels, horizontals (automatic curve upgrade) ►►https://www.academia.edu/35172890/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin è una moneta??? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
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  • Post #369
  • Quote
  • Apr 16, 2019 4:44am Apr 16, 2019 4:44am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Bitcoin State of the Charts According to GraphicalContest rules.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources.
❖ TradingViews.


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà



☒ References.
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Perchè nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia ►►https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin very long term chart semilog: key trendlines, levels, horizontals (automatic curve upgrade) ►►https://www.academia.edu/35172890/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin è una moneta??? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
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  • Post #370
  • Quote
  • Apr 16, 2019 7:34am Apr 16, 2019 7:34am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Some Key Slides about Italy Debt/GDP ratio. I.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources - https://www.researchgate.net/publica..._Italy/figures


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #371
  • Quote
  • Apr 16, 2019 7:34am Apr 16, 2019 7:34am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Some Key Slides about Italy Debt/GDP ratio. II.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources - https://www.researchgate.net/publica..._Italy/figures


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #372
  • Quote
  • Edited at 7:51am Apr 16, 2019 7:35am | Edited at 7:51am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Some Key Slides about Italy Debt/GDP ratio. III.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources - https://www.researchgate.net/publica..._Italy/figures


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #373
  • Quote
  • Apr 22, 2019 5:22am Apr 22, 2019 5:22am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible
Studio storico della curva Debito/PIL dell'Italia con analisi tecnica-grafica qualitativa.
Historical study of DEBT/GDP curve of Italy with qualitative graphical-technical analysis.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



ABSTRACT
The aim of this analysis was to up-date a previous (qualitative: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/327238561) study of Italian DEBT/GDP ratio (https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260136622) carried out with classic graphical analysis. Chart shows a bi-century duration and it was obtained from various slides (sources LINK section ''figures'' https://www.researchgate.net/publica..._Italy/figures). Main results are as follows.
☒ pre- Great Depression, 1861-1871 about (38% - 97%: 2.5X).
☒ First World War with the Pandemic Flu, 1914-1921 about (75% - 160%: 2.13X).
☒ Phase post- Italian Miracle, 1964-1994 (26% - 120%: 4.6X).
☒ The DC & PSI governments in the post-1963 phase, accompanied a rise equal to or slightly higher, than the previous W.W.I. in percentage terms, less violent and therefore more extended over time (30 years vs. 8 years), but with a much higher magnitude ( 4.61X vs. 2.13X)!!! The period 1964-1994 instead shows decidedly out of control connotations, seen the strongly ascending trend of the curve. The curve itself seems to have taken place in a period of severe socio-economic depression while in reality the period was not only thriving, but even came from the Italian Miracle phase, and also endowed with absolutely democratic governments. Even in this case, but for opposite reasons, it impresses and not a little and suggests that all (and beyond) the Italian growth of this phase has been carried out entirely (and beyond) to the debt of the state budget.
☒ The Governments, Berlusconi IV , Monti, Letta, in the final phase of the current ascending evolution, have re-burned the situation in force in the post-1963 years, bringing the curve at values that appear difficult to sustain in the medium-long term.
☒ The Berlusconi IV government has faced the 2008-2011 systemic crisis, perhaps a crisis of historic significance, resulting in an impressive increase in the size of the DEBT vs. GDP, with a dynamic quite similar to the asymptote 1918-1920. Looking simply at the DEBT/GDP chart, it is clear that the government was totally incapable of facing an exceptional event such as the 2008/2012 crisis.
☒ The subsequent Monti Government, notwithstanding the declaimed technical operations to contain DEBT/GDP curve, has not only accelerated the dynamics of the same, but perhaps it has laid the foundations for a NOT recovery of the ratio denominator, GDP, certainly representing a "mathematical" failure in the chosen political-economic operations. According to curve evolution, it is probable that Monti government has failing on both sides of the fraction DEBT/GDP.
☒ The three subsequent center-left governments, on the basis of the evolution of the DEBT/GDP curve, seem to have simply entered the path traced by the Monti Government, making no improvement on both sides of the fraction, for 5 years. Curve shows a continuation run to rise (albeit with a noticeable deceleration), and is currently stationed on the highs, with decidedly bullish signs in the two-year 2017/2018.
☒ The 2008-2018 period appears to be instead an admirable collection of errors, perhaps transgenerational, in the management of the 2007-2012 global crisis.
☒ Fascist era (1922-1944) is the dominated government type of the phase 1920-1945, and it accompanied a strong decrease of DEBT/GDP, from the absolute top (160%) to 85%-115%, and toward the absolute low despite these very depressive (global & epic) event: Great Financial Crisis 1929-1932; Great Economic Depression 1929-1939/1942; Second World War. These results are therefore quite impressive according to the underlying government of the entire period about.
☒ The side-descending red channel |1| include the bi-century curve, and now it is a little below its upper level (high probability of test). Chart graphical array is bullish strongly, with target as in red-column. Bearish targets, in case of failure of bullish evolution, are: 115%-120%; 99%; 80%.
☒ Purple Graphical Contest https://www.researchgate.net/publication/327238561 (|3|; 1930-1995-2012; bullish cup-handle rialzista vs. bearish double tops) shows a incomplete bullish sign, with target as in purple-column, and with domino-effects also on |1| structure.
☒ Bullish channel 1-2-3-4 has an impulsive structure, with main legs well separated; it is compatible with |1| & |3| structures-targets.
☒ According to chart structures, there are some time X prices patterns for the bullish evolution of the current phase. Price-targets 210.9% & 247.5% are compatibles with the bullish patterns of this post (|1| & |3|). Time-target 2019-2028 is compatible with the obtained price-targets, particularly the mean value 2027-2028.
☒ It is interesting that 100 years ago there were both the Sky-Rocket DEBT/GDP 1915-1920 and the burst of the PONZI bubble-schema in USA.
☒ Analyzing then, crudely & cynically, the curve 1964-1994 / 2008-2018, it seems to be faced with a massive, inexorable and transgenerational "PONZI-SINDONA" scheme, with an underlying complex element of bad+dirty political misunderstanding, electoral & institutional connivance, ignorance of the parts, selfish+materialism.



REFERENCES
☒ The historical curve of Debt/GDP ratio of Italy. 2014. - https://www.researchgate.net/publica..._Italy/figures
☒ The history of default events published by Economist. 2014. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/264932808
☒ Una comparazione tra alcune curve economiche italiane ed i curricula (NON politici) dei Presidenti del Consiglio dei Ministri della Repubblica Italiana. 2018. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/una...lica-italiana/


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #374
  • Quote
  • Apr 27, 2019 1:21pm Apr 27, 2019 1:21pm
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Bitcoin State of the Charts According to GraphicalContest rules.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources.
❖ TradingViews.


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà



☒ References.
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Perchè nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia ►►https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin very long term chart semilog: key trendlines, levels, horizontals (automatic curve upgrade) ►►https://www.academia.edu/35172890/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin è una moneta??? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
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  • Post #375
  • Quote
  • Apr 28, 2019 9:09am Apr 28, 2019 9:09am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible
Spread indicators between Gov.Bond Yields Italy vs. Germany & EuroArea.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀




REFERENCES
☒ The historical curve of Debt/GDP ratio of Italy. 2019. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/332555947

☒ The historical curve of Debt/GDP ratio of Italy. 2014. - https://www.researchgate.net/publica..._Italy/figures
☒ The history of default events published by Economist. 2014. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/264932808
☒ Una comparazione tra alcune curve economiche italiane ed i curricula (NON politici) dei Presidenti del Consiglio dei Ministri della Repubblica Italiana. 2018. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/una...lica-italiana/



☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #376
  • Quote
  • Apr 30, 2019 10:12am Apr 30, 2019 10:12am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Bitcoin State of the Charts According to GraphicalContest rules. An evolving local game of insides.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



☒ Chart sources.
❖ TradingViews.


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà



☒ References.
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Perchè nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia ►►https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - BitCoin very long term chart semilog: key trendlines, levels, horizontals (automatic curve upgrade) ►►https://www.academia.edu/35172890/
SalVi Salvatore Vicidomini, 2017 - Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin è una moneta??? ►► https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
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  • Post #377
  • Quote
  • May 8, 2019 11:18am May 8, 2019 11:18am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible
Historical study of unemployment rate curve of Italy with qualitative graphical-technical analysis.

Studio storico della curva di disoccupazione dell'Italia con analisi tecnica-grafica qualitativa.


► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT
▌In this analysis the historical curve of the Italian unemployment rate is considered.
▌From 1939 to 1953 the curve shows a rise from the minimum levels of 3.6-4.0% towards the maximum of 10% (2.7X-2.5X), contrary to the main trend of DEBT/GDP.
▌In the phase 1954-1960, the curve returns violently to the starting rate, 4%, even exceeding it (area 3.5-3.7%) in 1963-1964, in agreement with the main trend of DEBT/GDP.
▌There follows an impressive upward phase of the unemployment rate from 1964 to 1990, starting from historic lows and, with a 3.3X, reaching 12% in area. High unemployment rate will last until around 2000, according to the main trend of DEBT/GDP.
▌The subsequent evolution sees a rapid re-fall towards 5.8% (2007), a much higher level than the lows of the last century, in agreement but in a meaningless way with DEBT/GDP.
▌From 2007 to 2014-2015 there was a third important phase of increasing the unemployment rate, achieving a 2.2X from around 5.8% to 13%, the new absolute high of the chart, re-endorsing the overall ascending curve structure, in agreement with the main trend of DEBT/GDP.
▌On the basis of a simplistic numerical comparison, it can be indicated that the current phase of unemployment (> 8%) could extend to at least 13 years (2008 + 13 = 2021), but even for 25 years (2008 + 25 = 2033 ), with a mid-time-point at 2027, matching projection with the average one deduced for the DEBT/GDP curve (2027-2028).
▌In the post-1950 decades the two parameters unemployment % & DEBT/GDP are not only linked but also well coordinated. The peculiar phase of post-Miracle Italic, as described in the DEBT/GDP study, resulted in such an irrational-exuberance that a transgenerational Ponzi-Sindona scheme was defined, achieving a 4.6X increment from the beginning to the end. Also the unemployment curve shows a very significant increase in the rate which (3.3X) compared to the historical minimums of the graph!!! It is clear that this period could be counted among the worst governmental management ever in Europe; management that certainly appears to be efficiently orchestrated over a whole thirty years, and that from the economic point of view has released the worst effects of the last 12 decades, above & beyond those of the two World Wars, on a base of equal conditions.
▌Using the GraphicalContest (cup) procedures identified on the graph, we obtain a bullish scenario only with a decisive exceeding of the 12% level, in tandem with the bullish scenarios outlined on the DEBT/GDP curve. The time target 2027 is associated with that of 18%, and over, up to 21%-22% (2020) and 22%-23% (2030)!!! This scenario is kept active by a curve above the MID level of the graphic cup (>9%) and will be activated with values >12%. First partial disarming of the socio-economic bomb of 2-digits unemployment-skyrocket, only with values well below the 9%-8% area.




REFERENCES
Graphical Contest: proposta di un modello per unificare numerose figure grafiche dell'analisi tecnica di curve finanziarie. Graphical Contest: proposal of a model to unify numerous graphic figures of the technical analysis of financial curves. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/327238561
Studio storico della curva Debito/PIL dell'Italia con analisi tecnica-grafica qualitativa. - Historical study of DEBT/GDP curve of Italy with qualitative graphical-technical analysis. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/332555947
Debito pubblico italiano: come un iceberg? - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/deb...me-un-iceberg/


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #378
  • Quote
  • May 9, 2019 9:58am May 9, 2019 9:58am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible

Binance COIN (BNB) State of the Charts According to GraphicalContest rules.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



Binance COIN shows again an impressive strength inside the cryptocurrencies space, also with the recent Binance scandal, as outlined in the previous posts {Aug.2018 - Aug.2018 - Apr.2019}.
Now is in VII position according to market cap., a little below EOS, BitcoinCash, LiteCoin.
Moreover on crypto-crosses BNB/Tether & BNB/US$, Binance COIN shows key ascending lows and a new (but very little) top in 2019.
On crypto-cross BNB/BTC the charts is in hard ascending array, but with a recent sell OFF according to scandal.
Ripple & BNB are very interesting as possible main players of the next evolution of cryptocurrencies.



☒ Chart sources.
❖ TradingViews.


☒ REFERENCES.
Perchè nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915

Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin è una moneta??? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
Long-term charts on BitCoin (BitStamp), with some theoretically interesting price-areas. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490556

First steps of BitCoin prices, from BitCoinMarket, MtGox, and exchanges aggregated values. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319965271

Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229

BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia. - https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
Notes and charts about the possible re-start of BitCoin bull trend. - https://www.academia.edu/35407789/

Bitcoin: un breve punto della situazione grafica. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/bitcoin-un-breve-punto-della-situazione-grafica/


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #379
  • Quote
  • May 12, 2019 10:48am May 12, 2019 10:48am
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible
Historical curve of Italian LIRE vs. German Mark.

Curva storica della LIRA Italiana vs. MARCO Tedesco.


► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀




Compare the phase 1964-1994, the Italian transgenerational PONZI-Sindona scheme, with the evolution of the curve ITA/GER, Lire vs. DM. ▌Previous post n.594.
See also the project.



REFERENCES
Studio storico della curva Debito/PIL dell'Italia con analisi tecnica-grafica qualitativa. - Historical study of DEBT/GDP curve of Italy with qualitative graphical-technical analysis. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/332555947
Studio storico della curva di disoccupazione dell'Italia con analisi tecnica-grafica qualitativa. - Historical study of unemployment rate curve of Italy with qualitative graphical-technical analysis. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/332947767
Debito pubblico italiano: come un iceberg? - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/deb...me-un-iceberg/


☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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  • Post #380
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  • May 14, 2019 1:16pm May 14, 2019 1:16pm
  •  Sal.Vi
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: > Sa!Vi World Wide < | 1,790 Posts | Invisible
Confronto tra evasione fiscale e pressione fiscale in 28 paesi Europei.

Comparison between tax evasion vs. tax burden in 28 European countries.

► By ... 0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW ◀



INTRODUZIONE
Recentemente sui social è comparsa la slide allegata al presente studio.
In questa slide (vedasi fonte su di essa per l'originale) sono state apportate delle modifiche personali al fine di evidenziarne al meglio i risultati e estrarne di altri, in modo tale da ottenere quanta più informazione oggettiva.
Naturalmente non si entra nel merito della esattezza dei dati riportati sulla slide stessa.
I calcoli personali sono stati ottenuti visivamente sullo schema e pertanto, ovviamente, mostrano una certa approssimazione, ma ciò che maggiormente conta su una tabella del genere, è lo scenario d'insieme e non tanto il valore puntualmente preciso, esulando quest'ultimo dagli scopi del presente.


METODO
Eseguendo una serie di ratio (rapporti o frazioni) si riesce a realizzare un confronto che potrebbe essere interessante a livello comparativo: ammontare pro capite (espresso in €) di evasione per ogni punto percentuale di pressione fiscale.
In tal modo si esegue una parziale normalizzazione qualitativa dell'entità dell'evasione pro capite nazionale (in €), sulla base della pressione nazionale di tassazione (in %).
Il raffronto verrà eseguito come spread (differenza e mai differenziale) per le seguenti categorie, scelte arbitrariamente, rispetto al valore mostrato dall'Italia:
a-{ paesi con Evasione pro capite > 2000€;
b-{ paesi con Tassazione > 39.9%;
c-{ MAIN 4 per GDP in EuroArea;
d-{ paesi Mediterranei in EuroArea;
e-{ Media della SLIDE a 28 paesi (Evasione/Tassazione);


RISULTATI E COMPARAZIONE
a-{Ratio nei paesi con Evasione pro capite > 2000€
ITA: 3200€/43% = 74.42
DEN: 3100€/46.5% =66.67
NET: 2750€/37% =74.32
BEL: 2600€/45% = 57.78
MEDIA = 67.93
Spread ITA vs. MEDIA (>2000€): 74.42-67.93 = 6.49.
Tra i paesi ad elevata evasione pro capite spiccano certamente Italia e Netherlands con ben 74€ ed oltre di evasione per ogni punto percentuale di tassazione. Anche la Danimarca mostra valori decisamente elevati.
Lo spread ITA vs. "a" è molto contenuto e quasi non significativo.

b-{Ratio nei paesi con Tassazione > 39.9%
DEN: 3100/46.5% = 66.67
FRA: 1800/45.5% = 39.56
BEL: 2600/45% = 57.78
FIN: 1900/44% = 43.18
ITA: 3200/43% = 74.42
SWE: 1750/43% = 40.70
AUS: 1500/43% = 34.88
MEDIA = 44.37.
Spread ITA vs. MEDIA (>39.9%): 74.42-44.37 = 30.05
Considerando i paesi ad elevata tassazione percentuale emerge molto chiaramente come l'Italia si collochi quasi fuori scala se non fosse per la valutazione della Danimarca. Difatti, lo spread ITA vs. "b" è rilevante, con ben 30€ di evasione pro capite per ogni punto percentuale.

c-{Ratio nei MAIN 4 per GDP in EuroArea
GER: 1550/38.5% = 40.26
FRA: 1800/45.5% = 39.56
ITA: 3200/43% = 74.42
SPA: 1300/33.5% = 38.81
MEDIA = 40.66
Spread ITA vs. MEDIA (main 4): 74.42-40.66 = 33.76.
Considerando i principali 4 paesi di EuroArea sulla base del GDP o PIL, emerge molto chiaramente come l'Italia si collochi completamente fuori scala, con uno spread ITA vs. "c" di quasi 34€ di evasione pro capite per ogni punto percentuale. Considerando i 3 rimanenti paesi singolarmente, si evince come l'Italia si trovi in una condizione assolutamente NON omogenea (spreads ITA vs.: GER = 34.16; FRA = 34.86; SPA =35.61).

d-{Ratio nei Mediterranei in EuroArea
ITA: 3200/43% = 74.42
SPA: 1300/33.5% = 38.81
POR: 1100/34.5% = 31.88
GRE: 1800/36.5% = 49.32
CYP: 1900/33% = 57.58
MAL: 2000/32% = 62.5
MEDIA = 53.18
Spread ITA vs. MEDIA (Mediterranei): 74.42-53.18 = 21.24
Considerando i principali paesi Mediterranei di EuroArea, emerge che la differenza media con l'Italia è importante (oltre 21%) ma non raggiunge i valori precedentemente visti nel raffronto con "c" e "c", sottolineando ancora una volta la forte discrepanza tra il dato italiano e quello in seno all'EuroArea e relative settorializzazioni.

e-{RATIO Medio della SLIDE a 28 paesi (Evasione/Tassazione)
MEDIA = 42.12
Spread ITA vs. MEDIA (complessiva): 74.42-42.12 = 32.30
Sull'intera cernita di 28 paesi le considerazioni sono praticamente identiche a quelle eseguite ai punti "c" e "b".


CONSIDERAZIONI
Italia e Netherlands mostrano valori di evasione pro capite per punto percentuale di tassazione decisamente fuori scala rispetto tutti gli altri paesi, giungendo quasi a 75€!!! Il problema rilevante è rappresentato dall'Italia in quanto il parametro considerato è risultato fuori scala rispetto gli aggregati geografici ed economici di appartenenza in seno alla EuroArea (vedasi punti "b" "c" "d" "e"), vista anche la sua importanza quantitativa come GDP e come debito complessivo, in EuroArea.
Queste considerazioni, unitamente alle correnti valutazioni degli spreads sul debito, dello stesso rapporto DEBT/GDP, e della disoccupazione % prospettica, mostrano che l'Italia possiede un livello di resistenza bassissimo a stress finanziari importanti, e la espone a violente ristrutturazioni economico-finanziario-fiscale, interne alla intera EuroArea stessa.



REFERENCES
Studio storico della curva Debito/PIL dell'Italia con analisi tecnica-grafica qualitativa. - Historical study of DEBT/GDP curve of Italy with qualitative graphical-technical analysis. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/332555947
Studio storico della curva di disoccupazione dell'Italia con analisi tecnica-grafica qualitativa. - Historical study of unemployment rate curve of Italy with qualitative graphical-technical analysis. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/332947767
Debito pubblico italiano: come un iceberg? - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/deb...me-un-iceberg/




☒-{ Contact }-►►♡®█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█©♡◀ #KèSaddhaPhàPèKampà
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