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Pivot Trading

  • #28,361
  • Apr 8, 2019 4:24am Apr 8, 2019 4:24am
do we think that price action magnetizes toward the expiry spot price? or do we think that price action avoids the spot price of the option expiry? (is repelled from that spot price, to avoid expiring "in the money").. i am interested in, and appreciative of, the perspective of the thread contributors around price action analysis and forex option expiry..?
  • #28,362
  • Apr 8, 2019 4:24am Apr 8, 2019 4:24am
Quoting Elhemano1
{quote} https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...6#post12126246
Many thanks.
It's exactly what I was looking for...
  • #28,363
  • Apr 8, 2019 4:25am Apr 8, 2019 4:25am
Last week was another good one.

This morning I decided to close my UJ short because it was turning against me and I'm not comfortable to give back over pay the swap too.
Now PA is dancing around WPP, it can go lower but it could up again too, in this latter case I'll reload.
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Porta itineris dicitur longissima esse
  • #28,364
  • Apr 8, 2019 5:36am Apr 8, 2019 5:36am
Quoting bubincka
Last week was another good one. This morning I decided to close my UJ short because it was turning against me and I'm not comfortable to give back over pay the swap too. Now PA is dancing around WPP, it can go lower but it could up again too, in this latter case I'll reload. {image} {image}
Nice work. I also bailed on my UJ shorts once it started heading back to the WPP after breaking through. I'm unloaded at the moment and waiting to see what the week brings.

Cheers,
Nigel
  • #28,365
  • Apr 8, 2019 5:38am Apr 8, 2019 5:38am
My notes for the week ahead,
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File Type: docx Week 15.docx   45 KB | 291 downloads
  • #28,366
  • Apr 8, 2019 5:56am Apr 8, 2019 5:56am
Update EU
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  • #28,367
  • Apr 8, 2019 6:32am Apr 8, 2019 6:32am
Still holding UJ as this comes out later
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?
  • #28,368
  • Apr 8, 2019 7:09am Apr 8, 2019 7:09am
Also, just a reminder for people to use multiple sources of news to get the most information possible.

FF was showing red for JPY which may make people jump out of positions but was actually pushed positive by a report on JPY that was not included on the FF calendar. Of course the times were different but had they been the same that would be the case.

The internet is an abundance of information, use it to sharpen your tools for the fight!
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  • #28,369
  • Apr 8, 2019 7:10am Apr 8, 2019 7:10am
Quoting Dumaresq
Also, just a reminder for people to use multiple sources of news to get the most information possible. FF was showing red for JPY which might of made people jump out of positions but was actually pushed positive by a report on JPY that was not included on the FF calendar. {image} {image}
You have any sites you recommend?
Green pips to all
  • #28,370
  • Apr 8, 2019 7:22am Apr 8, 2019 7:22am
looks too easy which makes me think hmm this needs a spike up to clear the stops before going south.
Remember Weds ECB perfect set up for spike
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In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #28,371
  • Apr 8, 2019 7:23am Apr 8, 2019 7:23am
Quoting Dumaresq
Also, just a reminder for people to use multiple sources of news to get the most information possible. FF was showing red for JPY which may make people jump out of positions but was actually pushed positive by a report on JPY that was not included on the FF calendar. Of course the times were different but had they been the same that would be the case. The internet is an abundance of information, use it to sharpen your tools for the fight! {image} {image}
FF calendar only show news event which likely move currency
So FF calendar do filtering news event,

CMIIW
  • #28,372
  • Apr 8, 2019 7:44am Apr 8, 2019 7:44am
Quoting ScorpioForex
{quote} You have any sites you recommend?
I use FXStreet calendar, https://www.fxstreet.com/economic-calendar

in addition to FF.

One advantage of FXStreet is the news is reported instantly whereas with FF there is a wait time of approx 3 mins.
  • #28,373
  • Apr 8, 2019 7:47am Apr 8, 2019 7:47am
Quoting ScorpioForex
{quote} You have any sites you recommend?
Investing com, fxstreet and ForexFactory.

Also I like forexlive, not specifically the economic calendar but their news feed.
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  • #28,374
  • Edited 9:30am Apr 8, 2019 8:21am | Edited 9:30am
UJ - S
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UC - S
Combination of Edge, Pivot Zone, ADR and magic of PA is A+ Probability
  • #28,375
  • Apr 8, 2019 8:34am Apr 8, 2019 8:34am
EU, Super Mario to the rescue on Wed (of USD of course )

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  • #28,376
  • Apr 8, 2019 8:58am Apr 8, 2019 8:58am
Hi Davit and hi to all, i'm trying your pivot system i find it very interesting, i have only a question, its useful to set the pivot in history mode on charts or for better result see only actual pivot like your charts? many thanks to all
  • #28,377
  • Apr 8, 2019 8:59am Apr 8, 2019 8:59am
EU definitely looking for better place to sell. I mentioned it yesterday that E will go up. So what’s it doing right now.
UJ going into correction same time. Everything plays as I thought. Now it’s patience time. Strike in the right time in the right place!
  • #28,378
  • Apr 8, 2019 9:15am Apr 8, 2019 9:15am
Quoting braintheboss
{quote} This thread is more about technicals with some reference in fundamentals. If pairs fits rules and some fundamentals guide you to confirm that movement then you don't need worry much about news. But is right avoid some pairs if you dont see clear political moment...
I see, thank you.
I will do my best!
  • #28,379
  • Apr 8, 2019 9:18am Apr 8, 2019 9:18am
Quoting DiamondMiner
FX option expiries for the 10am NY cut on Monday 8 April 2019 {image}
Can u please try to explain what this experations mean for todays trading? Is there any kind of manipulation possible by the big boys? Do u have experience with this? Thanks in advance.
  • #28,380
  • Apr 8, 2019 9:21am Apr 8, 2019 9:21am
U30 close yet
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