Attachments: Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

#1,701
Apr 6, 2019 4:51pm Apr 6, 2019 4:51pm

freddie123
| Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Trader | 28 Posts

For example here,

A blue arrow (so outside the BB) and above the 200 (pink), and also on level of price action retest.

Would this be a good trade? Or should I be looking at further / different confluence criteria?

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#1,702
Apr 7, 2019 2:59am Apr 7, 2019 2:59am

Sixer
Joined Nov 2008 | Status: Trader | 1,757 Posts

Here is the latest Hurst cycle outlook i have found for the S&P 500.

Sixer

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#1,703
Apr 7, 2019 5:11am Apr 7, 2019 5:11am

mchl13
| Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Trader | 170 Posts

Hello Sixer,

which indicator gives this type of information.

Thank,s

#1,704
Apr 7, 2019 5:22am Apr 7, 2019 5:22am

parisboy
Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Trader | 12,472 Posts

Quoting freddie123

Disliked

For example here, A blue arrow (so outside the BB) and above the 200 (pink), and also on level of price action retest. Would this be a good trade? Or should I be looking at further / different confluence criteria? {image}

Ignored

Freddie, originally Hurst used Dominancy Envelopes to identify "Cycles" within the Price Action and to determine their duration in Time

Then your envelope allows you to identify some cycles (3 in yellow) of similar duration.

Moreover the amplitude of your Envelope gives you an approximation of the amplitude of the fluctuation of Price Action within the Envelope

Then you can draw an Ascending Valid Trend Line (in white) (VTL) linking 2 Lows of the same nature, degree, order.

If and When this Ascending VTL is broken by Price Action this creates an "Action Signal " for a possible Short (counter-trend)

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#1,705
Apr 7, 2019 5:36am Apr 7, 2019 5:36am

parisboy
Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Trader | 12,472 Posts

Quoting freddie123

Disliked

For example here, A blue arrow (so outside the BB) and above the 200 (pink), and also on level of price action retest. Would this be a good trade? Or should I be looking at further / different confluence criteria? {image}

Ignored

Moreover Freddie you can divide a Price Action Pulse in 2 parts :

a) the Amplitude of the Envelope (in short),
b) the Amplitude added (or substracted from) to the present Trend by Cycles of higher degrees fluctuating within a bigger Timeframe .

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#1,706
Apr 7, 2019 5:52am Apr 7, 2019 5:52am

parisboy
Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Trader | 12,472 Posts

Quoting freddie123

Disliked

For example here, A blue arrow (so outside the BB) and above the 200 (pink), and also on level of price action retest. Would this be a good trade? Or should I be looking at further / different confluence criteria? {image}

Ignored

Freddie, you can also identify Sinewaves acting within Price Action

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#1,707
Apr 7, 2019 5:53am Apr 7, 2019 5:53am

IsraelJesus
| Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Trader | 2 Posts

Quoting T4Trade

Disliked

these all indicators are useful but don't they make chart so messy that it hampers us making decision? I like confluence of indicators but I wish to see clean chart as well,can someone suggest few useful indicators and that is all?

Ignored

Use the tendency parabolic SAR. Really good and clean. I use it to see patterns and to predict the movement of the charts up or down.

#1,708
Apr 7, 2019 6:21am Apr 7, 2019 6:21am

parisboy
Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Trader | 12,472 Posts

Quoting Sixer

Disliked

Here is the latest Hurst cycle outlook i have found for the S&P 500. Sixer {image} {image}

Ignored

Thanks Sixer

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#1,709
Apr 7, 2019 6:24am Apr 7, 2019 6:24am

parisboy
Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Trader | 12,472 Posts

Quoting Sixer

Disliked

Here is the latest Hurst cycle outlook i have found for the S&P 500. Sixer {image} {image}

Ignored

Angles 2009-2021

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#1,710
Apr 7, 2019 11:10am Apr 7, 2019 11:10am

parisboy
Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Trader | 12,472 Posts

Quoting Sixer

Disliked

Here is the latest Hurst cycle outlook i have found for the S&P 500. Sixer {image} {image}

Ignored

Hi Sixer

a possible scenario IF the Underlying Trend is Flat / Neutral

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#1,711
Apr 7, 2019 11:16am Apr 7, 2019 11:16am

parisboy
Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Trader | 12,472 Posts

To compare with the theoretical pattern :

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#1,712
Apr 8, 2019 1:03am Apr 8, 2019 1:03am

Sixer
Joined Nov 2008 | Status: Trader | 1,757 Posts

Indices:

The pattern since the end of 2018 is in the final stage / near an important high.

Sixer

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#1,713
Apr 8, 2019 3:02am Apr 8, 2019 3:02am

parisboy
Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Trader | 12,472 Posts

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#1,714
Apr 8, 2019 3:03am Apr 8, 2019 3:03am

parisboy
Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Trader | 12,472 Posts

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#1,715
Apr 10, 2019 7:32am Apr 10, 2019 7:32am

freddie123
| Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Trader | 28 Posts

Thanks for the replies, what other confluence could I use when gauging potential reversal? Rather then just following the reversal blindly.

At the moment I will look at naked W,D,4h and 1h charts and the price action combined with MA's. To see if the price has closed outside the BB and chanel on a very clear technical level. How about only take reversal where there is divergence? There are these reversal indicators, but they lag massively. What about these Renko Charts?

I feel I lack knowledge with Volume Price Analysis, and Candlesticks. I have read Anna Coulings book regarding this, any other good books you can suggest around this topic?

#1,716
Apr 11, 2019 3:09am Apr 11, 2019 3:09am