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Success with Martingale & Hedge - Possible?

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  • Post #401
  • Quote
  • Jan 3, 2019 7:48am Jan 3, 2019 7:48am
  •  darpa
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 10 Posts
Quoting KashifNawaz
Disliked
{quote} 100 pips grid on any pair (even as volatile as GBPJPY) will give you very less profits I guess but also less risk.
Ignored
Today EURJPY spike down blown away my 7k demo account using default settings.
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  • Post #402
  • Quote
  • Jan 3, 2019 2:00pm Jan 3, 2019 2:00pm
  •  Muaiad
  • | Joined Sep 2016 | Status: Member | 6 Posts
i'd tried it on 13 pairs, but it works ONLY on EURUSD
 
 
  • Post #403
  • Quote
  • Jan 14, 2019 9:47pm Jan 14, 2019 9:47pm
  •  Macau
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 74 Posts
Hi All,

I just tried this EA; it works fine during normal market condition but it will definitely blow away our accounts when there's a BIG spike up/down.

Is it possible to have 2 different Multiplier, we use a lower multiplier for the first 5 levels and then use the default number after level 6?
Any programmer can help on this idea?
 
 
  • Post #404
  • Quote
  • Jan 15, 2019 6:56pm Jan 15, 2019 6:56pm
  •  T4Trade
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Trend Following,Price Action,Grid | 2,090 Posts
Quoting Macau
Disliked
Hi All, I just tried this EA; it works fine during normal market condition but it will definitely blow away our accounts when there's a BIG spike up/down. Is it possible to have 2 different Multiplier, we use a lower multiplier for the first 5 levels and then use the default number after level 6? Any programmer can help on this idea?
Ignored
exactly this is what I was thinking today that if we change the pip step after X numbers of levels
another thing is if we can open hedge trades as same as with martingale trades.
I am already changing the multiplier manually at level 5.
if any good coder is interested please message me for further ideas.
 
 
  • Post #405
  • Quote
  • Jan 19, 2019 7:48am Jan 19, 2019 7:48am
  •  c0ldsun
  • | Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Member | 116 Posts
Quoting c0ldsun
Disliked
Very nice EA... I have it OOB running on my demo account since 11.Sep. You can check results here: https://www.myfxbook.com/members/c0l...ect-ea/2629054 (before i tested another EA, so it started when curve is constantly going up, so please ignore the absolute numbers, it started ~ -2000 profit) However so far the EURGBP pair is ranging, lets see how it behaves when Brexit results are on the table.
Ignored
Still doing very well, even with some volatility on GBP.
 
 
  • Post #406
  • Quote
  • Jan 22, 2019 4:06pm Jan 22, 2019 4:06pm
  •  T4Trade
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Trend Following,Price Action,Grid | 2,090 Posts
Quoting c0ldsun
Disliked
{quote} Still doing very well, even with some volatility on GBP.
Ignored
Really? well done.
 
 
  • Post #407
  • Quote
  • Jan 28, 2019 12:31am Jan 28, 2019 12:31am
  •  Ezios
  • Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 586 Posts
i have 2 ideas to reduce the risk in this ea:
1 - not use martingale multiplier but addlot for example start with 0.01 addlot=0.01
every step is +0.01 or if you put addlot=0.02 every step is +0.02.
2 - not buy and sell in the same time first time but buy when there is the signal of buy
and sell when there is the signal of sell. signals can be anyone or indicator or whatever
formula.... if someone can tell me a good signal to buy or sell i will try to
modify this ea to make it work better..... these are my 2 cents....
 
1
  • Post #408
  • Quote
  • Jan 29, 2019 3:18pm Jan 29, 2019 3:18pm
  •  Ezios
  • Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 586 Posts
Ok my friends.. finally i made it. I changed multiplier in addlot
and gave my signal for buy/sell trades.
It was able to recover a 33% dd in my backtes of eur/usd m15.
If you want give it a try....
I will give up this ea and dedicate me to other studies.
bye bye.
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File Type: ex4 gwf.ex4   39 KB | 598 downloads
File Type: txt gwfeu15.txt   1 KB | 582 downloads
 
5
  • Post #409
  • Quote
  • Feb 21, 2019 1:49pm Feb 21, 2019 1:49pm
  •  Mikiburger
  • | Joined Feb 2019 | Status: Member | 9 Posts
Hello KashifNawaz,

My 2 cents: You should consider a non-constant Martingale.
Good parameters will increase your profits and decrease your drawdown.

Kind regards,

Mikiburger
 
 
  • Post #410
  • Quote
  • Feb 21, 2019 3:09pm Feb 21, 2019 3:09pm
  •  T4Trade
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Trend Following,Price Action,Grid | 2,090 Posts
Quoting Ezios
Disliked
i have 2 ideas to reduce the risk in this ea: 1 - not use martingale multiplier but addlot for example start with 0.01 addlot=0.01 every step is +0.01 or if you put addlot=0.02 every step is +0.02. 2 - not buy and sell in the same time first time but buy when there is the signal of buy and sell when there is the signal of sell. signals can be anyone or indicator or whatever formula.... if someone can tell me a good signal to buy or sell i will try to modify this ea to make it work better..... these are my 2 cents....
Ignored
please try with reversals indicators like weekly pivots or OB-OS indicator or breakout indicators like fractals of higher time frame.
 
 
  • Post #411
  • Quote
  • Edited 3:47pm Apr 10, 2019 2:41pm | Edited 3:47pm
  •  darpa
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 10 Posts
Quoting KashifNawaz
Disliked
Hundreds of threads on the same topic, thousands of posts and millions of discussions here on FF and lot of experts had already proved many times that Martingale, Grid and Hedge systems will never work in the long run unless one has huge capital in his bank. But still, there are many traders (maybe day-dreamers ) who believe that these systems can work in reality even with low capital and proper Money Management. Possible? Well, I am one of those day-dreamers who believe this is possible despite already lost so much money in this. ===========================================================...
Ignored
Thank you @KashifNawaz for sharing your EA, I'm also a believer and lost thousands with grid/hedge 5 years ago and still don't lose the faith
Here you can check my 4 months forward testing with small adjustments and 3 pairs
http://www.myfxbook.com/members/marc...thflow/3191060

Then I decided to perform exhaustive backtest and optimization using 99.9% modeling quality to get the best possible settings but it always crashed. (E.g. attached)

I have very good Computing power VPS but if you port to MT5 I could test for you with hundreds of processors simultaneously to get the best settings per currency pair because MT4 is limited to one processor at 32bits.

I think it's just missing 2 key settings to perform long run backtest:

1) Max Drawdown % (Close all positions if cross this % filtering by magic number in case of trading several symbols concurrently like my fwd test, the current "account locking" setting isn't scalable)
2) Multiplicate "lot size" each "X" balance increase (To compound the profits)


Maybe you already found the holy grid/hedge grail and don't want to disclose publicly with the crowds? If you do please share by PM with those who really took time and effort to believe and test your ideas.

Thank you!
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1
  • Post #412
  • Quote
  • Apr 16, 2019 10:38pm Apr 16, 2019 10:38pm
  •  Mrrk8
  • | Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Junior Member | 5 Posts
Is your GoWithFlow EA still developing it? It's a fantastic EA for me. I see the point that it should be useful is that the profit point of mag1 should have a Break Even Point system or a trailing start / step to change the point of profit not to be fixed and it will make more profit. If you KashifNawaz will develop In this section, add it and share it to the public. Use it. I will thank you KashifNawaz for the best. And if EA can use GoWithFlow to use in MT5 too, it's a good thing in the future. Thanks for the good EA.

 
 
  • Post #413
  • Quote
  • Edited 1:57am Apr 17, 2019 1:33am | Edited 1:57am
  •  Drolph
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: Member | 699 Posts
Nearly one year ago I told Kashi in the beginning of this thread, that his approach has limits and most likely will not succeed in the long run. Obviously I was right having all the blown accounts in mind that are beeing reported.

Nevertheless I want to encourage you to keep on working - it IS possible to be successful using grid/martingale techniques in the longer run. Do not mistake this as a guarantee though.

PS: this is one of my accounts
PPS: i am NOT promoting or selling anything - save your time.
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2
  • Post #414
  • Quote
  • Apr 17, 2019 4:05am Apr 17, 2019 4:05am
  •  Merka
  • Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Member | 1,642 Posts
Quoting Drolph
Disliked
Nearly one year ago I told Kashi in the beginning of this thread, that his approach has limits and most likely will not succeed in the long run. Obviously I was right having all the blown accounts in mind that are beeing reported. Nevertheless I want to encourage you to keep on working - it IS possible to be successful using grid/martingale techniques in the longer run. Do not mistake this as a guarantee though. PS: this is one of my accounts PPS: i am NOT promoting or selling anything - save your time. {image}
Ignored
We are all happy about your achievement.
As you can see we are all struggling here so could you please address us toward to right direction as you said the approach here was wrong.
Not asking your strategy
 
 
  • Post #415
  • Quote
  • Apr 17, 2019 5:11am Apr 17, 2019 5:11am
  •  Drolph
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: Member | 699 Posts
You have to find something unique. A specific idea using these grid techniques for a specific pattern or pair or timeframe. Based on my experience there is no solution that works for "every" market situation. What I am trying to say is there won't be a grid EA you will be successfully using for multiple pairs for example. I did not found one at least until now.

Afterwards make sure to test it for 10(!) years at minimum including not only tickdata, but slippage as well (there is only one paid solution, that will be able to do that)! It was a struggle for me to come to that point too. There is no easy route unfortunately.
 
1
  • Post #416
  • Quote
  • Apr 17, 2019 5:22am Apr 17, 2019 5:22am
  •  Merka
  • Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Member | 1,642 Posts
Quoting Drolph
Disliked
You have to find something unique. A specific idea using these grid techniques for a specific pattern or pair or timeframe. Based on my experience there is no solution that works for "every" market situation. What I am trying to say is there won't be a grid EA you will be successfully using for multiple pairs for example. I did not found one at least until now. Afterwards make sure to test it for 10(!) years at minimum including not only tickdata, but slippage as well (there is only one paid solution, that will be able to do that)! It was a struggle...
Ignored
Thanks for your time.
And I completely agree with you and understood what you are trying to say.
Cheers
 
 
  • Post #417
  • Quote
  • Apr 17, 2019 5:41am Apr 17, 2019 5:41am
  •  T4Trade
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Trend Following,Price Action,Grid | 2,090 Posts
is there any EA that adds trades on positive trades if we start with 0.01,every retrace,it adds more trades and close previous profitable trades with partial profits?
 
 
  • Post #418
  • Quote
  • Apr 17, 2019 7:19am Apr 17, 2019 7:19am
  •  carddard
  • Joined Jan 2017 | Status: Member | 302 Posts
If you're using a grid strategy, it's important to be disciplined with your exits. Sometimes you need to exit even if you're at a loss. That's just part and parcel of running a grid. Most people don't realise that.
 
2
  • Post #419
  • Quote
  • Apr 19, 2019 3:49am Apr 19, 2019 3:49am
  •  chrisdk2017
  • | Joined Feb 2017 | Status: Member | 208 Posts
Quoting T4Trade
Disliked
is there any EA that adds trades on positive trades if we start with 0.01,every retrace,it adds more trades and close previous profitable trades with partial profits?
Ignored
I won't share it but my own EA adds trades both ways, when the price goes against you like standard grid and then pyramid when the price goes your way.

From my observation that was a weakness of standard grid traders; that they would not add trades when a strong trend pushed the price up if you were long.

Regarding grid traders that can survive different market conditions, one way is to make a generic trader that opens trades but you manually close them. Then the adaptation is done by you.
 
2
  • Post #420
  • Quote
  • Apr 23, 2019 3:29am Apr 23, 2019 3:29am
  •  KashifNawaz
  • Joined Oct 2016 | Status: Member | 568 Posts
Quoting Drolph
Disliked
You have to find something unique. A specific idea using these grid techniques for a specific pattern or pair or timeframe.
Ignored
This is what I am trying to do since last 3 years. From starting with naked Martingale, Hedge and Grid systems (losing a lot of money to gain experience), till date playing with flames of the same fire which burnt millions of traders. Still I believe, Holy Grail Exists in Grid Systems (or may be only in Grid Systems).

Quoting Drolph
Disliked
Based on my experience there is no solution that works for "every" market situation.
Ignored
I do agree with you but some EA exist which work 90% time in a year. If my EA makes 3000-5000$ per month and I withdraw on monthly basis and then i see margin call twice in a year, I am still fine with it. Unless I have a bad luck and hit MC in very first month.
Grid / Martingale / Hedge Lover
 
 
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