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  • #1,147,501
  • Jan 7, 2019 6:17am Jan 7, 2019 6:17am
Quoting PatienceFx
14579 {image}
new sell order 1.14690
  • #1,147,502
  • Jan 7, 2019 6:33am Jan 7, 2019 6:33am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} new sell order 1.14690
..............nice resistance I'd say ...good luck!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Member
  • #1,147,503
  • Jan 7, 2019 6:48am Jan 7, 2019 6:48am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} new sell order 1.14690
sell order executed, daily 100 sna as resistance, should drop to m5 100 sma
Attached Image
  • #1,147,504
  • Jan 7, 2019 6:51am Jan 7, 2019 6:51am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} sell order executed, daily 100 sna as resistance, should drop to m5 100 sma {image}
quit - 2 this can go to 1479
  • #1,147,505
  • Jan 7, 2019 7:02am Jan 7, 2019 7:02am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} quit - 2 this can go to 1479
Wrong! Strong resistance 1469 (kidding, no offence)
It can even go up to 1490 to sell!

Take care bullies, strong resistance there!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Member
  • #1,147,506
  • Jan 7, 2019 8:06am Jan 7, 2019 8:06am
my trade
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  • #1,147,507
  • Jan 7, 2019 8:09am Jan 7, 2019 8:09am
I feel anguished for you bears, sell is very dangerous imo, we have a confirmed FED's shift, DXY and US Equities are all moving accordingly. Sure we are close to the top of the ST range, it might be worth under "normal" circumstances to fade it, but this range we've been trading for a while might not hold with the monetary policy change.

Here, eyeing the MT top for a sell rather than the ST top. In any case, gl !
  • #1,147,508
  • Jan 7, 2019 8:18am Jan 7, 2019 8:18am
Quoting Replicant
I feel anguished for you bears, sell is very dangerous imo, we have a confirmed FED's shift, DXY and US Equities are all moving accordingly. Sure we are close to the top of the ST range, it might be worth under "normal" circumstances to fade it, but this range we've been trading for a while might not hold with the monetary policy change. Here, eyeing the MT top for a sell rather than the ST top. In any case, gl !
Hi,
Never express sympathy for the tech analysis guys!
They will hate you forever because your fundamental analysis
Member
  • #1,147,509
  • Edited 8:39am Jan 7, 2019 8:23am | Edited 8:39am
idea ?
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  • #1,147,510
  • Jan 7, 2019 8:41am Jan 7, 2019 8:41am
SHORT

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  • #1,147,511
  • Jan 7, 2019 8:47am Jan 7, 2019 8:47am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Hi, Never express sympathy for the tech analysis guys! They will hate you forever because your fundamental analysis


I try to mix FA & TA actually (my D and W charts are somewhere above) but it's true I seldom do intraday trading, I am more in swing trading.
But at a quick glance, H4 doesn't look very exciting for bears :

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The only argument left I see there to go short is to bet top will hold : sure it's very valid ta wise but not sure it is fa wise. We'll see.
Sticking with my longs here, more than 5 weeks now, hope this range will be solved soon.
  • #1,147,512
  • Jan 7, 2019 8:53am Jan 7, 2019 8:53am
Quoting Replicant
{quote} I try to mix FA & TA actually (my D and W charts are somewhere above) but it's true I seldom do intraday trading, I am more in swing trading. But at a quick glance, H4 doesn't look very exciting for bears : {image} The only argument left I see there to go short is to bet top will hold : sure it's very valid ta wise but not sure it is fa wise. We'll see. Sticking with my longs here, more than 5 weeks now, hope this range will be solved soon.
The intraday trader just wants to squeeze out 20 or a little bit more pips and get out. Where else is best to get in apart from an area that has proven tough for a while? It's just logic.
  • #1,147,513
  • Jan 7, 2019 9:04am Jan 7, 2019 9:04am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} The intraday trader just wants to squeeze out 20 or a little bit more pips and get out. Where else is best to get in apart from an area that has proven tough for a while? It's just logic.
yes fading the resistance is valid TA wise, I was just adding FA in the analysis.
  • #1,147,514
  • Jan 7, 2019 9:29am Jan 7, 2019 9:29am
For intraday trading vs swing trading I think it's whatever it works.

I won't be able to trade for 20 pips personally. Don't have the skills neither the temperament for that.

For the swing in play :
- If your FA analysis tells you, there is a game changer in the cross via FED (first hint on nov 28, second one at last FOMC, final one last friday) and that we are going to reverse the daily downtrend :
- then you load at 1.131x which is a clear identified support TA wise on daily (there were multiple occasions to do that)
- and, since the reverse of the daily downtrend will come with the break of 1.155x, that will make this 1.155x your first theoretical target. But, pratically, you will TP in between on a soft res (1.143x) to pay your stop (1.1250), just in case you are wrong in your FA analysis. (We are there now, stop is paid)
- The final target of the swing is 1.1650 as it is the rejection of the last SH on daily via September ECB/FED combo.

=> max risk is 60 pips max reward is 340 pips, you just use basic price action on a single and simple TF (daily) to mark your entry and exits and to ride your FA sentiment. That's far more comfortable to me. But again, I have nothing against intraday traders and their abilities are far beyond mine.
  • #1,147,515
  • Jan 7, 2019 9:59am Jan 7, 2019 9:59am
Sell limit @ 14819
SL @ 1505
PT @ 1325
  • #1,147,516
  • Jan 7, 2019 10:02am Jan 7, 2019 10:02am
Shorting the daylights out of this thing
  • #1,147,517
  • Jan 7, 2019 10:45am Jan 7, 2019 10:45am
Quoting mbrown
Sell limit @ 14819 SL @ 1505 PT @ 1325
Filled 0.7 pip below the day's high. Let's see if it tanks or continues north.
  • #1,147,518
  • Jan 7, 2019 11:23am Jan 7, 2019 11:23am
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  • #1,147,519
  • Edited 12:22pm Jan 7, 2019 11:41am | Edited 12:22pm
Usdx tanking continues and getting support still a long way. If so eu gu may not correct any, eu may 1.1650 to 1.1810 having correction towards1430, gu 1.3140 to 1.3290 having correction towards 2680. Let's see what actually happen next day. No good pa. Take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,147,520
  • Jan 7, 2019 2:19pm Jan 7, 2019 2:19pm
EU rolling in imminent break up (on D1)

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