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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #79,601
  • Dec 26, 2018 5:27pm Dec 26, 2018 5:27pm
Quoting doji
Still holding on to my bearish view, though: target is even, in fact, lower at 109.60.
I agree.
  • #79,602
  • Dec 26, 2018 5:36pm Dec 26, 2018 5:36pm
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My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #79,603
  • Dec 26, 2018 6:23pm Dec 26, 2018 6:23pm
Pending buy order on 110.866
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  • #79,604
  • Dec 26, 2018 6:26pm Dec 26, 2018 6:26pm
Quoting darksize
Pending buy order on 110.866 {image}
nice is it retracement 61? if the trend of boss is strong it might retrace from 38. But It might be 38 retracement of the big boss swing and might continue the trend
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  • #79,605
  • Dec 26, 2018 6:28pm Dec 26, 2018 6:28pm
Quoting MrAashir
{quote} nice is it retracement 61? if the trend is strong it might retrace from 38.
No, its Fibo 50, second shoulder to reversed HNS. Actually it retraces from 38 fibo of Very big boss swing on 9 month timeframe. :-)
Went confident of the trade after seeing not breaking 50 fibo of very big boss swing and reversed HNS pattern.
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  • #79,606
  • Dec 26, 2018 6:39pm Dec 26, 2018 6:39pm
Quoting darksize
{quote} No, its Fibo 50, second shoulder to reversed HNS. Actually it retraces from 38 fibo of Very big boss swing on 9 month timeframe. :-) Went confident of the trade after seeing not breaking 50 fibo of very big boss swing and reversed HNS pattern.
yes lol its about which boss is dominant i guess.
  • #79,607
  • Dec 26, 2018 6:44pm Dec 26, 2018 6:44pm
Quoting MrAashir
{quote} yes lol its about which boss is dominant i guess.
For me, its the one thats on longer timeframe, always.
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  • #79,608
  • Dec 26, 2018 6:46pm Dec 26, 2018 6:46pm
look at this its so creepy.
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  • #79,609
  • Dec 26, 2018 6:52pm Dec 26, 2018 6:52pm
Quoting MrAashir
look at this its so creepy. {image}
Wow, nice catch, did not notice, trully thats very disturbing.
I see 38Fibo of last 20 days timeframe on 111.780, which was not yet touched, if the trade works as i supposed, i will decide what with the trade after seeing reaction on this resistance.
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  • #79,610
  • Dec 26, 2018 8:47pm Dec 26, 2018 8:47pm
Quoting darksize
Pending buy order on 110.866 {image}
Bought it now on 111.025 manually, not sure it reaches limit order.
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  • #79,611
  • Dec 27, 2018 6:45am Dec 27, 2018 6:45am
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Guys, I'm looking for a possible long term buy on this pair


has been copied from FreshForex
  • #79,612
  • Dec 27, 2018 6:58am Dec 27, 2018 6:58am
Quoting Prisha
{image} Guys, I'm looking for a possible long term buy on this pair has been copied from FreshForex
This looks reasonable to me, when you want to jump in ?
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  • #79,613
  • Edited 7:53am Dec 27, 2018 7:15am | Edited 7:53am
Quoting Prisha
{image} Guys, I'm looking for a possible long term buy on this pair has been copied from FreshForex
Looks like it might start consolidating between 111.40’s to 110.00. Kuroda also has a speech coming up in about 15 hrs too. Still banking on a short, but things have changed with this rally in the markets. Somethings going on....
  • #79,614
  • Dec 27, 2018 9:00am Dec 27, 2018 9:00am
One Possibility, if is dose not get rejected at 109.00
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  • #79,615
  • Dec 27, 2018 11:11am Dec 27, 2018 11:11am
Quoting 4xjunkie
One Possibility, if is dose not get rejected at 109.00{image}.
im still sticking to the fundamentals for long run down trend. US dollar is weakening, I agree we will see a rally up, but too early to tell on the daily technicals.

Normally we see the retest of the bottom before the rally up, but not always.

hopefully, the push down to 109.6’ish area is just starting
  • #79,616
  • Dec 27, 2018 1:00pm Dec 27, 2018 1:00pm
Quoting okshop
USDJPY Daily {image}
USDJPY
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Self discipline It is a practice
  • #79,617
  • Dec 27, 2018 4:21pm Dec 27, 2018 4:21pm
I have been heavily invested in USDJPY short for a long time -- some trades as long as 5.5 years running with swap losses as high as negative $8,300. Take a look at the screenshot of my platform and you'll see what I mean! This is a real live account, not a demo!

Any ideas which direction this pair is headed in the coming months? I would love to see a turnaround of sorts!!! Does anyone see the pair move into the 90s in the near future?

I look forward to hearing the outlook from other traders...
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  • #79,618
  • Edited Dec 28, 2018 1:29pm Dec 27, 2018 6:45pm | Edited Dec 28, 2018 1:29pm
Quoting arncap
I have been heavily invested in USDJPY short for a long time -- some trades as long as 5.5 years running with swap losses as high as negative $8,300. Take a look at the screenshot of my platform and you'll see what I mean! This is a real live account, not a demo! Any ideas which direction this pair is headed in the coming months? I would love to see a turnaround of sorts!!! Does anyone see the pair move into the 90s in the near future? I look forward to hearing the outlook from other traders... {image}
Wow, well I started writing a really long answer regarding your predicament, and was typing for so long my partner came in and actually I think shes got the best and shortest response which is
" no one can give you a freaking answer "
On the upside looking at monthly chart if December finishes somewhere near where it is now that would be a break down through monthly TL with a bearish outlook. UJ hasnt been below 100 since you entered though. 100 is strong support last touched mid 2016. In your position I'd be seeking professional help.
I'm bearish, but sub 110 bearish is enough for me atm
  • #79,619
  • Dec 27, 2018 6:47pm Dec 27, 2018 6:47pm
Quoting arncap
I have been heavily invested in USDJPY short for a long time -- some trades as long as 5.5 years running with swap losses as high as negative $8,300. Take a look at the screenshot of my platform and you'll see what I mean! This is a real live account, not a demo! Any ideas which direction this pair is headed in the coming months? I would love to see a turnaround of sorts!!! Does anyone see the pair move into the 90s in the near future? I look forward to hearing the outlook from other traders... {image}
wowza
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Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #79,620
  • Dec 27, 2018 7:08pm Dec 27, 2018 7:08pm
Quoting arncap
I have been heavily invested in USDJPY short for a long time -- some trades as long as 5.5 years running with swap losses as high as negative $8,300. Take a look at the screenshot of my platform and you'll see what I mean! This is a real live account, not a demo! Any ideas which direction this pair is headed in the coming months? I would love to see a turnaround of sorts!!! Does anyone see the pair move into the .90s in the near future? I look forward to hearing the outlook from other traders... {image}
2013 is when they introduced QE, which can mpletely devalued their Yen.... so unless the States does something to drastically offset this... I.E Oil is no longer traded in USD or Japan develops Fusion.... might be a while. Just my thoughts, but I’ll be first to admit I know nothing.
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