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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #79,561
  • Dec 19, 2018 10:26am Dec 19, 2018 10:26am
Quoting marketwatch
Closed my shorts. Maybe it would be better waiting some more but too much waiting game lately. {image}


Very important, understanding why the market is in waiting, my friend. A big event is about to happen.
Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #79,562
  • Dec 19, 2018 10:34am Dec 19, 2018 10:34am
Quoting COGSx86
{quote} Very important, understanding why the market is in waiting, my friend. A big event is about to happen.
Yeah that dovish or hawkish thing I'm currently trying to find out where to put my buy/sell stop orders.
  • #79,563
  • Dec 19, 2018 11:28am Dec 19, 2018 11:28am
It will go up to make a squeeze up at 112.603 +
  • #79,564
  • Dec 19, 2018 11:34am Dec 19, 2018 11:34am
Quoting venividivici
It will go up to make a squeeze up at 112.603 +
Hope so, I already bought @112.160 for this move. Maybe works maybe not
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  • #79,565
  • Dec 19, 2018 11:36am Dec 19, 2018 11:36am
Quoting marketwatch
{quote} Hope so, I already bought @112.160 for this move. Maybe works maybe not
Risky before FOMC volatility but im 80% sure
  • #79,566
  • Dec 19, 2018 11:40am Dec 19, 2018 11:40am
Quoting venividivici
{quote} Risky before FOMC volatility but im 80% sure
Can I pm you mate?
  • #79,567
  • Dec 19, 2018 12:50pm Dec 19, 2018 12:50pm
bullish for FED year end
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  • #79,568
  • Dec 19, 2018 2:11pm Dec 19, 2018 2:11pm
Man, UJ resisted more than other pairs but I got my green pips anyway Only small part is still running I think i'll give it few hours to stabilize.

Happy hunting all
  • #79,569
  • Edited 5:14pm Dec 19, 2018 4:52pm | Edited 5:14pm
Interesting daily chart. If we can pretend it's a 5min chart instead I would consider placing a couple of pending sells just below the blue line (50SMA) up at 113.000 for rejection before heading below the gold line (100SMA). Those SMAs are curving, but of course no break down yet.
I'm not in a trade atm, waiting for the wash to settle. 10yr bonds are down, USDX is down ( as in today LL LH )...

Last year it went above the 50SMA, daily doji, then good rejection straight down. This year we have a doji on the 100SMA instead. It could be support and reversal back up, or continuation.
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  • #79,570
  • Dec 19, 2018 5:32pm Dec 19, 2018 5:32pm
Quoting hellsbells
Interesting daily chart. If we can pretend it's a 5min chart instead I would consider placing a couple of pending sells just below the blue line (50SMA) up at 113.000 for rejection before heading below the gold line (100SMA). Those SMAs are curving, but of course no break down yet. I'm not in a trade atm, waiting for the wash to settle. 10yr bonds are down, USDX is down ( as in today LL LH )... Last year it went above the 50SMA, daily doji, then good rejection straight down. This year we have a doji on the 100SMA instead. It could be support and...
Would love to see reversal usdjpy nice 200 pips. nzdusd went down would have been very happy christmas but took just x2 profits even though i knew i could have taken x5 my fingers moved on my own damnn. I feel like noob
  • #79,571
  • Dec 19, 2018 5:39pm Dec 19, 2018 5:39pm
Quoting MrAashir
{quote} Would love to see reversal usdjpy nice 200 pips. nzdusd went down would have been very happy christmas but took just x2 profits even though i knew i could have taken x5 my fingers moved on my own damnn. I feel like noob

I'd like it to express south. lol
  • #79,572
  • Dec 19, 2018 5:45pm Dec 19, 2018 5:45pm
Quoting hellsbells
{quote} I'd like it to express south. lol
Yea i also think it will go south as bonds are down everything is down but chairman powell wasnt as dovish as expected and bad gdp growth data from nzd made it drop like stone but usdjpy looks weak its like rate hike didnt help much. I expected rate hike so i shorted nzd but didnt expect nzd low gdp growth so i closed the position before the anouncement and then saw it travel 60 pips without me.
  • #79,573
  • Dec 19, 2018 8:01pm Dec 19, 2018 8:01pm
well 2 trades BE, and hour candle looks nice and bearish, a break down would be nice

I hate hour changeover. The chart never lies more than 5min before and 5 min after the hour

if this next hour can close below 112.423 and we have a triple candle hour reversal I'd like to add shorts, but not atm.
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  • #79,574
  • Edited 9:58pm Dec 19, 2018 9:14pm | Edited 9:58pm
Tricky candles, sitting on my hands atm, no trades added, no TP yet. One of my biggest frequent errors is to overtrade and mess with a good thing. My trades are BE with a good entry, I'll see if this can push down
It's back to hovering just above the 100SMA daily

NB, just paid myself 1/2 at 112.390, $100 trade for the kitty (takes care of a couple of earlier bad trades). Now I've locked in profit for the week and can chill
  • #79,575
  • Edited 1:21am Dec 20, 2018 12:24am | Edited 1:21am
That moment when you come back to the computer and think, ok maybe I TP a bit early lol. Anyway, I just TP 2/2 at 111.840 , I'm done for the week. Good luck
  • #79,576
  • Dec 20, 2018 11:40am Dec 20, 2018 11:40am
USDJPY Daily
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Self discipline It is a practice
  • #79,577
  • Dec 20, 2018 1:27pm Dec 20, 2018 1:27pm
Quoting okshop
USDJPY Daily {image}
Can u pls share the Indicators Sir u r using in the chart
  • #79,578
  • Dec 20, 2018 2:02pm Dec 20, 2018 2:02pm
The USDJPY accelerates its bearish momentum below the 111.00 level and it could continue falling to the 110.00 level. In case of a bullish retracement, its next resistance could be the 200 day EMA at the 111.83 level.
  • #79,579
  • Dec 20, 2018 6:08pm Dec 20, 2018 6:08pm
After the double breakdown, 110.5x looks very reachable and should provide some PT. But I'm not sure if it's the final target targeted by the bears for this swing.
Might be the lows of 109 handle. Let's see.
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  • #79,580
  • Dec 21, 2018 12:08pm Dec 21, 2018 12:08pm
Expecting 112 soon I have longs built up
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