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  • #1,147,001
  • Dec 12, 2018 3:57am Dec 12, 2018 3:57am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} It's a deal!
Ohhh goody.
Look Left Trade Right
  • #1,147,002
  • Dec 12, 2018 4:11am Dec 12, 2018 4:11am
US President Trump said it would be foolish for the Fed to hike rates next week and that he is fighting some trade battles which needs accommodation. US President Trump also said he is not concerned about being impeached, as it is hard to impeach someone who has not done anything wrong.

Most major pairs attempted to nurse losses against the greenback in which EUR/USD recuperated after the prior day’s drop from resistance at 1.1400 and with GBP/USD just about clawing back the 1.2500 handle after the recent pounding it took from PM May’s Brexit vote retreat.

Option expiries of note for today's 15:00 GMT:
EUR/USD: 1.1200 (1.5 BLN), 1.1275-80 (1.3 BLN), 1.1300 (2.4 BLN) and 1.1400 (0.879 BLN).

The EUR/USD is still in a choppy trading range within a symmetrical triangle, although seems it wants to break to the downside. I am getting ready to short below 1.1300 and with a target at 1.1030.
  • #1,147,003
  • Dec 12, 2018 5:23am Dec 12, 2018 5:23am
This funeral range is obviously for the US data later and for the ECB conference tomorrow.
If we expect pips to trade, we clearly need some politic breaking news
Member
  • #1,147,004
  • Edited 6:42am Dec 12, 2018 6:20am | Edited 6:42am
Quoting Basill
I'm betting on 1.1370 as a run up before the UK parliament fiasco in 12 hrs. Then a sudden drop.
Could be.... the possible projection range of my HEW wave iv is calculated between 1.1326 and 1.1375....

Personally I think the is already broken below towards the 1.1275-58....
Then it depends of the situation I think....
-if the vote is negative for May.... then we see a short wave-b/iii and the way is free for 1.1063
-if the vote is positive for May.... then we can see even a deep wave-b-iii...then we firstly can see 1.1367-1.1410 level before the down move can excist..

edit: and just 21min after I posted this it looks I was wrong...we already at 1.1361.....
You can manage risk, but you can't manage the return
  • #1,147,005
  • Dec 12, 2018 6:27am Dec 12, 2018 6:27am
Ok, don't miss the big UK Parliament show tonight !
US inflation data soon. (Core CPI)

Fundamental trading idea:
PM May out = government down = soft possible Brexit = good, EUR/USD+GBP/USD possible long

Merkel get annoyed, no change for the Brexit deal...

Just chatting ...on a boring chart!
Member
  • #1,147,006
  • Dec 12, 2018 6:39am Dec 12, 2018 6:39am
Quoting TudorIoan
Ok, don't miss the big UK Parliament show tonight ! US inflation data soon. (Core CPI) Fundamental trading idea: PM May out = government down = soft possible Brexit = good, EUR/USD+GBP/USD possible long Merkel get annoyed, no change for the Brexit deal... Just chatting ...on a boring chart!
I as just thinking the way around.....

If the vote is negative for May. They can't vote before 21 Jan because there can't be a new leader at that time..... Also the Article 50 can be taken back what will delay the Brexit or even stop it... well that will be a lot of instability (a longer period where nobody knows what to do...) in the short coming timeline. So that would be negative.... I thought...
You can manage risk, but you can't manage the return
  • #1,147,007
  • Dec 12, 2018 6:42am Dec 12, 2018 6:42am
Quoting TudorIoan
This funeral range is obviously for the US data later and for the ECB conference tomorrow. If we expect pips to trade, we clearly need some politic breaking news
Quoting HappyMe
{quote} I as just thinking the way around..... If the vote is negative for May. They can't vote before 21 Jan because there can't be a new leader at that time..... Also the Article 50 can be taken back what will delay the Brexit or even stop it... well that will be a lot of instability (a longer period where nobody knows what to do...) in the short coming timeline. So that would be negative.... I thought...
Italy shit, welcome!
Member
  • #1,147,008
  • Dec 12, 2018 6:53am Dec 12, 2018 6:53am
Update correction doing well
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...8#post11791878
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,147,009
  • Dec 12, 2018 7:28am Dec 12, 2018 7:28am
euro will shoot above 1.1400 very soon and above 1.1500 tomorrow may be

all I want is euro to drop below 1.1300 so I can buy

shorting euro now is big mistake

direction is to 1.15 to 1.16 from there 1.16 u can start thinking of shorting
  • #1,147,010
  • Dec 12, 2018 7:54am Dec 12, 2018 7:54am
Short at 1.1360. SL 1.14. TP open
I wanna be a billionaire so freaking bad!
  • #1,147,011
  • Dec 12, 2018 7:59am Dec 12, 2018 7:59am
Quoting thirdforex
Short at 1.1360. SL 1.14. TP open
nah its good to short here at trendline, very small easy sl
  • #1,147,012
  • Dec 12, 2018 8:00am Dec 12, 2018 8:00am
most critical level reached both eu & gu . ok eu go above to 1380/1399 even , fear of tanking remain intact to new lows if ! same gu upto 2638/55/99 even ok before new lows if !
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 38 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 26 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,147,013
  • Dec 12, 2018 9:38am Dec 12, 2018 9:38am
Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday Outlook. (ahead London) Nice dive, and here we are below 1.1330, the Weekly_S1 Intraday resistance : - 1.1330 - 45 - 65 Intraday support : - 1.1320 - 1.1305 I'll sell 1325 and buy 1339. Have a great trading day, you all! {image}
1.1370 closed all.
short 1325 SL
long 1339 SL
long 1339 SL
long 1339 closed at 1370+ TP... break even today
Member
  • #1,147,014
  • Dec 12, 2018 9:45am Dec 12, 2018 9:45am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} 1.1370 closed all. short 1325 SL long 1339 SL long 1339 SL long 1339 closed at 1370+ TP... break even today
Break even > loss.
  • #1,147,015
  • Dec 12, 2018 9:48am Dec 12, 2018 9:48am
Quoting Stillearnin
{quote} Break even > loss.
+1 ..peanuts, it's nothing ...wasted day for me
Member
  • #1,147,016
  • Dec 12, 2018 10:47am Dec 12, 2018 10:47am
The GBP/USD seems to be pricing in a May victory. The EUR/USD doesn`t seem to be so convinced, though. So it`s very difficult to say what to expect.
  • #1,147,017
  • Dec 12, 2018 10:51am Dec 12, 2018 10:51am
will try to short if price reaches 1.1404 target 1.1304

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2018-12-12 (6).png Size: 52 KB
  • #1,147,018
  • Dec 12, 2018 11:12am Dec 12, 2018 11:12am
Quoting Fredrick7
The GBP/USD seems to be pricing in a May victory. The EUR/USD doesn`t seem to be so convinced, though. So it`s very difficult to say what to expect.
In my opinion, the traders grew weary of Mrs May, and so the decision to cast a confidence vote strengthened the pound. If the vote fails then the pound will resume its descent.
Risk Management is of utmost importance!
  • #1,147,019
  • Dec 12, 2018 11:20am Dec 12, 2018 11:20am
Smart money make you feel the market responds to Brexit issues and PM May, but the smart money decide where the pendulum swings.

Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,147,020
  • Dec 12, 2018 12:04pm Dec 12, 2018 12:04pm
From what I`ve read the odds are in May`s favour. If she wins, a soft Brexit may well be on the cards - which will mean a strong EUR. I`m long from 1.1365. TP is 1.1398. SL is at 1.1352.
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