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  • #1,146,881
  • Dec 6, 2018 8:30pm Dec 6, 2018 8:30pm
Quoting Miracleforex
Luckily, Today my program shows buy with 10 % higher probability on an hourly data , 4 hourly data and daily data. I am BUY today, but with small lots in incremental order. My order book looks like Buy ( Current status ) 1 standard- 1.1375 1 standard -1.1370 1 standard -1.1350 1 standard-1.1330 1 standard- 1.1300 OR once the market treads upward, 1 standard- 1.1375 1 standard- 1.1390 1 standard- 1.1410 1 standard -1.1430 1 standard-1.1460 If the Markets move higher and revert back below 1.1410, all positions auto close.
Sorry, the data to be executed on Monday next week. NOT TODAY! please note: NOT TODAY.

Today is NFP, I do not trade on HIGH IMPACT news days.

Moreover, the purchase of the lots should begin at 1.1375 IF MARKETS UP TODAY, or should begin at 1.1300 if markets below today.

Please do not be confused. I AM NOT TRADING TODAY.

This Plan is for Monday morning, ONLY MONDAY MORNING, NOT FOR THE FULL WEEK.

I should have posted this end of the day today.

Trade safe
Just retired from University
  • #1,146,882
  • Dec 7, 2018 12:42am Dec 7, 2018 12:42am
My Intraday Outlook.
(ahead London)

Brexit news spikes... but still within some range this week.
Currently pressure on 1365 for more bearish... ?
The NFP numbers will "talk".

Intraday resistance :
- 1.1380 - 90 - 1.1410
Intraday support :
- 1.1365 - 50 - 30

I'll wait LO today... if not any spike on politics, I expect a awaiting range ahead NFP.
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Member
  • #1,146,883
  • Dec 7, 2018 1:28am Dec 7, 2018 1:28am
Wow, your point so accurate.. nice..

Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday Outlook. (ahead London) Brexit news spikes... but still within some range this week. Currently pressure on 1365 for more bearish... ? The NFP numbers will "talk". Intraday resistance : - 1.1380 - 90 - 1.1410 Intraday support : - 1.1365 - 50 - 30 I'll wait LO today... if not any spike on politics, I expect a awaiting range ahead NFP. {image}
Go with the flow at Shi*ting Market
  • #1,146,884
  • Dec 7, 2018 1:38am Dec 7, 2018 1:38am
Quoting CrucialPrice
Wow, your point so accurate.. nice.. {quote}
Well, the pivot levels and other "eye" levels shows "crucial price" levels based in the past which might hold...
But they will never hold if strong momentums, wild spikes on politics... that's when they break...
So we have to understand a little fundamental context to have a technical profitable levels

(at least we have to consider fundies like scheduled news in order to hold our big volumes when wobble or unmpredictable spikes are very probable)
Member
  • #1,146,885
  • Dec 7, 2018 1:50am Dec 7, 2018 1:50am
Your analysis so true, when do you consider that level break? do you wait candle close? or just a touch price? i'm waiting candle close on H1 but with 15 max pips gap to protect my account. There is impossible to calculate and predicting "precision price" when there is fundamental spike, but i want to hear your analysis. Thanks.

Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Well, the pivot levels and other "eye" levels shows "crucial price" levels based in the past which might hold... But they will never hold if strong momentums, wild spikes on politics... that's when they break... So we have to understand a little fundamental context to have a technical profitable levels (at least we have to consider fundies like scheduled news in order to hold our big volumes when wobble or unmpredictable spikes are very probable)
Go with the flow at Shi*ting Market
  • #1,146,886
  • Dec 7, 2018 2:11am Dec 7, 2018 2:11am
Quoting CrucialPrice
Your analysis so true, when do you consider that level break? do you wait candle close? or just a touch price? i'm waiting candle close on H1 but with 15 max pips gap to protect my account. There is impossible to calculate and predicting "precision price" when there is fundamental spike, but i want to hear your analysis. Thanks. {quote}
Yes, H1 close it would be great. But I use to look on lower TF, ...M5 close will do.
For instance, if very high impact news will generate very strong momentum, I will consider a breakout only if hit a certain level.
Momentum strength and fundamental impact are very important to take into consideration if you bet on breakouts !

Anyway, I don't mind too much if it is a fake breakout, ...I have a long automated recovery sequence, so I will not debate too much for totally safe breakouts.
Here's a tip for you if you allow me: an automated recovery sequence keeps the panic away ...so, you can play relaxed, knowing that if you fail, your robot will fight like a pitbul - while you're sleeping - to get your break even at least if no profit

Green bucks!
Member
  • #1,146,887
  • Dec 7, 2018 2:17am Dec 7, 2018 2:17am
Be careful for today`s NFP.
Something`s brewing.
Maybe,super negative number,who knows.
Oh,"insiders" know.
  • #1,146,888
  • Dec 7, 2018 2:18am Dec 7, 2018 2:18am
nice, thanks for your shared view and tips..

Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Yes, H1 close it would be great. But I use to look on lower TF, ...M5 close will do. For instance, if very high impact news will generate very strong momentum, I will consider a breakout only if hit a certain level. Momentum strength and fundamental impact are very important to take into consideration if you bet on breakouts ! Anyway, I don't mind too much if it is a fake breakout, ...I have a long automated recovery sequence, so I will not debate too much for totally safe breakouts. Here's a tip for you if you allow me: an automated...
Go with the flow at Shi*ting Market
  • #1,146,889
  • Dec 7, 2018 2:26am Dec 7, 2018 2:26am
Now = 113.72 I will buy at 113.76 ON STOP SL = 60

  • #1,146,890
  • Dec 7, 2018 2:29am Dec 7, 2018 2:29am
Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday Outlook. (ahead London) Brexit news spikes... but still within some range this week. Currently pressure on 1365 for more bearish... ? The NFP numbers will "talk". Intraday resistance : - 1.1380 - 90 - 1.1410 Intraday support : - 1.1365 - 50 - 30 I'll wait LO today... if not any spike on politics, I expect a awaiting range ahead NFP. {image}
I'm still out.
I didn't entered at LO ...too choppy shit so far.
If a "normal day" - not a NFP Friday - I would have entered long at 1373 or short at 1359
...but I don't like this zig-zag, ...stood out so far, even if I will miss a promising trade at LO
Member
  • #1,146,891
  • Dec 7, 2018 2:53am Dec 7, 2018 2:53am
staying above support 1360 and closing 1h candle above 1380 give chance euro to go up to test 1420 to 1450 area
  • #1,146,892
  • Dec 7, 2018 3:03am Dec 7, 2018 3:03am
If eurusd goes above 1.1475 only 1pip it will confirm to me its 1000% bullish and we have seen the bottom of 2018 at 1.1214
  • #1,146,893
  • Dec 7, 2018 3:08am Dec 7, 2018 3:08am
Quoting msniper
If eurusd goes above 1.1475 only 1pip it will confirm to me its 1000% bullish and we have seen the bottom of 2018 at 1.1214
you long already or waiting for confirmation?
  • #1,146,894
  • Dec 7, 2018 3:08am Dec 7, 2018 3:08am
Quoting msniper
If eurusd goes above 1.1475 only 1pip it will confirm to me its 1000% bullish and we have seen the bottom of 2018 at 1.1214
Yes, I think I agree with that....but how is you Dollar-index view. Is this in line with your current bullish EURUSD view?
In my opinion de dollar is rising in the near futher....
You can manage risk, but you can't manage the return
  • #1,146,895
  • Dec 7, 2018 3:12am Dec 7, 2018 3:12am
It's "ranging" again, hallelujah!...
Almost perfect oscillation around 1372
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  • #1,146,896
  • Dec 7, 2018 3:18am Dec 7, 2018 3:18am
Quoting HappyMe
{quote} Yes, I think I agree with that....but how is you Dollar-index view. Is this in line with your current bullish EURUSD view? In my opinion de dollar is rising in the near futher....
for me dollar index is made the top or almost near top then a big drop happening I cannot know the target of the drop but I would say between 88 to 93

after dollar index drop we will see new strong rally all the way to 105 to 107
  • #1,146,897
  • Dec 7, 2018 3:29am Dec 7, 2018 3:29am
Quoting TudorIoan
It's "ranging" again, hallelujah!... Almost perfect oscillation around 1372 {image}
1365 Or 1353 axis oscillation... (H4)
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Member
  • #1,146,898
  • Dec 7, 2018 3:38am Dec 7, 2018 3:38am
The USD index remained softer and below the 97.00 level after the losses during the prior session in which ADP employment data missed expectations ahead of the Non-farm Payrolls and with reports suggesting that the Fed could adopt a wait and see approach next year, while Fed’s Kaplan had also expressed concern regarding the knock-on effect of slower global growth. The weakness in the greenback had supported EUR/USD although the pair have since pulled back amid ongoing Italian budget and Brexit uncertainty, with price action then flatlining throughout Asia hours.

Option expiries of note for today's 15:00 GMT:
EUR/USD: 1.1300 (3.1 BLN), 1.1350 (0.584 BLN), 1.1400 (1.9 BLN) and 1.1500 (1.5 BLN).

The EUR/USD remains trading within a symmetrical triangle, which I suspect it will carry on into mid-December. Still no entries levels for me.
  • #1,146,899
  • Dec 7, 2018 3:49am Dec 7, 2018 3:49am
Faites vos jeux mesdames et messieurs rien ne va plus !
Mixed shit US data?
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  • #1,146,900
  • Dec 7, 2018 4:04am Dec 7, 2018 4:04am
Quoting msniper
{quote} for me dollar index is made the top or almost near top then a big drop happening I cannot know the target of the drop but I would say between 88 to 93 after dollar index drop we will see new strong rally all the way to 105 to 107
Ah oke! Actually it's very interesting that our views are completely the opposite....

I'm very curious what the market will decides....!!
You can manage risk, but you can't manage the return
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